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Rangewide Climate Vulnerability Assessment for Threatened Bull Trout

Dates

Start Date
2011
End Date
2014
Release Date
2011

Summary

The bull trout, listed as threatened under the Endangered Species Act, is well adapted to the cold waters of the Northwest. Recent changes in climate have caused winter flooding and warmer summer water temperatures in the region, reducing the cold-water habitats that bull trout depend on. The southernmost bull trout populations, found in Oregon, Washington, Idaho, Montana, and Nevada, are currently restricted to small reserves where the coldest waters still exist. These shrinking habitats have created a severed environment being further split by dams, poor water quality, and invasive species. The goal of this project was to determine how these factors threaten the species regionally by using predictions of stream temperature to map [...]

Child Items (4)

Contacts

Principal Investigator :
Jason Dunham
Cooperator/Partner :
Stephen Zylstra, Daniel Isaak, Seth Wenger
Funding Agency :
Northwest CSC
CMS Group :
Climate Adaptation Science Centers (CASC) Program

Attached Files

Click on title to download individual files attached to this item.

FlatheadRiver_GlacerNPS.jpg
“Flathead River, Montana - Credit: NPS”
thumbnail 831.54 KB image/jpeg
Copyright_JonathanArmstrong.pdf
“Photo release - Jonathan Armstrong”
122.63 KB application/pdf
NW-2011-7_BullTrout_JonathanArmstrong1.jpg
“Bull trout - Credit: Jonathan Armstrong”
thumbnail 370.82 KB image/jpeg

Purpose

The bull trout is the most cold-adapted fish in freshwaters of the Pacific Northwest. The species is listed as threatened under the U.S. Endangered Species Act, but climate warming may place the species at further risk. Climate warming may lead to warming of streams in summer and increasing probability of floods in winter, leading to widespread loss of habitat projected for bull trout. This project sought to further elaborate how these climate-related threats influence bull trout across five western states (OR, WA, ID, MT, NV). These states form the southern margin of the species’ range. We used predictions of temperatures in streams across approximately two-thirds of this extent to map coldwater streams or “patches” suitable for spawning and early rearing of bull trout. Our results indicate that larger patches of cold water were much more likely to support the species. We also found that bull trout were more likely present in patches with extremely cold (<10C or 50F) temperatures in summer (August), fewer floods in winter, and low human influences as measured by the Human Footprint index. In addition to elucidating the importance of local and climate-related threats, our work has identified dozens of places where bull trout may exist, but have not yet been detected, as well as other places where bull trout have been observed recently, but may be at high risk of local extinction. Future work will focus on completing these analyses across the range of bull trout in the conterminous United States.

Project Extension

projectStatusCompleted

Budget Extension

annualBudgets
year2011
totalFunds100000.0
year2012
totalFunds125000.0
totalFunds225000.0

Additional Information

Alternate Titles

Expando Extension

object
agendas
themes
number1
nameClimate Science & Modeling
options
number2
nameResponse of Physical Systems to Climate Change
options
ftrue
number3
nameResponse of Biological Systems to Climate Change
options
atrue
btrue
number4
nameVulnerability and Adaptation
options
atrue
dtrue
number5
nameMonitoring and Observation Systems
options
number6
nameData, Infrastructure, Analysis, and Modeling
options
number7
nameCommunication of Science Findings
options
btrue
nameNorthwest CSC Agenda
urlhttp://www.doi.gov/csc/northwest/upload/NW-CSC-Science-Agenda-2012-2015.pdf

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