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The need to improve fire weather predictions for the southern Great Plains has grown in recent years, following a number of extreme fire events. While on-the-ground conditions that promote fire development in the region are still not well understood, research suggests that fire-friendly conditions are determined by more than just precipitation amounts or wind speeds. They are also influenced by soil characteristics such as moisture content, temperature, and human use. Therefore, fire weather forecast predictions could be improved by developing a better understanding of the relationship between soil characteristics and fire occurrence. With a hotter and drier future unfolding in the southern Great Plains, the time...
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Streams are classified as perennial (flowing uninterrupted, year-round) or intermittent (flowing part of the year) or ephemeral (flowing only during rainfall events). The classifications of “streamflow permanence” were primarily established in the middle 20th century and are often outdated and inaccurate today if they were not adjusted for changes in land use, wildfires, or climate.Understanding where streams are perennial is important for a variety of reasons. For example, perennial streams receive special regulatory protections under a variety of statutes, and provide important habitat for fish, wildlife, and other species. To predict the likelihood that streams are perennial, we compiled nearly 25,000 observations...
Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2016, CASC, Completed, Data Visualization & Tools, Data Visualization & Tools, All tags...
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During the severe drought of 2010-2015, several communities in southeast Oklahoma almost ran out of water. Some of these communities rely on streams and rivers as their sole source of water and when these sources almost ran dry, it left them searching for alternatives and wondering how to continue growing, economically, with this water uncertainty. The possibility of climate change has these communities further concerned, primarily because they do not know what to expect. Previously, the USGS, both Chickasaw and Choctaw Nations collaborated on a project to apply a range of possible climate change scenarios to the Red River watershed to determine future water availability. This study will focus specifically on southeast...
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Migratory birds may be hit especially hard by climate change – particularly waterbirds that depend on wetlands as resting and feeding sites during their journey between breeding and non-breeding grounds. California’s Central Valley and the interior basins of southeastern Oregon and northeastern California provide some of the most critical wetlands resources to migratory waterbirds in the western U.S. However, these wetlands rely heavily on snow pack and precipitation for water supply, both of which have already decreased due to climate change. Of further concern is the fact that drought conditions resulting from climate change could exacerbate existing water allocation issues in the region. Researchers are examining...
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Over the past century, Hawaiʻi has experienced a pronounced decline in precipitation and stream flow and a number of severe droughts. These changes can have wide-reaching implications, affecting the water supply, native vegetation and wildlife, wildfire patterns, and the spread of invasive species. Several climate-related factors are influencing Hawaiˈi’s landscapes and contributing to these changes. These include climate change, climate variability, and drought (referred to collectively as CCVD). Climate variability describes how the climate fluctuates on a yearly basis around average values, while climate change describes patterns of long-term continuous change in the average. While it is understood that CCVD...
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In the Northeastern U.S., climate change is expected to increase the frequency of extreme precipitation events. However, less rain is predicted to fall in between these extreme events and air temperatures are also expected to rise. This combination of conditions will likely expose the Northeast to both floods and droughts that will have significant ecological, social, and economic implications for the region. Infrastructure damage from extreme storm events, increased competition for water supplies during droughts, and the potential loss of wildlife and habitats are some of the various challenges facing resource managers and decision makers. Management actions that mitigate the damage from extreme floods and droughts...
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Due to the ecological importance of stream temperature for aquatic species, and concern about rising temperatures associated with climate change, natural resource managers throughout the Pacific Northwest increasingly require locally detailed stream temperature information in order to effectively manage aquatic resources. Recent technological advances in stream temperature monitoring (e.g., digital data loggers and remote sensors) and modeling have increased the amount of data that are available (both observed and projected) throughout the region. These newly available data, although exciting, have strengths and limitations depending on the purposes for which they were developed and the scale(s) at which they can...
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Native grasslands have been altered to a greater extent than any other biome in North America. The habitats and resources needed to support breeding performance of grassland birds endemic to prairie ecosystems are currently threatened by land management practices and impending climate change. Climate models for the Great Plains prairie region predict a future of hotter and drier summers with strong multiyear droughts and more frequent and severe precipitation events. We examined how fluctuations in weather conditions in eastern Colorado influenced nest survival of an avian species that has experienced recent population declines, the Mountain Plover (Charadrius montanus). Nest survival averaged 27.2% over a 7-yr...
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Drought events have cost the U.S. nearly $245 billion since 1980, with costs ranging from $2 to $44 billion in any given year. However, these socio-economic losses are not the only impacts of drought. Ecosystems, fish, wildlife, and plants also suffer, and these types of drought impacts are becoming more commonplace. Further, ecosystems that recover from drought are now doing so under different climate conditions than they have experienced in the past few centuries. As temperature and precipitation patterns change, “transformational drought”, or drought events that can permanently and irreversibly alter ecosystems – such as forests converting to grasslands – are a growing threat. This type of drought has cascading...
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Drought is a complex environmental hazard that impacts both ecological and social systems. Accounting for the role of human attitudes, institutions, and societal values in drought planning is important to help identify how various drought durations and severity may differentially affect social resilience to adequately respond to and manage drought impacts. While there have been successful past efforts to understand how individuals, communities, institutions, and agencies plan for and respond to drought, these studies have relied on extensive multi-year case studies in specific locations. In contrast, this project seeks to determine how social science insights and methods can best contribute to ecological drought...
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This shapefile represents the spatial distribution of mean annual groundwater recharge, in inches, for the Island of Hawaiʻi, Hawaiʻi for a set of drought and land-cover conditions represented in six water-budget scenarios. The six scenarios include: (1) historical drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, (2) future drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, (3) historical drought rainfall and Conversion 1 land cover, (4) future drought rainfall and Conversion 1 land cover, (5) historical drought rainfall and Conversion 2 land cover, and (6) future drought rainfall and Conversion 2 land cover. Historical drought rainfall is monthly rainfall during 2007–12 from Frazier and others (2016), whereas future drought rainfall is...
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This shapefile represents the spatial distribution of mean annual groundwater recharge, in inches, for Maui, Hawaiʻi for a set of drought and land-cover conditions represented in six water-budget scenarios. The six scenarios include: (1) historical drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, (2) future drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, (3) historical drought rainfall and Conversion 1 land cover, (4) future drought rainfall and Conversion 1 land cover, (5) historical drought rainfall and Conversion 2 land cover, and (6) future drought rainfall and Conversion 2 land cover. Historical drought rainfall is monthly rainfall during 2007–12 from Frazier and others (2016), whereas future drought rainfall is monthly rainfall...
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In the North Central U.S., drought is a dominant driver of ecological, economic, and social stress. Drought conditions have occurred in the region due to lower precipitation, extended periods of high temperatures and evaporative demand, or a combination of these factors. This project will continue ongoing efforts to identify and address climate science challenges related to drought, climate extremes, and the water cycle that are important for natural resource managers and scientists in the North Central region, to support adaptation planning. To accomplish this goal, researchers sought to (1) provide data and synthesis on drought processes in the region and on how evaporative stress on ecosystems will change during...
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This shapefile represents the spatial distribution of mean annual groundwater recharge, in inches, for Oʻahu, Hawaiʻi for a set of drought and land-cover conditions represented in six water-budget scenarios. The six scenarios include: (1) historical drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, (2) future drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, (3) historical drought rainfall and Conversion 1 land cover, (4) future drought rainfall and Conversion 1 land cover, (5) historical drought rainfall and Conversion 2 land cover, and (6) future drought rainfall and Conversion 2 land cover. Historical drought rainfall is monthly rainfall during 1998–2002 from Frazier and others (2016), whereas future drought rainfall is monthly rainfall...
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Preparing for and responding to drought requires integrating scientific information into complex decision making processes. In recognition of this challenge, regional drought early warning systems (DEWS) and related drought-information tools have been developed under the National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS). Despite the existence of many tools and information sources, however, the factors that influence if a tool(s) is (are) used, which tools are used, and how much benefit those tools provide remain poorly understood. Using the Upper Colorado River DEWS as a case study, this study investigated how water, land, and fire managers select from among many available tools. The Upper Colorado River Basin...
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This shapefile represents the spatial distribution of mean annual groundwater recharge, in inches, for Molokaʻi, Hawaii for two water-budget scenarios. The two scenarios include: (1) historical drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, and (2) future drought rainfall and 2020 land cover. Historical drought rainfall is monthly rainfall during 1998–2002 from Frazier and others (2016), whereas future drought rainfall is monthly rainfall during 1998–2002 rainfall adjusted for a Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 2071-99 (RCP8.5 2071–99) projection from Elison Timm and others (2015). Monthly rainfall for each scenario was disaggregated into daily values using daily rainfall during 1998–2002 from Longman and others...
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This shapefile represents the spatial distribution of mean annual groundwater recharge, in inches, for Kauaʻi, Hawaiʻi for two water-budget scenarios. The two scenarios include: (1) historical drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, and (2) future drought rainfall and 2020 land cover. Historical drought rainfall is monthly rainfall during 1998–2002 from Frazier and others (2016), whereas future drought rainfall is monthly rainfall during 1998–2002 rainfall adjusted for a Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 2071-99 (RCP8.5 2071–99) projection from Elison Timm and others (2015). Monthly rainfall for each scenario was disaggregated into daily values using daily rainfall during 1998–2002 from Longman and others (2019)....
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This shapefile represents the frequency characteristics of soil moisture, evapotranspiration, and climatic water deficit for Kauaʻi, Hawaiʻi for four water-budget scenarios. The four scenarios include (1) historical non-drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, (2) historical drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, (3) future non-drought rainfall and 2020 land cover, and (4) future drought rainfall and 2020 land cover. Historical non-drought rainfall is monthly rainfall during 1990–97 and 2003–06 from Frazier and others (2016). Historical drought rainfall is monthly rainfall during 1998–2002 and 2007–12 from Frazier and others (2016). Future non-drought rainfall is monthly rainfall during 1990–97 and 2003–06 from Frazier...
map background search result map search result map Drought and Cooler Temperatures Are Associated with Higher Nest Survival in Mountain Plovers Examining Soil and Drought Dynamics to Improve Fire Forecasting in the Southern Great Plains Assessing the Impacts of Drought on Migratory Waterbirds in Key Conservation Regions of the Western U.S. Influences of Climate Change, Climate Variability, and Drought on Human Communities and Ecosystems in Hawaiʻi Slowing the Flow for Climate Resilience: Reducing Vulnerability to Extreme Flood and Drought Events Identifying Resilient Headwater Streams to Mitigate Impacts of Future Drought in the Northwest Innovative Approaches to Ecological Drought: Developing a Stream Temperature Handbook Evaluation of Sustainable Water Availability in Drought Prone Watersheds in Southeastern Oklahoma Foundational Science Area: Ecological Drought, Climate Extremes, and the Water Cycle in the North Central U.S. Large Scale Drought Resiliency in the Missouri Headwaters Basin Success Measurement Summary Webinar: Sharing the Balance of Stewardship, The Blackfoot Drought Response Plan - J Schoonen How and Why Upper Colorado River Basin Land, Water, and Fire Managers Choose to Use Drought Tools Developing and Testing a Rapid Assessment Method for Understanding Key Social Factors of Ecological Drought Preparedness State of the Science Synthesis on Transformational Drought: Understanding Drought’s Potential to Transform Ecosystems Across the Country Mean annual groundwater recharge rates for Kauaʻi for historical and future drought conditions, and 2020 land cover Mean annual groundwater recharge rates for Oʻahu for historical and future drought conditions, and three land-cover conditions Mean annual groundwater recharge rates for Molokaʻi for historical and future drought conditions, and 2020 land cover Mean annual groundwater recharge rates for Maui for historical and future drought conditions, and three land-cover conditions Mean annual groundwater recharge rates for the Island of Hawaiʻi for historical and future drought conditions, and three land-cover conditions Frequency characteristics of soil moisture, evapotranspiration, and climatic water deficit for Kauaʻi for historical and future drought conditions, and 2020 land cover Mean annual groundwater recharge rates for Molokaʻi for historical and future drought conditions, and 2020 land cover Mean annual groundwater recharge rates for Kauaʻi for historical and future drought conditions, and 2020 land cover Frequency characteristics of soil moisture, evapotranspiration, and climatic water deficit for Kauaʻi for historical and future drought conditions, and 2020 land cover Mean annual groundwater recharge rates for Oʻahu for historical and future drought conditions, and three land-cover conditions Mean annual groundwater recharge rates for the Island of Hawaiʻi for historical and future drought conditions, and three land-cover conditions Large Scale Drought Resiliency in the Missouri Headwaters Basin Success Measurement Summary How and Why Upper Colorado River Basin Land, Water, and Fire Managers Choose to Use Drought Tools Influences of Climate Change, Climate Variability, and Drought on Human Communities and Ecosystems in Hawaiʻi Assessing the Impacts of Drought on Migratory Waterbirds in Key Conservation Regions of the Western U.S. Evaluation of Sustainable Water Availability in Drought Prone Watersheds in Southeastern Oklahoma Innovative Approaches to Ecological Drought: Developing a Stream Temperature Handbook Identifying Resilient Headwater Streams to Mitigate Impacts of Future Drought in the Northwest Slowing the Flow for Climate Resilience: Reducing Vulnerability to Extreme Flood and Drought Events Drought and Cooler Temperatures Are Associated with Higher Nest Survival in Mountain Plovers Examining Soil and Drought Dynamics to Improve Fire Forecasting in the Southern Great Plains Webinar: Sharing the Balance of Stewardship, The Blackfoot Drought Response Plan - J Schoonen Foundational Science Area: Ecological Drought, Climate Extremes, and the Water Cycle in the North Central U.S. Developing and Testing a Rapid Assessment Method for Understanding Key Social Factors of Ecological Drought Preparedness State of the Science Synthesis on Transformational Drought: Understanding Drought’s Potential to Transform Ecosystems Across the Country