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This metadata record describes model outputs and supporting model code for the Data-Driven Drought Prediction project of the Water Resources Mission Area Drought Program. The data listed here include outputs of multiple machine learning model types for predicting hydrological drought at select locations within the conterminous United States. The child items referenced below correspond to different models and spatial extents (Colorado River Basin region or conterminous United States). See the list below or metadata files in each sub-folder for more details. Daily streamflow percentile predictions for the Colorado River Basin region — Outputs from long short-term memory (LSTM) deep learning models corresponding to...
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This metadata record describes outputs from 12 configurations of long short-term memory (LSTM) models which were used to predict streamflow drought occurrence at 384 stream gage locations in the Colorado River Basin region. The models were trained on data from 01-Oct-1981 to 31-Mar-2005 and validated over the period of record spanning 01-Apr-2005 to 31-Mar- 2014. The models use explanatory variable inputs described in Wieczorek (2023) (doi.org/10.5066/P98IG8LO) to predict daily streamflow and streamflow percentiles as described in Simeone (2022) (doi.org/10.5066/P92FAASD). Separate models were trained to predict daily streamflow and streamflow percentiles. Two types of percentiles were modeled: (1) fixed-threshold...
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Dry stream sections are characteristic of most prairie streams. Native fish are highly adapted to variable environments, using refuge habitats (e.g., remaining wet stream fragments) to recolonize areas after seasonal drying. However, dams and other barriers can prevent recolonization of seasonally-dry stream sections habitats known to be critical spawning and rearing areas for many species. This phenomenon will likely become more common as climate change causes increasingly severe droughts, and larger sections of streams become seasonally dry. This could lead to local loss of native prairie fishes, an already at-risk group. Fisheries managers in Wyoming and Montana have limited data on climate impacts to prairie...


    map background search result map search result map Streamflow Observation Points in the Pacific Northwest, 1977-2016 The Implications of Stream Fragmentation for Climate Change Resilience of Northern Prairie Fishes Data-Driven Drought Prediction Project Model Outputs for Select Spatial Units within the Conterminous United States Data-Driven Drought Prediction Project Model Outputs: Daily Streamflow and Streamflow Percentile Predictions for the Colorado River Basin Region The Implications of Stream Fragmentation for Climate Change Resilience of Northern Prairie Fishes Streamflow Observation Points in the Pacific Northwest, 1977-2016 Data-Driven Drought Prediction Project Model Outputs: Daily Streamflow and Streamflow Percentile Predictions for the Colorado River Basin Region Data-Driven Drought Prediction Project Model Outputs for Select Spatial Units within the Conterminous United States