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Person

Kara S Doran

Physical Scientist

Email: kdoran@usgs.gov
Office Phone: 727-502-8117
ORCID: 0000-0001-8050-5727

Location
600 4th Street South
St. Petersburg , FL 33701
US
This dataset contains information on the probabilities of storm-induced erosion (collision, inundation and overwash) for each 100-meter (m) section of the United States Pacific coast for return period storm scenarios. The analysis is based on a storm-impact scaling model that uses observations of beach morphology combined with sophisticated hydrodynamic models to predict how the coast will respond to the hydrodynamic forcing. Storm-induced water levels, due to both surge and waves, are compared to coastal elevations to determine the probabilities of three types of coastal change: collision (dune erosion), overwash, and inundation. Data on morphology (dune crest and toe elevation) and hydrodynamics (storm surge,...
The Total Water Level and Coastal Change Forecast delivers 6-day forecasts of hourly water levels and the probability of waves impacting dunes along 5000 km of sandy coasts along the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico and will soon expand to the Pacific. These forecasts provide needed information to local governments and federal partners and are used by the USGS to place sensors before a storm. The forecast data are presented in a publicly accessible web tool and stored in a database. Currently, model data are only accessible to project staff. A growing user community is requesting direct access to the data, to conduct scientific analyses and share forecasts on other platforms. To address this need, we will develop an...
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