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Globally, changing fire regimes due to climate is one of the greatest threats to ecosystems and society. This dataset presents projections of historic and future fire probability for the southcentral U.S. using downscaled climate projections and the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (PC2FM, Guyette et al., 2012). Climate data from 1900-1929 and projected climate data for 2040-2069 and 2070-2099 were used as model inputs to the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (Guyette et al. 2012) to estimate fire probability. Baseline and future time period data are from three global climate models (GCMs): CGCM, GFDL, and HadCM3. The nine associated data sets (tiffs) represent estimated change in mean fire probability...
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Globally, changing fire regimes due to climate is one of the greatest threats to ecosystems and society. This dataset presents projections of historic and future fire probability for the southcentral U.S. using downscaled climate projections and the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (PC2FM, Guyette et al., 2012). Climate data from 1900-1929 and projected climate data for 2040-2069 and 2070-2099 were used as model inputs to the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (Guyette et al. 2012) to estimate fire probability. Baseline and future time period data are from three global climate models (GCMs): CGCM, GFDL, and HadCM3. The nine associated data sets (tiffs) represent estimated change in mean fire probability...
Categories: Data;
Types: Downloadable,
GeoTIFF,
Map Service,
Raster;
Tags: New Mexico,
Oklahoma,
Texas,
climate change,
mean fire interval, All tags...
wildfire,
wildfire frequency, Fewer tags
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These data were generated with MAXENT 3.3.3k freeware (Phillips et al. 2011) using climate data and fire probability data for for three time periods: reference (1900-1929), mid-century (2040-2069) and late century (2070-2099), and community occurrence point data extracted from LANDFIRE Environmental Site Potential (ESP). Future time period data are from three global climate models (GCMs): CGCM, GFDL, and HadCM3. In MAXENT, we used the logistic output format (generating presence probabilities between 0 and 1), a random test percentage of 30 (using 70 % of the occurrence points to generate the suitability model and 30 % of the occurrence points to validate it), and a jackknife test to measure variable importance....
Tags: Climate Change,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
Environmental Suitability Models,
Fire,
LANDFIRE, All tags...
MAXENT,
New Mexico,
Oklahoma,
Plants,
South Central CASC,
Texas,
Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags
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Globally, changing fire regimes due to climate is one of the greatest threats to ecosystems and society. This dataset presents projections of historic and future fire probability for the southcentral U.S. using downscaled climate projections and the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (PC2FM, Guyette et al., 2012). Climate data from 1900-1929 and projected climate data for 2040-2069 and 2070-2099 were used as model inputs to the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (Guyette et al. 2012) to estimate fire probability. Baseline and future time period data are from three global climate models (GCMs): CGCM, GFDL, and HadCM3. The nine associated data sets (tiffs) represent estimated change in mean fire probability...
Categories: Data;
Types: Downloadable,
GeoTIFF,
Map Service,
Raster;
Tags: New Mexico,
Oklahoma,
Texas,
climate change,
mean fire interval, All tags...
wildfire,
wildfire frequency, Fewer tags
|
These data were generated with MAXENT 3.3.3k freeware (Phillips et al. 2011) using climate data and fire probability data for for three time periods: reference (1900-1929), mid-century (2040-2069) and late century (2070-2099), and community occurrence point data extracted from LANDFIRE Environmental Site Potential (ESP). Future time period data are from three global climate models (GCMs): CGCM, GFDL, and HadCM3. In MAXENT, we used the logistic output format (generating presence probabilities between 0 and 1), a random test percentage of 30 (using 70 % of the occurrence points to generate the suitability model and 30 % of the occurrence points to validate it), and a jackknife test to measure variable importance....
Categories: Data;
Types: Downloadable,
GeoTIFF,
Map Service,
Raster;
Tags: Climate Change,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
Environmental Suitability Models,
Fire,
LANDFIRE, All tags...
MAXENT,
New Mexico,
Oklahoma,
Plants,
South Central CASC,
Texas,
Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags
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