A Prototype for Structured Decision Making with Ecological Modeling in Tribal Agricultural Resource Management Plans
Dates
Publication Date
2022-06-30
Summary
Agriculture Resource Management Plans (ARMPs) are the primary programmatic-level planning document for the management of tribal rangelands in North America. This project compares a standard ARMP product with a prototype ARMP developed through a Structured Decision Making (SDM) PrOACT framework in the context of the Navajo Partitioned Lands (NPL). The SDM approach provided increased transparency for the integration of stakeholder values, a systematic method to integrating climate change (CC) planning and traditional ecological knowledge (TEK), and more rigorous and quantitative methods for applying scientific information to the decision problem. Notably, the SDM framework included modeling the consequences and evaluating the trade-offs [...]
Summary
Agriculture Resource Management Plans (ARMPs) are the primary programmatic-level planning document for the management of tribal rangelands in North America. This project compares a standard ARMP product with a prototype ARMP developed through a Structured Decision Making (SDM) PrOACT framework in the context of the Navajo Partitioned Lands (NPL). The SDM approach provided increased transparency for the integration of stakeholder values, a systematic method to integrating climate change (CC) planning and traditional ecological knowledge (TEK), and more rigorous and quantitative methods for applying scientific information to the decision problem. Notably, the SDM framework included modeling the consequences and evaluating the trade-offs to various management alternatives. Modeling was conducted using a state and transition simulation model and a Bayesian decision network. These results may inform the Navajo Nation ARMP that is currently being developed as well as other ARMPs developed by tribes and the Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA).
