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Filters: partyWithName: James D Nichols (X) > partyWithName: Climate Adaptation Science Centers (CASC) Program (X)

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Appropriate ecological indicators of climate change can be used to measure concurrent changes in ecological systems, inform management decisions, and potentially to project the consequences of climate change. However, many of the available indicators for North American birds do not account for imperfect observation. We proposed to use correlated-detection occupancy models to develop indicators from the North American Breeding Bird Survey data. The indicators were used to test hypotheses regarding changes in range and distribution of breeding birds. The results will support the Northeast Climate Science Center’s Science Agenda, including the science priority: researching ecological vulnerability and species response...
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Researchers from North Carolina State University and the USGS integrated models of urbanization and vegetation dynamics with the regional climate models to predict vegetation dynamics and assess how landscape change could impact priority species, including North American land birds. This integrated ensemble of models can be used to predict locations where responses to climate change are most likely to occur, expressing results in terms of species persistence to help resource managers understand the long-term sustainability of bird populations.


    map background search result map search result map Avian Indicators of Climate Change Based on the North American Breeding Bird Survey SERAP:  Assessment of Climate and Land Use Change Impacts on Terrestrial Species SERAP:  Assessment of Climate and Land Use Change Impacts on Terrestrial Species Avian Indicators of Climate Change Based on the North American Breeding Bird Survey