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Incorporation of uncertainty to improve projections of tidal wetland elevation and carbon accumulation with sea-level rise

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Buffington KJ, Janousek CN, Dugger BD, Callaway JC, Schile-Beers LM, Borgnis Sloane E, et al. (2021) Incorporation of uncertainty to improve projections of tidal wetland elevation and carbon accumulation with sea-level rise. PLoS ONE 16(10): e0256707. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0256707

Summary

Understanding the rates and patterns of tidal wetland elevation changes relative to sea-level is essential for understanding the extent of potential wetland loss over the coming years. Using an enhanced and more flexible modeling framework of an ecosystem model (WARMER-2), we explored sea-level rise (SLR) impacts on wetland elevations and carbon sequestration rates through 2100 by considering plant community transitions, salinity effects on productivity, and changes in sediment availability. We incorporated local experimental results for plant productivity relative to inundation and salinity into a species transition model, as well as site-level estimates of organic matter decomposition. The revised modeling framework includes an improved [...]

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  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • Southwest CASC

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citationTypeJournal Article
journalPLoS ONE

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