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Parent Project: Range-Wide Climate Vulnerability Assessment for Threatened Bull Trout Publication Abstract: Forecasts of species distributions under future climates are inherently uncertain, but there have been few attempts to describe this uncertainty comprehensively in a probabilistic manner. We developed a Monte Carlo approach that accounts for uncertainty within generalized linear regression models (parameter uncertainty and residual error), uncertainty among competing models (model uncertainty), and uncertainty in future climate conditions (climate uncertainty) to produce site-specific frequency distributions of occurrence probabilities across a species’ range. We illustrated the method by forecasting suitable...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Data Visualization & Tools,
Fish,
Northwest CASC,
Rivers, Streams and Lakes,
Salvelinus confluentus, All tags...
Science Tools For Managers,
Water, Coasts and Ice,
Wildlife and Plants,
bull trout,
climate change,
ensemble,
generalized linear model (GLM),
model uncertainty,
species distribution,
species distribution model,
suitable habitat, Fewer tags
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