We modeled the current and future breeding ranges of seven bird and five reptile species in the Southwestern United States with sets of landscape, biotic (plant), and climatic global circulation model (GCM) variables. For modeling purposes, we used PRISM data to characterize the climate of the Western United States between 1980 and 2009 (baseline for birds) and between 1940 and 2009 (baseline for reptiles). In contrast, we used a pre-selected set of GCMs that are known to be good predictors of southwestern climate (five individual and one ensemble GCM), for the A1B emission scenario, to characterize future climatic conditions in three time periods (2010–39; 2040–69; and, 2070–99). Our modeling approach relied on...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Bird Distributions,
Bird Species Count,
Birds,
National CASC,
Other Wildlife, All tags...
Plant Species Distributions,
Reptile Distributions,
Reptile Species Accounts,
Southwestern Birds,
Southwestern Reptiles,
Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags
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