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This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 0.2-second period with a 1 percent probability of exceedance in 1 year. The data are for the Western United States and are based on the long-term 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model.
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These data sets are the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. They represent the chance of experiencing potentially damaging ground shaking for fixed ground shaking levels that corresponds with MMI = VII. The values are obtained by averaging the probability of experiencing MMI = VII based on a peak ground acceleration value of 0.2152 g for site class D, and the probability of experiencing MMI = VII based on 1.0-second spectral acceleration value of 0.2256 g for site class D. The data are for the Central and Eastern United States.
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This database contains geometries and basic parameters for fault sections conisdered in earthquake rupture forecasts and probabilistic seismic hazard models (specifically, NSHM23).
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This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. It represents the average Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) with a 1-percent probability of exceedance in 1 year. Using a topographic-based soil classification method, the ground motions are amplified for soil type. The MMI values are the average of the MMI values obtained by converting peak ground acceleration to MMI and 1.0-second spectral response acceleration to MMI. The data are for the Western United States and are based on the long-term 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model.
Categories: Data; Types: Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster
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This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period with a 1 percent probability of exceedance in 1 year. The data are for the Western United States and are based on the long-term 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model.
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This database consists of geologic slip rate information and metadata used to constrain NSHM23 geodetic and geologic deformation models.
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The b-value for the earthquake catalog from the Oklahoma-Kansas potentially induced earthquake zone is computed with the maximum likelihood method (MLE) (Aki, 1965). We use the minimum magnitude of completeness that is used for the seismicity rate models (Mc=2.7) and the earthquakes from 2016 and 2017 and find b=1.5 (1.48+/-0.05). However, we find that the b-value from the full (non-declustered) catalog is sensitive to the minimum magnitude of completeness, perhaps due to the moment magnitudes at these values being highly dependent on the conversion relations and the measurements of local magnitudes. Aki, K. (1965). Maximum likelihood estimate of b in the formula log N= a-bM and its confidence limits. Bull. Earthq....
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These data sets are the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. They represent the chance of experiencing potentially damaging ground shaking for fixed ground shaking levels that corresponds with MMI = VI. The values are obtained by averaging the probability of experiencing MMI = VI based on a peak ground acceleration value of 0.1155 g for site class D, and the probability of experiencing MMI = VI based on 1.0-second spectral acceleration value of 0.102 g for site class D. The data are for the Central and Eastern United States.
For designing buildings and other structures, the 2015 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions and the 2016 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard contain maps of Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) spectral response accelerations and maps of Maximum Considered Earthquake Geometric Mean (MCEG) peak ground accelerations. The MCER ground motions are also in the 2017 ASCE/SEI 41 Standard and the 2018 and 2021 editions of the International Building Code. These MCER and MCEG ground motion maps are derived from USGS National Seismic Hazard Models via the gridded values of this data release. The data files in the "Child Items" below also underlie the corresponding USGS Seismic Design Web Services. See the "Related External Resources"...
Each of the downloadable files below contains peak ground accelerations on a grid of latitudes and longitudes that cover this geographic region. See the parent item for how Maximum Considered Earthquake Geometric Mean (MCEG) peak ground accelerations are derived from the data in these files.
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This Data Release contains version 3.0 of two related earthquake geology databases for use in the 2023 U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model. The databases are: 1) A fault sections database (“NSHM23_FSD_v3”), which depicts the geometry of faults capable of hosting independent earthquakes, and 2) an earthquake geology site information database (“NSHM23_EQGeoDB_v3”), which contains fault slip rate constraints at points. These databases cover the 12 western U.S. states: Washington, Oregon, California, Idaho, Nevada, Arizona, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico and Texas. Datasets containing crustal fault information for Alaska and the central and eastern United States were prepared by Bender and others, 2021 and Thompson...
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This data release contains data sets associated with the 2023 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model Update. The 2023 50-State National Seimsic Hazard Model (NSHM) Update includes an update to the NSHMs for the conterminous U.S (CONUS, last updated in 2018), Alaska (AK, last updated in 2007), and Hawaii (last updated in 2001). Data sets include inputs like seismicity catalogs used as input to the smoothed seismicity model and updated induced seismicity zone polygons in the central and eastern U.S., as well as outputs like hazard curves and uniform-hazard ground motion values. Plots of selected data sets are also included. The data sets provided here are primarily for the 2023 CONUS NHSM and 2023 AK NSHM. Additional...
Each of the downloadable files below contains spectral response accelerations at 22 periods on a grid of latitudes and longitudes that cover this geographic region. See the parent item for how Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) spectral response accelerations are derived from the data in these files.
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This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. It represents the average Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) with a 1-percent probability of exceedance in 1 year. Using a topographic-based soil classification method, the ground motions are amplified for soil type. The MMI values are the average of the MMI values obtained by converting peak ground acceleration to MMI and 1.0-second spectral response acceleration to MMI. The data are for the Central and Eastern United States and are based on the one-year model.
Categories: Data; Types: Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster
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We produce the USGS 2018 one-year probabilistic seismic hazard forecast for the central and eastern United States from induced and natural earthquakes. For consistency, the updated 2018 forecast is developed using the same probabilistic seismicity-based methodology as applied in the two previous forecasts for 2016 and 2017. Rates of earthquakes across the U.S. (M ≥ 3.0) grew rapidly between 2008 and 2015 but have steadily declined over the past three years, especially in areas of Oklahoma and southern Kansas where fluid injection has decreased. The seismicity pattern in 2017 was complex with earthquakes more spatially dispersed than in previous years. Some areas of west-central Oklahoma experienced increased activity...
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The 2021 update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model for Hawaii succeeds the twenty-year-old former model by incorporating new data and modeling techniques to improve the ground shaking forecasts. Output from the model includes probabilistic seismic hazard curves calculated for a 0.02° x 0.02° grid of latitude/longitude locations across Hawaii. The new model provides an expanded suite of hazard curves for twenty-three different ground motion intensity measures, including PGA, PGV, and spectral accelerations between 0.01 and 10 second, and for eight separate soil site classes (VS30 = 1500 m/sec to 150 m/sec), representing NEHRP site classes A/B to E. In addition, gridded uniform- hazard data are provided...
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This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for peak ground acceleration with a 1 percent probability of exceedance in 1 year. The data are for the Central and Eastern United States and are based on the one-year model.
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This data set represents the results of calculations of hazard curves for a grid of points with a spacing of 0.05 degrees in latitude and longitude. This particular data set is for horizontal spectral response acceleration for 0.2-second period with a 1 percent probability of exceedance in 1 year. The data are for the Central and Eastern United States and are based on the one-year model.


map background search result map search result map Data Release for 2018 One-Year Seismic Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes Chance of potentially minor-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Central and Eastern United States Chance of potentially moderate-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Central and Eastern United States Modified Mercalli Intensity based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration, with 1-percent probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Central and Eastern United States Modified Mercalli Intensity based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration, with 1-percent probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Central and Eastern United States 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States 1.0-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States Peak ground acceleration with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Central and Eastern United States Gridded earthquake ground motions for the 2015 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions and 2016 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard 1.1 : Conterminous United States 2.1 : Conterminous United States NSHM2023_FaultSections_v1 Shapefile NSHM2023_EQGeoDB_v1 Shapefile Data Release for the 2021 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model for Hawaii NSHM23_FSD_v2 NSHM23_EQGeoDB_v2 Data Release for the 2023 U.S. 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model - Overview Earthquake geology inputs for the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) 2023 (western U.S.) (ver. 3.0, December 2023) Data Release for the 2021 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model for Hawaii NSHM2023_EQGeoDB_v1 Shapefile NSHM23_EQGeoDB_v2 NSHM2023_FaultSections_v1 Shapefile NSHM23_FSD_v2 Earthquake geology inputs for the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) 2023 (western U.S.) (ver. 3.0, December 2023) Modified Mercalli Intensity based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration, with 1-percent probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States 1.0-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Western United States Modified Mercalli Intensity based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration, with 1-percent probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Central and Eastern United States Chance of potentially minor-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Central and Eastern United States Chance of potentially moderate-damage ground shaking in 2018 based on the average of horizontal spectral response acceleration for 1.0-second period and peak ground acceleration for the Central and Eastern United States 1.1 : Conterminous United States 2.1 : Conterminous United States Data Release for 2018 One-Year Seismic Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes 0.2-second spectral response acceleration (5% of critical damping) with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Central and Eastern United States Peak ground acceleration with a 1% probability of exceedance in 1 year for the Central and Eastern United States Data Release for the 2023 U.S. 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model - Overview Gridded earthquake ground motions for the 2015 NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions and 2016 ASCE/SEI 7 Standard