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This dataset consists of raster geotiff outputs from modeling vertical accretion and carbon accumulation in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington, USA. These rasters represent projections of future habitat type, change in surface elevation above Mean Sea Level, and total sediment carbon accumulation since 2011 in coastal wetland habitats. Projections were generated in 20-year increments for 100 years for five amounts of sea-level rise, three amounts of suspended sediment concentrations, and two alternative configurations of the U.S. Interstate-5 causeway as it crosses the Nisqually River to either prevent or allow inland habitat migration (a total of 30 scenarios). The full methods and results are described in detail...
This dataset consists of raster geotiff outputs of 30-year average annual land use and land cover transition probabilities for the California Central Valley modeled for the period 2011-2101 across 5 future scenarios. The full methods and results of this research are described in detail in “Integrated modeling of climate, land use, and water availability scenarios and their impacts on managed wetland habitat: A case study from California’s Central Valley” (2021). Land-use and land-cover change for California's Central Valley were modeled using the LUCAS model and five different scenarios were simulated from 2011 to 2101 across the entirety of the valley. The five future scenario projections originated from the four...
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This dataset consists of raster geotiff outputs of relative environmental favorability for coral growth and survival in the United States territories of Guam and American Samoa across 3 climate scenarios: Present, Intermediate Emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5), and Worst Case Emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5). These datasets were generated from a synthesis of spatial variability in many environmental conditions, including thermal stress, wave power, irradiance, chlorophyll concentrations, macroalgal cover, calcite concentrations, turbidity, and erosion. Input conditions were classified as “Managed” or “Non-managed” based on whether the condition could be managed at the island...
This spreadsheet dataset (.csv file) contains annual land-use and land cover area in square kilometers (km2) by scenario, timestep, WEAP hydrologic zone, and 4 sub-regions within the broader California Central Valley, modeled using the LUCAS ST-Sim for the period 2011-2101 across 5 future scenarios. Four of the scenarios were developed as part of the Central Valley Landscape Conservation Project. The 4 original scenarios include a Bad-Business-As-Usual (BBAU; high water, poor management), California Dreamin’ (DREAM; high water availability, good management), Central Valley Dustbowl (DUST; low water availability, poor management), and Everyone Equally Miserable (EEM; low water availability, good management). These...
This dataset consists of raster geotiff and tabular outputs of annual map projections of land use and land cover for the California Central Valley for the period 2011-2101 across 5 future scenarios. Four of the scenarios were developed as part of the Central Valley Landscape Conservation Project. The 4 original scenarios include a Bad-Business-As-Usual (BBAU; high water, poor management), California Dreamin’ (DREAM; high water, good management), Central Valley Dustbowl (DUST; low water, poor management), and Everyone Equally Miserable (EEM; low water, good management). These scenarios represent alternative plausible futures, capturing a range of climate variability, land management activities, and habitat restoration...
This dataset consists of raster geotiff outputs of annual map projections of land use and land cover for the California Central Valley for the period 2011-2101 across 5 future scenarios. Four of the scenarios were developed as part of the Central Valley Landscape Conservation Project. The 4 original scenarios include a Bad-Business-As-Usual (BBAU; high water availability, poor management), California Dreamin’ (DREAM; high water availability, good management), Central Valley Dustbowl (DUST; low water availability, poor management), and Everyone Equally Miserable (EEM; low water availability, good management). These scenarios represent alternative plausible futures, capturing a range of climate variability, land management...
Understanding the spatial patterns in environmental conditions and coral reef resilience is central to climate-informed reef management. Numerous environmental drivers contribute to overall reef health and survival. The objective of this project is to identify areas of reefs with the most favorable environmental conditions for coral growth and survival under multiple climate scenarios in Guam and American Samoa. This information could be combined with an understanding of where coral are already demonstrating resilience to inform where resilience-based management strategies could be suitable now and in the future. This project developed GIS layers to show the spatial patterns in environmental favorability and resilient...
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This dataset consists of raster geotiff outputs from modeling vertical accretion and carbon accumulation in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington, USA. These rasters represent projections of future habitat type, change in surface elevation above Mean Sea Level, and total sediment carbon accumulation since 2011 in coastal wetland habitats. Projections were generated in 20-year increments for 100 years for five amounts of sea-level rise, three amounts of suspended sediment concentrations, and two alternative configurations of the U.S. Interstate-5 causeway as it crosses the Nisqually River to either prevent or allow inland habitat migration (a total of 30 scenarios). The full methods and results are described in detail...
This spreadsheet dataset (.csv file) contains annual modeled output of land-use and land-cover change transitions in square kilometers (km2) by specified transition group, scenario, timestep, WEAP hydrologic zone, and 4 sub-regions within the broader California Central Valley, modeled using the LUCAS ST-SIM for the period 2011-2101 across 5 future scenarios. Four of the scenarios were developed as part of the Central Valley Landscape Conservation Project. The 4 original scenarios include a Bad-Business-As-Usual (BBAU; high water availability, poor management), California Dreamin’ (DREAM; high water availability, good management), Central Valley Dustbowl (DUST; low water availability, poor management), and Everyone...
Sea-level rise (SLR) and obstructions to sediment delivery pose challenges to the persistence of estuarine habitats and the ecosystem services they provide. Restoration actions and sediment management strategies may help mitigate such challenges by encouraging the vertical accretion of sediment in and horizontal migration of tidal forests and marshes. We used a process-based soil accretion model (Coastal Wetland Equilibrium Model) combined with a habitat classification model (MOSAICS) to estimate the effects of SLR, suspended sediment, and inland habitat migration on estuarine habitats, soil carbon accumulation, and economic value of climate change mitigation of carbon accumulation (social cost of carbon dioxide)...
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This dataset consists of raster geotiff outputs from modeling vertical accretion and carbon accumulation in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington, USA. These rasters represent projections of future habitat type, change in surface elevation above Mean Sea Level, and total sediment carbon accumulation since 2011 in coastal wetland habitats. Projections were generated in 20-year increments for 100 years for five amounts of sea-level rise, three amounts of suspended sediment concentrations, and two alternative configurations of the U.S. Interstate-5 causeway as it crosses the Nisqually River to either prevent or allow inland habitat migration (a total of 30 scenarios). The full methods and results are described in detail...
This dataset consists of raster geotiff outputs from a series of modeling simulations for the California Central Valley. The full methods and results of this research are described in detail in “Integrated modeling of climate, land use, and water availability scenarios and their impacts on managed wetland habitat: A case study from California’s Central Valley” (2021). Land-use and land-cover change for California's Central Valley were modeled using the LUCAS model and five different scenarios were simulated from 2011 to 2101 across the entirety of the valley. The five future scenario projections originated from the four scenarios developed as part of the Central Valley Landscape Conservation Project (http://climate.calcommons.org/cvlcp...
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This dataset consists of raster geotiff outputs from modeling habitat change, marsh vertical accretion, and carbon accumulation in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington, USA. These rasters represent projections of future habitat type, change in surface elevation above Mean Sea Level, and total sediment carbon accumulation since 2011 in coastal wetland habitats. Projections were generated in 20-year increments for 100 years for five amounts of sea-level rise, three amounts of suspended sediment concentrations, and two alternative configurations of the U.S. Interstate-5 causeway as it crosses the Nisqually River to either prevent or allow inland habitat migration (a total of 30 scenarios). The full methods and results...
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Coral reefs are critical providers of food, economic opportunity, and cultural value in the Pacific Islands. Coral bleaching events, driven by extreme water temperatures, jeopardize reefs’ ability to continue providing these services. Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of marine heat waves leading to bleaching events, reducing the amount of time for full recovery, and increasing the chances of permanent damage to reefs. Reef managers urgently need strategies that will improve reef resilience, increasing the reefs’ ability to withstand harsh conditions or recover quickly after damage. Example strategies include restoring coral in areas with good conditions for coral survival, protecting naturally...
    map background search result map search result map Integrated modeling of climate and land change impacts on future dynamic wetland habitat – a case study from California’s Central Valley Identifying Locations for Coral Reef Climate Resilience State Class Rasters (Land Use and Land Cover per Year and Scenario) State Class Spreadsheet (Area of Land in Each Class per Year, per Scenario) State Class Transition Spreadsheet (Area of Land Transition into Each Class per Year, per Scenario) Favorability of environmental conditions for coral reefs in Guam and American Samoa under multiple climate scenarios Projected future habitat, elevation change, and carbon accumulation of coastal wetlands in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington Projected future habitat of coastal wetlands in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington Projected future carbon accumulation of coastal wetlands in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington Projected future elevation change of coastal wetlands in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington Coral Resilience Mapping Web Viewer Projected future habitat of coastal wetlands in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington Projected future carbon accumulation of coastal wetlands in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington Projected future elevation change of coastal wetlands in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington Projected future habitat, elevation change, and carbon accumulation of coastal wetlands in the Nisqually River Delta, Washington Integrated modeling of climate and land change impacts on future dynamic wetland habitat – a case study from California’s Central Valley State Class Rasters (Land Use and Land Cover per Year and Scenario) State Class Spreadsheet (Area of Land in Each Class per Year, per Scenario) State Class Transition Spreadsheet (Area of Land Transition into Each Class per Year, per Scenario) Favorability of environmental conditions for coral reefs in Guam and American Samoa under multiple climate scenarios Coral Resilience Mapping Web Viewer Identifying Locations for Coral Reef Climate Resilience