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ROOT _ScienceBase Catalog __National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers ___South Central CASC ____FY 2014 Projects
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Abstract (from http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-016-2376-z): Drought is among the most insidious types of natural disasters and can have devastating economic and human health impacts. This research analyzes the relationship between two readily accessible drought indices—the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) and Palmer Hydrologic Drought Index (PHDI)—and the damage incurred by such droughts in terms of monetary loss, over the 1975–2010 time period on monthly basis, for five states in the south-central USA. Because drought damage in the Spatial Hazards Events and Losses Database for the United States (SHELDUS™) is reported at the county level, statistical downscaling techniques were used to estimate...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Drought,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
South Central CASC,
Statistical Downscaling,
drought
Abstract (from http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.47/abstract): Two datasets of soil temperature observations collected at Norman, Oklahoma, USA, were analysed to study horizontal and vertical variability in their observations. The first dataset comprised 15-min resolution soil temperature observations from 20 September 2011 to 18 November 2013 in seven plots across a 10-m transect. In each plot, sensors were located at depths of 5, 10, and 30 cm. All seven plots observed fairly consistent maximum soil temperature observations during the spring, fall, and winter months. Starting in late May, the observed spread in soil temperatures across the 10-m transect increased significantly until August when the...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Drought,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
Fire,
South Central CASC
Abstract (from Natural Hazards): Drought indices are useful for quantifying drought severity and have shown mixed success as an indicator of drought damage and biophysical dryness. While spatial downscaling of drought indicators from the climate divisional level to the county level has been conducted successfully in previous work, little research to date has attempted to “upscale” remotely sensed biophysical indicators to match the downscaled drought indices. This upscaling is important because drought damage and indices are often reported at a coarser scale than the biophysical indicators provide. This research upscales National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer sensor-acquired...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Drought,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
South Central CASC
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Data Visualization & Tools,
Drought,
Drought Management,
Drought Monitoring,
Drought indices,
Volodymyr V. Mihunov, Nina S.N. Lam, Robert V. Rohli, Lei Zou, 2019, Emerging disparities in community resilience to drought hazard in south-central United States, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction.
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Drought,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
South Central CASC
Abstract (from Springer): Globally, changing fire regimes due to climate is one of the greatest threats to ecosystems and society. In this paper, we present projections of future fire probability for the southcentral USA using downscaled climate projections and the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (PC2FM). Future fire probability is projected to both increase and decrease across the study region of Oklahoma, New Mexico, and Texas. Among all end-of-century projections, change in fire probabilities (CFPs) range from − 51 to + 240%. Greatest absolute increases in fire probability are shown for areas within the range of approximately 75 to 160 cm mean annual precipitation (MAP), regardless of climate model. Although...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
Fire,
Plants,
South Central CASC,
Wildlife and Plants
Abstract (from http://www.tandfonline.com/eprint/EBxQ7emIEP3P6pzxz74H/full) Drought is a hazard that inflicts costly damage to agricultural, hydrologic, and ecological systems and affects human health and prosperity. A comprehensive assessment of resilience to the drought hazard in various communities and an identification of the main variables that affect resilience is crucial to coping with the hazard and promoting resilience. This study assessed the community resilience to drought hazards of all 503 counties of Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas using the resilience inference measurement (RIM) model for the period of 2000 to 2015. Through k-means cluster analysis, stepwise discriminant analysis...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Citation,
Drought,
Drought,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
Publication,
Drought indices are widely used for drought monitoring. This study evaluates the performance of six indices (Palmer’s Drought Severity Index (PDSI), Palmer’s Z-index, precipitation percent normal, precipitation percentiles, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI)) to determine which are most appropriate for monitoring agricultural drought in the south-central United States. Soil moisture and crop yield data for winter wheat, corn and cotton are used to assess the performance of drought indices. The results indicate that SPEI is the most representative of soil moisture conditions. The best drought index for crop yield varies depending on crop type...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Data Visualization & Tools,
Drought,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
Science Tools For Managers,
South Central CASC
Precipitation amounts and frequencies are major regulators of soil heat-load profiles as the interval between rainfall events allows for increased heat storage during cloudless periods. The extreme drought of 2011 and the subsequent Flash Drought that occurred in summer, 2012, developed in part due to soil temperature dynamics across the landscape of the Southern High Plains. The negative impacts of highly variable soil temperatures on ecosystem process can be easily seen in family gardens. Most gardeners across the SHP realize that mulching has a beneficial impact on the success of any gardening effort as mulch reduces the heat storage of the soil thereby providing for a more stable temperature while also reducing...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Drought,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
Fire,
South Central CASC,
drought development,
The south central U.S. is one of the main agricultural regions in North America and annual agricultural production is valued at more than $44 billion dollars. Climate variability and drought have both direct and indirect impacts on agriculture and consequences for land management. There are many different drought monitoring products and tools available, but unfortunately most were developed without input from the stakeholders who are intended to use them. In the SC CSC region private landowners, such as farmers and ranchers, are responsible for the majority of land management. The goal of this project is to assess the information needs of famers and ranchers in the SC CSC region in the development of drought monitoring...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Agriculture,
Data Visualization & Tools,
Drought,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
Droughts,
The purpose of this project was to enhance the knowledge of local tribal environmental professionals related to planning for the increased frequency of weather events as a result of climate change. Beyond expanding knowledge, the objective of this workshop introduce the Division of Regional and City Planning faculty and students to the planning needs of tribal communities related to climate change. As a secondary objective, the grantees sought to lay a foundation for building relationships with the regional BIA offices and the tribal environmental professionals for future planning and research activities.
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Climate change,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
Extreme Weather,
Indigenous Peoples,
South Central CASC,
There are a variety of metrics that are used to monitor drought conditions, including soil moisture and drought indices. This study examines the relationship between in situ soil moisture, NLDAS-2 soil moisture, and four drought indices: the standardized precipitation index, the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index, the crop moisture index, and the Palmer Z index. We evaluate how well drought indices and the modeled soil moisture represent the intensity, variability, and persistence of the observed soil moisture in the southern Great Plains. We also apply the drought indices to evaluate land–atmosphere interactions and compare the results with soil moisture. The results show that the SPI, SPEI, and...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation
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