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These data are netcdf files of the projected timing of the onset of thermal stress severe enough (>8 Degree Heating Weeks) to cause coral bleaching 2x per decade and 10x per decade (annual) under emissions scenarios RCP8.5 and RCP4.5. The projected timing (a year between 2006 and 2100) is the data value. Values are only shown for the ~60,000 four-km pixels where coral reefs are known to occur.
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The U.S. Great Plains is known for frequent hazardous convective weather and climate extremes. Across this region, climate change is expected to cause more severe droughts, more intense heavy rainfall events, and subsequently more flooding episodes. These potential changes in climate will adversely affect habitats, ecosystems, and landscapes as well as the fish and wildlife they support. Better understanding and simulation of regional precipitation can help natural resource managers mitigate and adapt to these adverse impacts. In this project, we aim to achieve a better precipitation downscaling in the Great Plains with the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model and use the high quality dynamic downscaling results...
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This archive contains daily dynamically downscaled climate projections and simulated land surface water and energy fluxes for the northwestern United States and part of southern British Columbia (N of about 38 degrees N and W of about 105 degrees W) at 1/16th (0.0625) degree resolution. Climate and hydrologic variables (21 total) are as follows: precipitation, temperature (avg./max./min.), outgoing longwave radiation, incoming shortwave radiation, relative humidity, vapor pressure deficit, evapotranspiration, runoff, baseflow, soil moisture (3-layers), snow water equivalent, snow depth, and potential evapotranspiration (5 vegetation references). The downscaling is based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)...
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Six global climate models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase Five (CMIP5) were dynamically downscaled to 25-km grid spacing according to the representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario using the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) Regional Climate Model Version Four (RegCM4), interactively coupled to a 1D lake model to represent the Great Lakes. These GCMs include the Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques Coupled Global Climate Model Version Five (CNRM-CM5), the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate Version Five (MIROC5), the Institut Pierre Simon Laplace Coupled Model Version Five-Medium Resolution (IPSL-CM5-MR), the Meteorological Research...
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This archive contains daily statistically downscaled climate projections and simulated land surface water and energy fluxes for the western United States and southern British Columbia at 1/16th (0.0625) degree resolution. Climate and hydrologic variables (21 total) are as follows: precipitation, temperature (avg./max./min.), outgoing longwave radiation, incoming shortwave radiation, relative humidity, vapor pressure deficit, evapotranspiration, runoff, baseflow, soil moisture (3-layers), snow water equivalent, snow depth, and potential evapotranspiration (5 vegetation references). The downscaling used is the Modified Delta approach (see Littell et al. 2011), based on 10 models from Phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison...
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This collection contains three statistically downscaled time series (datasets) for the Red River Basin (South Central U.S.), and one dataset used as historical observations. In particular, three different Global Climate Models (MPI-ESM-LR, CCSM4 and MIROC5) were downscaled using three different quantile mapping methods (CDFt, EDQM and BCQM). We do not recommend the use of the BCQM method, as the CDFt method is considered an improvement of it. The datasets created using the BCQM method are published as a demonstration of the risks of using flawed methods. The variables of interest are: daily maximum and minimum temperature, and daily precipitation. The spatial resolution of the datasets in the collection is 1/10th...
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Precipitation-related indicators for seasonal precipiation, extreme precipiation, and drought have been generated for 8701 weather stations covering the entire United States, and for a 198x337 grid (on a resolution of 1/16 th degree) covering the South Central region from the future downscaled projections using the Asynchronous Regional Regression Model. The data covers the period from 1950 to 2100. The high-resolution future projections are statistically downscaled from simulations by 12 global climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (ACCESS1-0, ACCESS1-3, CCSM4, CMCC-CM, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3.6.0, MPI-ESM-LR, HadGEM2-CC, INMCM4, IPSL-CM5A-LR, MIROC5 and MRI-CGCM under the lower Representative...
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Global climate models (GCMs) are numerically complex, computationally intensive, physics-based research tools used to simulate our planet’s inter-connected climate system. In addition to improving the scientific understanding of how the large-scale climate system works, GCM simulations of past and future climate conditions can be useful in applied research contexts. When seeking to apply information from global-scale climate projections to address local- and regional-scale climate questions, GCM-generated datasets often undergo statistical post-processing generally known as statistical downscaling (hereafter, SD). There are many different SD techniques, with all using information from observations to address GCM...
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The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model was used to downscale select general circulation models (GCMs) that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). WRF was used to produce output at a 2-km horizontal resolution for Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands by applying a 30-km/10- km/2-km one-way nest. Data from each nest was archived. Two twenty-year time slices from two CMIP5 GCMs were dynamically downscaled using WRF, a historical time slice (1985-2005) and a future time slice (2040-2060). The CMIP5 GCMs downscaled included the Community Climate System Model (CCSM4) and the Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques-CERFACS (CNRM). The high Greenhouse Gas Emission Scenario, RCP8.5,...
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The TopoWx ('Topography Weather') dataset contains historical 30-arcsec resolution (~800-m) interpolations of daily minimum and maximum topoclimatic air temperature for the conterminous U.S. Using both DEM-based variables and MODIS land skin temperature as predictors of air temperature, interpolation procedures include moving window regression kriging and geographically weighted regression. To avoid artificial climate trends, all input station data are homogenized using the GHCN/USHCN Pairwise Homogenization Algorithm (http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/ushcn/#phas). The interpolation model is open source and information on obtaining model code can be found at http://www.ntsg.umt.edu/project/TopoWx. The...
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The California Basin Characterization Model (CA-BCM 2014) dataset provides historical and projected climate and hydrologic surfaces for the region that encompasses the state of California and all the streams that flow into it (California hydrologic region ). The CA-BCM 2014 applies a monthly regional water-balance model to simulate hydrologic responses to climate at the spatial resolution of a 270-m grid. The model has been calibrated using a total of 159 relatively unimpaired watersheds for the California region. The historical data is based on 800m PRISM data spatially downscaled to 270 m using the gradient-inverse distance squared approach (GIDS), and the projected climate surfaces include five CMIP-3 (GFDL,...
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NOTICE: Given the large size of the MACAv2METDATA dataset, and a known issue with the data server being used to host it, initial load times may take a very long time and / or time out. Subsequent requests should be faster due to caching, but the cache clears periodically and the dataset must be rescanned prior to access. We are working on a fix for this issue. In the mean time, please use the dataset with care and make sureyou've reviewed the GDP scalability guidelines. https://my.usgs.gov/confluence/display/GeoDataPortal/Geo+Data+Portal+Scalability+Guidelines This archive contains daily downscaled meteorological and hydrological projections for the Conterminous United States at 1/24-deg resolution utilizing the...


    map background search result map search result map TopoWx: Topoclimatic Daily Air Temperature Dataset for the Conterminous United States Western US Hydroclimate Scenarios Project Observations and Statistically Downscaled Data Western US Hydroclimate Scenarios Project Dynamically Downscaled Data California Basin Characterization Model Downscaled Climate and Hydrology Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) CMIP5 Statistically Downscaled Data for Coterminous USA Statistically downscaled estimates of precipitation and temperature for the Red River basin (South Central U.S.A) Downscaled Future Projections Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF): Puerto Rico & US Virgin Islands Dynamical Downscaled Climate Change Projections Dynamical Downscaling for the Midwest and Great Lakes Basin Very High-Resolution Dynamic Downscaling of Regional Climate for Use in Long-term Hydrologic Planning along the Red River Valley System High-Resolution Precipitation Projections for the South Central U.S. South Central Climate Projections Evaluation Project (C-PrEP) California Basin Characterization Model Downscaled Climate and Hydrology High-Resolution Precipitation Projections for the South Central U.S. Statistically downscaled estimates of precipitation and temperature for the Red River basin (South Central U.S.A) Downscaled Future Projections South Central Climate Projections Evaluation Project (C-PrEP) Western US Hydroclimate Scenarios Project Dynamically Downscaled Data Western US Hydroclimate Scenarios Project Observations and Statistically Downscaled Data Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF): Puerto Rico & US Virgin Islands Dynamical Downscaled Climate Change Projections Dynamical Downscaling for the Midwest and Great Lakes Basin Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) CMIP5 Statistically Downscaled Data for Coterminous USA TopoWx: Topoclimatic Daily Air Temperature Dataset for the Conterminous United States Very High-Resolution Dynamic Downscaling of Regional Climate for Use in Long-term Hydrologic Planning along the Red River Valley System