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Location Folder Show Tree ROOT _ScienceBase Catalog __National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers ___North Central CASC ____FY 2015 Projects Forecasting Future Changes in Sagebrush Distribution and Abundance Informing Adaptation Strategies for Maintaining Landscape Connectivity for Northern Rockies Wildlife Informing the Identification of Economically Effective Targets for Grassland Conservation in the Dakotas Model-Based Scenario Planning to Inform Climate Change Adaptation in the Northern Great Plains The Wind River Indian Reservation’s Vulnerability to the Impacts of Drought and the Development of Decision Tools to Support Drought Preparedness Filters Date Range Past year (8) Past month (0) Past week (0) Past day (0) Custom range... To   Search Extensions Citation (26) ArcGIS Map Package (12) Types ArcGIS Map Package (12) Downloadable (12) Report (1) Contacts Bray Beltran Center for Large Landscape Conservation Conservation Science Partners Meredith McClure Steve Hostetler More... Categories Publication (26) Data (13) Tag Types Theme (15) Science Themes (34) Place (13) Landscapes (26) Organization (34) Science Tools For Managers (17) Wildlife and Plants (16) More... Tag Schemes https://www.sciencebase.gov/vocab/category/NCCWSC/ScienceThemes (34) None (13) Common geographic areas (12) https://www.sciencebase.gov/vocab/category/NCCWSC/Landscapes (26) https://www.sciencebase.gov/vocab/category/NCCWSC/Project/OrganizationName (34) USGS Thesaurus (12) https://www.sciencebase.gov/vocab/category/NCCWSC/ScienceToolsforManagers (17) More... View Results as: JSON ATOM CSV Browse Folder

Management opportunities and research priorities for Great Plains grasslands The Great Plains Grassland Summit: Challenges and Opportunities from North to South was held April 10-11, 2018 in Denver, Colorado to provide syntheses of information about key grassland topics of interest in the Great Plains; networking and learning channels for managers, researchers, and stakeholders; and working sessions for sharing ideas about challenges and future research and management opportunities. The summit was convened to better understand stressors and resource demands throughout the Great Plains and how to manage them, and to discuss methods for improved collaboration among natural resource managers, scientists, and stakeholders. Over 200 stakeholders, who collectively were affiliated with all of the... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation Final Report: Informing the Identification of Economically Effective Targets for Grassland Conservation in the Dakotas America’s remaining grassland in the Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) is at risk of being lost to crop production. When crop prices are high, like the historically high corn prices that the U.S. experienced between 2008 and 2014, the risk of grassland conversion is even higher. Changing climate will add uncertainties to any efforts toward conservation of grassland in the PPR. Grassland conversion to cropland in the region would imperil nesting waterfowl among other species and further impair water quality in the Mississippi watershed. In this project, we sought to contribute to the understanding of land conversion in the PPR with the aim to better target the use of public and private funds allocated toward incentivizing... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation, Report; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Grasslands and Plains, Landscapes, Mississippi watershed, North Central CASC, All tags... Prairie Pothole Region (PPR), Science Tools For Managers, cropland, grassland, waterfowl, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on grassland connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, Idaho, All tags... Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, grassland ecosystems, natural resource management, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on alpine connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Alpine, Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Idaho, Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, Fewer tags Grassland Easement Evaluation and Acquisition: an Integrated Framework Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Acquisition, Data Visualization & Tools, Easement, Evaluation, Grasslands, All tags... Grasslands and Plains, Landscapes, North Central CASC, Real Option, Science Tools For Managers, Fewer tags Final Report: The Wind River Indian Reservation’s Vulnerability to the Impacts of Drought and the Development of Decision Tools to Support Drought Preparedness The Wind River Indian Reservation (WRIR) in west-central Wyoming is home to the Eastern Shoshone and Northern Arapaho tribes, who reside near and depend on water from the streams that feed into Wind River. In recent years, however, the region has experienced frequent severe droughts, which have affected tribal livelihoods and cultural activities. Scientists with the North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center (NCCASC) at Colorado State University, the National Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC) at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, and several other university and agency partners in the region worked in close partnership with tribal water managers to assess how drought affects the reservation, which included... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Indigenous Peoples, North Central CASC, All tags... Science Tools For Managers, Social Science, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, drought, hydroclimate, social and ecological vulnerabilities, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on forest connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, Idaho, All tags... Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, forest ecosystems, natural resource management, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on bighorn sheep connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Bighorn sheep, Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Idaho, Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on mountain goat connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, Idaho, All tags... Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, Mountain goat, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, Fewer tags State-and-transition simulation model of rangeland vegetation in southwest South Dakota (1969-2050) This is a spatially-explicit state-and-transition simulation model of rangeland vegetation dynamics in southwest South Dakota. It was co-designed with resource management partners to support scenario planning for climate change adaptation. The study site encompasses part of multiple jurisdictions, including Badlands National Park, Buffalo Gap National Grasslands, and Pine Ridge Indian Reservation. The model represents key vegetation types, grazing, exotic plants, fire, and the effects of climate and management on rangeland productivity and composition (i.e., distribution of ecological community phases). See Miller et al. (2017) for further details. The model was built using the ST-Sim software platform (www.apexrms.com/stsm).... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Badlands National Park, Bison, Buffalo Gap National Grassland, Cattle, Climate change, All tags... Climatology, Data Visualization & Tools, Fire, Grazing, Invasive species, Land Use Change, Livestock, North Central CASC, Northern Great Plains, Scenario planning, Science Tools for Managers, South Dakota, State-and-transition simulation model, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), Fewer tags Increasing carbon footprint of grain crop production in the US Western Corn Belt Abstract (from IOP Science): Global agriculture is challenged to increase soil carbon sequestration and reduce greenhouse gas emissions while providing products for an increasing population. Growing crop production could be achieved through higher yield per hectare (i.e. intensive farming) or more hectares (extensive farming), which however, have different ecological and environmental consequences. Multiple lines of evidence indicate that expanding cropland for additional production may lead to loss of vegetation and soil carbon, and threaten the survival of wildlife. New concerns about the impacts of extensive farming have been raised for the US Corn Belt, one of the world's most productive regions, as cropland... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Grasslands and Plains, Landscapes, North Central CASC, Science Tools For Managers Crop competitiveness and climate change in the northern Great Plains Abstract (from http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/agsaaea16/235895.htm): We evaluate the regional-level agricultural impacts of climate change in the Northern Great Plains. We first estimate a non-linear yield-weather relationship for all major commodities in the area: corn, soybeans, spring wheat and alfalfa. We separately identify benevolent and harmful temperature thresholds for each commodity, and control for severe-to-extreme dry/wet conditions in our yield models. Analyzing all major commodities in a region extends the existing literature beyond just one crop, most typically corn yields. Alfalfa is particularly interesting since it is a legume-crop that is substitutable with grasses as animal feed and rotated... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Climate change, Data Visualization & Tools, Grassland conversion, Grasslands and Plains, Landscapes, All tags... North Central CASC, Science Tools For Managers, Statistical yield model, weather and soil interaction, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on grizzly bear connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, Grizzly bear, All tags... Idaho, Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, Fewer tags Regional Climate Response Collaboratives: Multi-Institutional Support for Climate Resilience Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountain, All tags... Science Tools For Managers, Social Science, climate resilience, climate variability, decision support tool, Fewer tags Co-producing simulation models to inform resource management: a case study from southwest South Dakota Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, North Central CASC, Science Tools for Managers Final Report: Forecasting Future Changes in Sagebrush Distribution and Abundance Fossil fuel and agriculture have increased atmospheric concentrations of the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane, which have caused global air temperature to increase by almost 1- degree Celsius. In the absence of climate mitigation, over the next century human-driven climate change is expected to increase temperatures from pre-industrial levels by more than 2-degrees. Understanding the consequences of climate change on ecosystems and the services they provide are critical for guiding land management activities that aim to improve resiliency and to prevent species losses. Here we evaluated how sagebrush ecosystems in the Western United States respond to climate change by using multiple climate projections... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Landscapes, North Central CASC, Other Landscapes, Plants, Wildlife and Plants, All tags... agriculture, carbon dioxide, fossil fuel, sagebrush, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on shrub connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, Idaho, All tags... Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, shrubland ecosystems, Fewer tags The role of economic returns in land use change: Evidence from farm-level data in the US Northern Great Plains Conversion of grassland to cropland in the US Prairie Pothole Region is of longstanding concern. The region's grasslands are carbon (C) sinks and provide important breeding grounds for many migratory bird species. Crop production requires more input use, potentially increasing pollution in the greater Mississippi watershed. Previous analyses of land conversion in the Prairie Pothole Region generally invoke neoclassical economic models and typically use secondary data to assess conversion decisions. To more deeply investigate farmers' land use choices, we use data from focus group meetings to learn about their conversion decisions, conversion costs, and motives. Farmers mentioned profit-related factors frequently... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation The impact of production network economies on spatially-contiguous conservation– Theoretical model with evidence from the U.S. Prairie Pothole Region This paper examines the impact of production network economies on designing cost-effective conservation targeting strategies. We first develop a theoretical model to study the decision to convert land from an extensive (or biodiversity-friendly) use to an intensive use (e.g., crop agriculture) in the presence of network economies in land use returns. The model supports the possibility of multiple land use equilibria due to network economies and identifies policy outcomes that increase welfare. Bandwagon effects can occur whereby spatial production spillovers from lands under intensive use can prompt further conversions on proximate lands under extensive use. Conversely, conservation sites can be placed strategically... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation Potential climate change impacts on Canada lynx connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Canada lynx, Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Idaho, Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, Fewer tags 1 2 »