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Folders: ROOT > ScienceBase Catalog > LC MAP - Landscape Conservation Management and Analysis Portal > Plains and Prairie Potholes Landscape Conservation Cooperative > Projects > Capture and interpretation of down-scaled climate change models to benefit avian conservation ( Show all descendants )

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_____Capture and interpretation of down-scaled climate change models to benefit avian conservation
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The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) of the north-central U.S. and south-central Canada contains millions of small prairie wetlands that provide critical habitat to many migrating and breeding waterbirds. Due to their small size and the relatively dry climate of the region, these wetlands are considered at high risk for negative climate change effects as temperatures increase. To estimate the potential impacts of climate change on breeding waterbirds, we predicted current and future distributions of species common in the PPR using species distribution models (SDMs). We created regional-scale SDMs for the U.S. PPR using Breeding Bird Survey occurrence records for 1971–2011 and wetland, upland, and climate variables....
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Climate change poses major challenges for conservation and management because it alters the area, quality, and spatial distribution of habitat for natural populations. To assess species’ vulnerability to climate change and target ongoing conservation investments, researchers and managers often consider the effects of projected changes in climate and land use on future habitat availability and quality and the uncertainty associated with these projections. Here, we draw on tools from hydrology and climate science to project the impact of climate change on the density of wetlands in the Prairie Pothole Region of the USA, a critical area for breeding waterfowl and other wetland-dependent species. We evaluate the potential...
    map background search result map search result map Projected wetland densities under climate change: habitat loss but little geographic shift in conservation strategy Vulnerability of Breeding Waterbirds to Climate Change in the Prairie Pothole Region Projected wetland densities under climate change: habitat loss but little geographic shift in conservation strategy Vulnerability of Breeding Waterbirds to Climate Change in the Prairie Pothole Region