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The urgency for drought resilience planning has never been greater. With rapid changes in land use and increasing impacts from climate change, communities need to determine ways to meet their drought planning goals. Montana is forging new ground to join agencies, resource managers and communities to plan for drought impacts and build drought resilience. The State of Montana and the National Drought Resilience Partnership (NDRP)–a collaborative of federal and state agencies, non-governmental organizations (NGOs), and watershed stakeholders–are working together to leverage and deliver technical, human and financial resources to help address drought in the arid West.The Missouri Headwaters Basin in southwest Montana...
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Water is essential to our health, economy and quality of life. A scarcity of water has always characterized life in the West, and with increasing demands and limited supplies, smart and efficient water use is key. One answer is to develop conservation and drought mitigation strategies that start on the ground with full community participation and integrate high level tools available from state and federal partners.The National Drought Resiliency Partnership (NDRP) is a collaborative group of federal agencies working together to implement President Obama’s Climate Action Plan. In partnership with the Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation (DNRC) and other state and local collaborators, the Missouri...
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The White House Council for Environmental Quality has identified two national watersheds to pilot large-scale drought resiliency implementation. The Missouri Headwaters Basin within the GNLCC region and High Divide landscape is one of these national demonstration areas, and the GNLCC can advance its collective mission with this opportunity. By delivering science to management and building a learning network among watershed groups, this project will align the large-scale watershed management efforts of the GNLCC with the National Drought Resiliency Program (NDRP) and the Montana Department of Natural Resources (DNRC) to build drought resilience into this important northern Rocky Mountain landscape.
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Native grasslands have been altered to a greater extent than any other biome in North America. The habitats and resources needed to support breeding performance of grassland birds endemic to prairie ecosystems are currently threatened by land management practices and impending climate change. Climate models for the Great Plains prairie region predict a future of hotter and drier summers with strong multiyear droughts and more frequent and severe precipitation events. We examined how fluctuations in weather conditions in eastern Colorado influenced nest survival of an avian species that has experienced recent population declines, the Mountain Plover (Charadrius montanus). Nest survival averaged 27.2% over a 7-yr...
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Contemporary observations suggest that water may disappear entirely from portions of some North Slope stream-beds during periods of drought or low flow. Climate models project even drier summers in the future. This could pose a problem for migrating fish that must be able to move back and forth from breeding and summer feeding areas to scarce overwintering sites. This work uses the best available long-term hydrologic data set for the North Slope (in the upper Kuparuk River watershed) to develop a model to assess the vulnerability of stream systems to periodic drought, and the vulnerability of migrating fish to a loss of stream connectivity.
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This study focused on sensitivity of high-elevation ecosystems in Hawai‘i to climate change. These Hawaiian ecosystems are becoming warmer and drier, and are relevant because they house many rare species, represent the last remaining stretches of uninvaded landscapes, and include wao akua – the small-statured cloud forests of great cultural significance that are the ‘realm of the gods’. Rapid climate change here presents a disproportionately high climate change impact risk. We provided models that relate current, past, and future distribution of plant species from 6000 – 7500’ feet in elevation on Haleakalā, to mean climate, extreme drought events, and soil properties. We constructed 24 models of current vegetation...
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The potential ecological and economic effects of climate change for tropical islands were studied using output from 12 statistically downscaled general circulation models (GCMs) taking Puerto Rico as a test case. Two model selection/model averaging strategies were used: the average of all available GCMs and the average of the models that are able to reproduce the observed large-scale dynamics that control precipitation over the Caribbean. Five island-wide and multidecadal averages of daily precipitation and temperature wereestimated by way of a climatology-informed interpolation of the site-specific downscaled climate model output. Annual cooling degree-days (CDD) were calculated as a proxy index for air-conditioning...
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Our project focuses on understanding patterns and causes of recent population declines in the Haleakala silversword that are associated with decreasing precipitation, increasing temperature, and related climate changes in Hawaii’s high-elevation ecosystems. The Haleakala silversword is an ideal taxon with which to assess impacts from climate change. It forms the foundation of a diverse alpine community and likely reflects wider ecological changes; it is already exhibiting patterns of mortality consistent with an upslope shifting distribution; and its high visibility and symbolic status make it unmatched in educational potential. Building on extensive research infrastructure, we propose to collect the demographic...
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Executive summary: Tamarisk control and removal has become a priority of riparian ecosystem management, due in part to its potential negative impacts on stream flow and groundwater recharge. Among the most controversial, and potentially most effective tamarisk control approaches is the introduction of the tamarisk leaf beetle, Diorhabda carinulata. The beetle has spread throughout virtually the entire upper Colorado River Basin, established major populations at Lake Mead in 2012, and is now poised to expand into the lower Colorado River Basin concordant with documented evolutionary change in beetle developmental response that may enable survival in southern regions. Superimposed on this direct plant/herbivore relationship...
Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, AZ-01, AZ-02, AZ-03, AZ-04, All tags...
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Flow alteration – from new and existing water supply projects, increased urbanization, and drought conditions – is a pervasive threat to aquatic wildlife throughout the Gulf Coast Prairie region. One species susceptible to this threat is Guadalupe Bass, an economically and ecologically important black bass species endemic to Texas. The area encompassing their range is projected to experience some of the highest population growth in Texas, placing increased demands on the aquifers and watersheds of this region. A previous GCP LCC instream Flow project conducted by the Southeast Aquatic Resources Partnership (SARP) produced hypotheses about instream flow requirements of native aquatic species that need to be tested....
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Delivering adequate water supplies to support expanding human enterprise while maintaining the necessary flow regimes to support desired riparian ecosystems and formally protected wildlife species that depend upon them is increasingly difficult in the arid western United States. Many riparian systems have undergone dramatic alteration over the last 50 - 100 years, exacerbating the conflicts between resource use and biodiversity protection. One of the most visible changes that is in part due to altered flow regimes is the establishment of invasive plant species in riparian ecosystems. The highest priority invasive riparian plant is the Eurasian tree/shrub, tamarisk (or saltcedar, Tamarix spp.) the third most abundant...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, AZ-01, AZ-02, AZ-03, AZ-04, All tags...
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Loss and fragmentation of grassland habitat can influence populations of the animal communities dependent upon this ecosystem. Grassland birds have faced notable declines in some areas of their range, potentially a result of changes to suitable habitat. Managing populations of grassland birds requires an understanding of the effects of habitat loss and fragmentation at a local and regional scale. We studied two grassland-dependent bird species, Eastern Meadowlarks (Sturnella magna) and Northern Bobwhites (Colinus virginianus), in an area of recent explosive growth in oil and gas related development. First, we quantified habitat lossand fragmentation of grassland habitat using remotely sensed datasets at multiple...
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Species populations are in a state of flux due to the cumulative and interacting impacts of climate change and human stressors across landscapes. Invasive spread, pathogen outbreaks, land-use activities, and especially climate disruption and its associated impacts—severe drought (see Figure 3 or the GPLCC), reduced stream flow, increased wildfire frequency, extended growing season, and extreme weather events—are increasing, and in some cases accelerating. These impacts are outpacing management and conservation responses intended to support trust species and their critical habitats. Our common goal is to craft successful adaptation strategies in the face of these multiple, interacting drivers of environmental change....
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The Plains and Prairie Potholes Landscape Conservation Cooperative (PPPLCC) encompasses over 1.2 million square kilometers in 3 Canadian Provinces and 7 US States. A main objective of the PPPLCC is to facilitate improved scientific understanding of the effects of broad-scale environmental stressors on plant and animal resources across this extensive region. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) promote broad-scale understanding by providing support for rigorous study, inventory, assessment, and monitoring of the amount and condition of habitat across extensive geographies. Development of coherent, validated GIS data for the PPPLCC region was therefore identified as an important initial step toward accomplishing the...
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Flow alteration – from new and existing water supply projects, increased urbanization, and drought conditions – is a pervasive threat to aquatic wildlife throughout the Gulf Coast Prairie region. One species susceptible to this threat is Guadalupe Bass, an economically and ecologically important black bass species endemic to Texas. The area encompassing their range is projected to experience some of the highest population growth in Texas, placing increased demands on the aquifers and watersheds of this region. A previous GCP LCC Instream Flow project conducted by the Southeast Aquatic Resources Partnership (SARP) produced hypotheses about instream flow requirements of native aquatic species that need to be tested....
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Stream fragmentation alters the structure of aquatic communities on a global scale, generally through loss of native species. Among riverscapes in the Great Plains of North America, stream fragmentation and hydrologic alteration (flow regulation and dewatering) are implicated in the decline of native fish diversity. This study documents the spatio–temporal distribution of fish reproductive guilds in the fragmented Arkansas and Ninnescah rivers of south-central Kansas using retrospective analyses involving 63 years of fish community data. Pelagic-spawning fishes declined throughout the study area during 1950–2013, including Arkansas River shiner (Notropis girardi) last reported in 1983, plains minnow (Hybognathus...
Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: CATFISHES/MINNOWS, Colorado, Colorado, FISH, Federal resource managers, All tags...
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The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) of the north-central U.S. and south-central Canada contains millions of small prairie wetlands that provide critical habitat to many migrating and breeding waterbirds. Due to their small size and the relatively dry climate of the region, these wetlands are considered at high risk for negative climate change effects as temperatures increase. To estimate the potential impacts of climate change on breeding waterbirds, we predicted current and future distributions of species common in the PPR using species distribution models (SDMs). We created regional-scale SDMs for the U.S. PPR using Breeding Bird Survey occurrence records for 1971–2011 and wetland, upland, and climate variables....
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Watersheds draining the Arctic Coastal Plain (ACP) of Alaska are dominated by permafrostand snowmelt runoff that create abundant surface storage in the form of lakes, wetlands, and beaded streams. These surface water elements compose complex drainage networks that affect aquatic ecosystem connectivity and hydrologic behavior. The 4676 km2 Fishand Creek drainage basin is composed of three watersheds that represent a gradient of theACP landscape with varying extents of eolian, lacustrine, and fluvial landforms. In each watershed, we analyzed 2.5-m-resolution aerial photography, a 5-m digital elevationmodel, and river gauging and climate records to better understand ACP watershed structureand processes. We show that...


map background search result map search result map Drought and Cooler Temperatures Are Associated with Higher Nest Survival in Mountain Plovers From Genotype to River Basin: The combined impacts of climate change on bio-control on a dominant riparian invasive tree/shrub (Tamarisk spp.) Future Distribution of Cloud Forests and Associated Species in Hawaii Understanding how climate change is affecting Hawaii's high-elevation ecosystems: an assessment of the long-term viability of Haleakala silverswords and associated biological communities Guadalupe Bass flow-ecology relationships; with emphasis on the impact of flow on recruitment Final Report: Decision support for climate change adaptation in the GPLCC: Creating geospatial data products for ecosystem assessments and predictive species modeling Missouri Headwaters Drought Resilience Demonstration Project Summary Final Report: Habitat Loss and Fragmentation Effects in the Management of Northern Bobwhites and Eastern Meadowlarks A Workplan for Drought Resilience in the Missouri Headwaters Basin Large Scale Drought Resiliency in the Missouri Headwaters Basin Success Measurement Summary Drought Resilience Demonstration Project in the Missouri Headwaters Basin Building the Foundation for International Conservation Planning for the Plains and Prairie Pothole Ecosystems final report Final Report and Publication: From Genotype to River Basin: The combined impacts of climate change on bio-control on a dominant riparian invasive tree/shrub Vulnerability of Breeding Waterbirds to Climate Change in the Prairie Pothole Region Linking North Slope Climate, Hydrology, and Fish Migration Publication: Fragmentation and drying ratchet down Great Plains stream fish diversity Drainage Network Structure and Hydrologic Behavior of Three Lake-Rich Watersheds on the Arctic Coastal Plain, Alaska Climate Change Implications for Tropical Islands: Interpolating and Interpreting Statistically Downscaled GCM Projections for Management and Planning Webinar: Sharing the Balance of Stewardship, The Blackfoot Drought Response Plan - J Schoonen Guadalupe Bass flow-ecology relationships: genetic sample collection data Understanding how climate change is affecting Hawaii's high-elevation ecosystems: an assessment of the long-term viability of Haleakala silverswords and associated biological communities Linking North Slope Climate, Hydrology, and Fish Migration Climate Change Implications for Tropical Islands: Interpolating and Interpreting Statistically Downscaled GCM Projections for Management and Planning Drainage Network Structure and Hydrologic Behavior of Three Lake-Rich Watersheds on the Arctic Coastal Plain, Alaska Missouri Headwaters Drought Resilience Demonstration Project Summary Large Scale Drought Resiliency in the Missouri Headwaters Basin Success Measurement Summary Drought Resilience Demonstration Project in the Missouri Headwaters Basin A Workplan for Drought Resilience in the Missouri Headwaters Basin Guadalupe Bass flow-ecology relationships; with emphasis on the impact of flow on recruitment Guadalupe Bass flow-ecology relationships: genetic sample collection data From Genotype to River Basin: The combined impacts of climate change on bio-control on a dominant riparian invasive tree/shrub (Tamarisk spp.) Final Report and Publication: From Genotype to River Basin: The combined impacts of climate change on bio-control on a dominant riparian invasive tree/shrub Future Distribution of Cloud Forests and Associated Species in Hawaii Drought and Cooler Temperatures Are Associated with Higher Nest Survival in Mountain Plovers Final Report: Decision support for climate change adaptation in the GPLCC: Creating geospatial data products for ecosystem assessments and predictive species modeling Publication: Fragmentation and drying ratchet down Great Plains stream fish diversity Webinar: Sharing the Balance of Stewardship, The Blackfoot Drought Response Plan - J Schoonen Final Report: Habitat Loss and Fragmentation Effects in the Management of Northern Bobwhites and Eastern Meadowlarks Building the Foundation for International Conservation Planning for the Plains and Prairie Pothole Ecosystems final report Vulnerability of Breeding Waterbirds to Climate Change in the Prairie Pothole Region