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Advances in climate models from CMIP3 to CMIP5 do not change predictions of future habitat suitability for California reptiles and amphibians

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Amber N. Wright, Mark W. Schwartz, Robert J. Hijmans, and H. Bradley Shaffer, Advances in climate models from CMIP3 to CMIP5 do not change predictions of future habitat suitability for California reptiles and amphibians: Climatic Change, v. 134, iss. 4.

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Abstract (from http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1552-6): Understanding how predicted species responses to climate change are affected by advances in climate modeling is important for determining the frequency with which vulnerability assessments need to be updated. We used ecological niche models to compare predicted climatic habitat suitability for 132 species of reptiles and amphibians in California, USA under the previous and current generations of climate simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3 and CMIP5). We used data from seven global climate models for future (2014–2060) predictions under the following greenhouse gas emissions scenarios: SRES A2 for CMIP3 and RCP 8.5 for CMIP5. [...]

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  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • Southwest CASC

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journalClimatic Change
parts
typestartPage
value579
typeendPage
value591
typedoi
value10.1007/s10584-015-1552-6
typevolume
value134
typeissue
value4
typeissn
value0165-0009

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