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It is well know that every earthquake can spawn others (e.g., as aftershocks), and that such triggered events can be large and damaging, as recently demonstrated by L’Aquila, Italy and Christchurch, New Zealand earthquakes. In spite of being an explicit USGS strategic-action priority (http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2012/1088; page 32), the USGS currently lacks an automated system with which to forecast such events and official protocols for disseminating the potential implications. This capability, known as Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF), could provide valuable situational awareness to emergency managers, the public, and other entities interested in preparing for potentially damaging earthquakes. With the various...
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This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 0.2-second period with a 1 percent probability of exceedance in 1 year. The data are for the Western United States and are based on the long-term 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model.
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These data sets are the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. They represent the chance of experiencing potentially damaging ground shaking for fixed ground shaking levels that corresponds with MMI = VII. The values are obtained by averaging the probability of experiencing MMI = VII based on a peak ground acceleration value of 0.2152 g for site class D, and the probability of experiencing MMI = VII based on 1.0-second spectral acceleration value of 0.2256 g for site class D. The data are for the Central and Eastern United States.
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This database contains geometries and basic parameters for fault sections conisdered in earthquake rupture forecasts and probabilistic seismic hazard models (specifically, NSHM23).
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Peak ground velocity (PGV) gridded probabilistic seismic hazard data for the updated 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the Conterminous United States (CONUS). PGV hazard curves and ground motions have been calculated on a 0.05 by 0.05 degree grid using the NSHM CONUS 2018 earthquake source model. PGV support has been incorporated into the NSHM using a newly developed PGV model conditioned on pseudo-spectral acceleration (Abrahamson and Bhasin, 2020, PEER Report No. 2020/05). See Powers et al. (in press) for implementation details. This dataset complements the "Data Release for Additional Period and Site Class Data for the 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous United States (ver. 1.2,...
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This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. It represents the average Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) with a 1-percent probability of exceedance in 1 year. Using a topographic-based soil classification method, the ground motions are amplified for soil type. The MMI values are the average of the MMI values obtained by converting peak ground acceleration to MMI and 1.0-second spectral response acceleration to MMI. The data are for the Western United States and are based on the long-term 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model.
Categories: Data; Types: Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster
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This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period with a 1 percent probability of exceedance in 1 year. The data are for the Western United States and are based on the long-term 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model.
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Version 2.0 is now available. Please see new data release here: https://doi.org/10.5066/P9AU713N. This Data Release contains preliminary versions of two related databases: 1) A fault sections database (“NSHM2023_FaultSections_v1”), which depicts the geometry of faults capable of hosting independent earthquakes, and 2) An earthquake geology site information database (“NSHM2023_EQGeoDB_v1”), which contains fault slip-rate constraints at points. These databases were prepared in anticipation of updates to the National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) 2023. Fault-specific geologic parameters for the NSHM have not been updated since the 2014 NSHM release. The datasets include the states of Washington, Oregon, California,...
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This database consists of geologic slip rate information and metadata used to constrain NSHM23 geodetic and geologic deformation models.
The Maximum Considered Earthquake Geometric Mean (MCEG) peak ground acceleration (PGA) values of the 2015 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions and the 2016 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard are calculated from the data in the downloadable files below, via the following equation: PGA = min[ PGAUH , max( PGAD84th , 0.5 ) ] where PGAUH = uniform-hazard peak ground acceleration; PGAD84th = 84th-percentile peak ground acceleration. These peak ground accelerations are each for the geometric mean of two horizontal components and a site shear wave velocity (VS30) of 760 m/s. For more information, see the "Related External Resources" below. Note: The USGS Seismic Design Web Services first spatially interpolate...
Categories: Data
These data sets represents the hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. They represents the annual rate of exceedance versus peak horizontal acceleration or horizontal spectral response acceleration for 0.2- or 1.0-second periods. These hazard curves are based on the full seismicity catalog and a calculated b-value of 1.5.
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The b-value for the earthquake catalog from the Oklahoma-Kansas potentially induced earthquake zone is computed with the maximum likelihood method (MLE) (Aki, 1965). We use the minimum magnitude of completeness that is used for the seismicity rate models (Mc=2.7) and the earthquakes from 2016 and 2017 and find b=1.5 (1.48+/-0.05). However, we find that the b-value from the full (non-declustered) catalog is sensitive to the minimum magnitude of completeness, perhaps due to the moment magnitudes at these values being highly dependent on the conversion relations and the measurements of local magnitudes. Aki, K. (1965). Maximum likelihood estimate of b in the formula log N= a-bM and its confidence limits. Bull. Earthq....
These data sets represents the hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. They represents the annual rate of exceedance versus peak horizontal acceleration or horizontal spectral response acceleration for 0.2- or 1.0-second periods. These hazard curves are based on the full seismicity catalog and a calculated b-value of 1.5.
This data set represents the hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. It represents the annual rate of exceedance versus 1.0-second spectral response acceleration.
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These data sets are the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. They represent the chance of experiencing potentially damaging ground shaking for fixed ground shaking levels that corresponds with MMI = VI. The values are obtained by averaging the probability of experiencing MMI = VI based on a peak ground acceleration value of 0.1155 g for site class D, and the probability of experiencing MMI = VI based on 1.0-second spectral acceleration value of 0.102 g for site class D. The data are for the Central and Eastern United States.
The Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) spectral response acceleration (SS and S1) values of the 2015 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions, the 2016 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard, the 2017 ASCE/SEI 41 Standard, and the 2018 and 2021 editions of the International Building Code are calculated from the data in the downloadable files below, via the following equations: SS = min[ SSUH * CRS , max( SSD84th , 1.5 ) ]; S1 = min[ S1UH * CR1 , max( S1D84th , 0.6 ) ]; where SSUH & S1UH = uniform-hazard spectral accelerations at periods of 0.2 & 1.0 seconds, respectively; CRS & CR1 = risk coefficients at spectral periods of 0.2 & 1.0 seconds, respectively; SSD84th & S1D84th...
Categories: Data
For designing buildings and other structures, the 2015 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions and the 2016 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard contain maps of Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) spectral response accelerations and maps of Maximum Considered Earthquake Geometric Mean (MCEG) peak ground accelerations. The MCER ground motions are also in the 2017 ASCE/SEI 41 Standard and the 2018 and 2021 editions of the International Building Code. These MCER and MCEG ground motion maps are derived from USGS National Seismic Hazard Models via the gridded values of this data release. The data files in the "Child Items" below also underlie the corresponding USGS Seismic Design Web Services. See the "Related External Resources"...


map background search result map search result map Chance of potentially minor-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Central and Eastern United States Chance of potentially moderate-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Central and Eastern United States Modified Mercalli Intensity based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration, with 1-percent probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States 1.0-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States Gridded earthquake ground motions for the 2015 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions and 2016 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard Earthquake geology inputs for the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) 2023, version 1.0 NSHM2023_FaultSections_v1 Shapefile NSHM2023_EQGeoDB_v1 Shapefile Data Release for PGV Data for the 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous United States NSHM23_FSD_v2 NSHM23_EQGeoDB_v2 NSHM2023_EQGeoDB_v1 Shapefile NSHM23_EQGeoDB_v2 NSHM2023_FaultSections_v1 Shapefile NSHM23_FSD_v2 Earthquake geology inputs for the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) 2023, version 1.0 Modified Mercalli Intensity based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration, with 1-percent probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States 1.0-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States Chance of potentially minor-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Central and Eastern United States Chance of potentially moderate-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Central and Eastern United States Data Release for PGV Data for the 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous United States Gridded earthquake ground motions for the 2015 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions and 2016 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard