Filters: Contacts: {oldPartyId:14774} (X) > Categories: Publication (X)

Filters Date Range Past year (0) Past month (0) Past week (0) Past day (0) Custom range... To   Search Extensions Citation (1) Types Citation (1) Contacts Wayne R Thatcher Yuehua Zeng Kevin R Milner Peter M Powers Glenn Biasi More... View Results as: JSON ATOM CSV

A Synoptic View of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3) ABSTRACT Probabilistic forecasting of earthquake‐producing fault ruptures informs all major decisions aimed at reducing seismic risk and improving earthquake resilience. Earthquake forecasting models rely on two scales of hazard evolution: long‐term (decades to centuries) probabilities of fault rupture, constrained by stress renewal statistics, and short‐term (hours to years) probabilities of distributed seismicity, constrained by earthquake‐clustering statistics. Comprehensive datasets on both hazard scales have been integrated into the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3). UCERF3 is the first model to provide self‐consistent rupture probabilities over forecasting intervals from less... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation