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Northeastern boreal forests are an important habitat type for many wildlife species, including migratory birds and moose. These animals play vital roles in the boreal forest ecosystem, are a source of pleasure for bird and wildlife watchers, and contribute to tourism revenue for many communities. However, moose and migratory birds are thought to be particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. For example, in New York’s Adirondack Park system, five species of boreal birds have shown occupancy declines of 15% or more. Meanwhile, moose are threatened by winter ticks that thrive in warmer climates and spread disease. A 2018 New York Department of Environmental Conservation (NYDEC) report found that there...
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Climate change is already affecting ecosystems, and will likely trigger significant and permanent changes in both ecological and human communities. Such transformations are already occurring in the Arctic region of Alaska, where temperatures are warming at twice the global average and causing some ecosystems to transition to new states. Arctic warming has led to coastal erosion that has forced human communities to relocate and a loss of sea ice that has forced marine mammals, such as polar bears and walrus, to adapt to a more terrestrial mode of living. Meanwhile, in the Great Plains of the U.S., past interactions between land and water use during the Dust Bowl and recent high rates of depletion of the Ogallala...
Scenario planning, while not a new process, is relatively new to applications in conservation and natural resource management. Not surprisingly, managers want to learn about scenario planning to help them understand whether incorporating it into their current planning processes will provide desired outcomes and is the best use of their time. This newsletter summarizes the recently attended Northeast Moose Group Meeting as well as a session on scenario planning at the Northeast Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies (NEAFWA) annual meeting highlighting ongoing efforts in the region. The aim in broadening our engagement is to share information, exchange ideas, and build from others’ endeavors with relevance to...
​A scenario planning exercise focused on climate change, land use, and moose in the Northeast U.S. is being undertaken by the Wildlife Conservation Society, North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Northeast Climate Science Center (U.S. Geological Survey), and the University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science. Phase 1 of the scenario planning process involves the identification of key features and drivers within the focus system. This newsletter summarizes the scientific state of knowledge and associated uncertainties from a workshop held at the Massachusetts Division of Fisheries and Wildlife headquarters in Westborough, MA on 4–5 February 2015.
Scenario planning is one decision support method that can help natural resource managers incorporate information about uncertain future changes in climate into management decisions. To provide a proof of concept of the value of scenario planning in helping managers prepare for climate change, we conducted a pilot scenario planning effort aimed at helping state agencies in the northeastern United States develop climate-informed moose management goals and actions. To encourage participation by wildlife managers, we provided several opportunities for them to learn about scenario planning and examples of its application in natural resource management. We shared this information via guidance documents on incorporating...
Northeastern boreal forests are an important habitat for many wildlife species, including migratory birds and moose. These animals play vital roles in the boreal forest ecosystem, are a source of pleasure for bird and wildlife watchers, and contribute to tourism revenue for many communities. However, moose and migratory birds are thought to be particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. For example, in New York’s Adirondack State Park, six species of boreal birds have shown population declines over the past ten years. Meanwhile, moose in many parts of the northeast are threatened by winter ticks that thrive in warmer climates and spread disease. Building upon earlier work related to climate impacts...
In recent years the New York Department of Environmental Conservation (NY-DEC) has engaged in various scenario planning workshops with researchers and conservation planners from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) and the Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS). This effort has been motivated by an interest in developing a moose management plan and considering the uncertainties around population dynamics in the context of future land use and impacts from climate change. The primary goals of the workshop held in May of 2018 included: developing an understanding of potential impacts of climate change on moose populations; identifying needs for research to support development of a moose management plan; and articulating...
THE RISING RISK OF DROUGHT. Droughts of the twenty-first century are characterized by hotter temperatures, longer duration, and greater spatial extent, and are increasingly exacerbated by human demands for water. This situation increases the vulnerability of ecosystems to drought, including a rise in drought-driven tree mortality globally (Allen et al. 2015) and anticipated ecosystem transformations from one state to another—for example, forest to a shrubland (Jiang et al. 2013). When a drought drives changes within ecosystems, there can be a ripple effect through human communities that depend on those ecosystems for critical goods and services (Millar and Stephenson 2015). For example, the “Millennium Drought”...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
As the globe continues to warm at increasingly dramatic rates, climate-sensitive ecosystems and the people that live in these environments are experiencing transformations in the conditions that support healthy species and human wellbeing. Nowhere is this more evident than in Alaska, which is warming at two to three times the global average rate, causing ecosystems to transition to new states. Arctic warming has already led to major consequences such as coastal erosion that has forced human communities to relocate, and summer sea ice loss that has pushed polar bears, walruses, and other species to adapt to a more terrestrial mode of living in closer proximity to human settlements and risking increased human-wildlife...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
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Scenario planning is one decision support method that can help natural resource managers incorporate information about uncertain future changes in climate into management decisions. To provide a proof of concept of the value of scenario planning in helping managers prepare for climate change, we conducted a pilot scenario planning effort aimed at helping state agencies in the northeastern United States develop climate-informed moose management goals and actions. To encourage participation by wildlife managers, we provided several opportunities for them to learn about scenario planning and examples of its application in natural resource management. We shared this information via guidance documents on incorporating...


    map background search result map search result map Climate, the Boreal Forest, and Moose: A Pilot Project for Scenario Planning to Inform Land and Wildlife Management Integrating Climate Change Research and Planning to Inform Wildlife Conservation in the Boreal Forests of the Northeastern U.S. Adaptation Strategies in the Face of Climate-Driven Ecological Transformation: Case Studies from Arctic Alaska and the U.S. Great Plains Integrating Climate Change Research and Planning to Inform Wildlife Conservation in the Boreal Forests of the Northeastern U.S. Climate, the Boreal Forest, and Moose: A Pilot Project for Scenario Planning to Inform Land and Wildlife Management Adaptation Strategies in the Face of Climate-Driven Ecological Transformation: Case Studies from Arctic Alaska and the U.S. Great Plains