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Location Folder Show Tree ROOT _ScienceBase Catalog __National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers Alaska CASC Midwest CASC National CASC North Central CASC Northeast CASC More... Filters Date Range Past year (4) Past month (0) Past week (0) Past day (0) Custom range... To   Search Extensions Citation (6) Budget (1) Project (1) Shapefile (1) Types Citation (12) Map Service (3) OGC WFS Layer (3) OGC WMS Layer (3) OGC WMS Service (2) Downloadable (1) Shapefile (1) Contacts U.S. Geological Survey - ScienceBase Gretchen J.A. Hansen Luke A. Winslow Vipin Kumar Integrated Information Dissemination Division More... Categories Data (6) Publication (6) Project (1) Tag Types Place (9) Theme (10) Science Themes (14) USGS Scientific Topic Keyword (6) Organization (14) Water, Coasts and Ice (14) Wildlife and Plants (14) More... Tag Schemes U.S. Department of Commerce, 1987, Codes for the identification of the States, the District of Columbia and the outlying areas of the United States, and associated areas (Federal Information Processing Standard 5-2): Washington, D. C., NIST (9) none (9) ISO 19115 Topic Category (9) https://www.sciencebase.gov/vocab/category/NCCWSC/ScienceThemes (14) Department of Commerce, 1995, Countries, Dependencies, Areas of Special Sovereignty, and Their Principal Administrative Divisions, Federal Information Processing Standard (FIPS) 10-4, Washington, D.C., National Institute of Standards and Technology (9) https://www.sciencebase.gov/vocab/category/NCCWSC/Project/OrganizationName (14) https://www.sciencebase.gov/vocab/category/NCCWSC/WaterCoastsandIce (14) More... View Results as: JSON ATOM CSV Browse Folder

Daily surface temperature predictions for 185,549 U.S. lakes with associated observations and meteorological conditions (1980-2020) Daily lake surface temperatures estimates for 185,549 lakes across the contiguous United States from 1980 to 2020 generated using an entity-aware long short-term memory deep learning model. In-situ measurements used for model training and evaluation are from 12,227 lakes and are included as well as daily meteorological conditions and lake properties. Median per-lake estimated error found through cross validation on lakes with in-situ surface temperature observations was 1.24 °C. The generated dataset will be beneficial for a wide range of applications including estimations of thermal habitats and the impacts of climate change on inland lakes. Categories: Data; Tags: AL, AR, AZ, Alabama, Aquatic Biology, All tags... Arizona, Arkansas, CA, CO, CT, California, Colorado, Connecticut, DC, DE, Delaware, District of Columbia, Ecology, FL, Florida, GA, Georgia, Hydrology, IA, ID, IL, IN, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, KS, KY, Kansas, Kentucky, LA, Limnology, Louisiana, MA, MD, ME, MI, MN, MO, MS, MT, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, NC, ND, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NV, NY, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, OH, OK, OR, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, PA, Pennsylvania, RI, Rhode Island, SC, SD, South Carolina, South Dakota, TN, TX, Tennessee, Texas, US, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), UT, United States, Utah, VA, VT, Vermont, Virginia, WA, WI, WV, WY, Washington, Water Quality, Water Resources, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming, climate change, deep learning, environment, inlandWaters, machine learning, modeling, reservoirs, surface temperature, temperate lakes, temperature, water, water resources, Fewer tags Warmer Waters From Climate Change Could Impact Sport Fish Communities in Midwestern Lakes Climate change is predicted to alter sport fish communities in Midwestern lakes, according to a new study that related water temperature to suitability for walleye and largemouth bass in more than 2,100 Wisconsin lakes. Tags: Anglers, Fish, Fisheries, Northeast CASC, Recreation, All tags... Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Process-guided deep learning predictions of lake water temperature Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures in different ways. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we focused on improving prediction accuracy for daily water temperature profiles in 68 lakes in Minnesota and Wisconsin during 1980-2018. The data are organized into these items: Spatial data - One shapefile of polygons for all 68 lakes in this study (.shp, .shx, .dbf, and .prj files) Model configurations - Model parameters and metadata used to configure models (1 JSON file, with metadata for each of 68 lakes, indexed by "site_id") Model inputs - Data formatted as model inputs for predicting temperature a. Lake... Tags: 007, 012, Ecology, Fish, Limnology, All tags... MN, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, US, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), United States, WI, Water Quality, Water Resources, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, climate change, deep learning, environment, hybrid modeling, inlandWaters, machine learning, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, temperature, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Comparing models using air and water temperature to forecast an aquatic invasive species response to climate change Abstract (from Ecosphere): Understanding invasive species spread and projecting how distributions will respond to climate change is a central task for ecologists. Typically, current and projected air temperatures are used to forecast future distributions of invasive species based on climate matching in an ecological niche modeling approach. While this approach was originally developed for terrestrial species, it has also been widely applied to aquatic species even though aquatic species do not experience air temperatures directly. In the case of lakes, species respond to lake thermal regimes, which reflect the interaction of climate and lake attributes such as depth, size, and clarity. The result is that adjacent... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation Model configuration: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Final Report: Understanding Historical and Predicting Future Lake Temperatures in North and South Dakota Lakes, reservoirs, and ponds are central and integral features of the landscape of the North Central US. These water bodies provide aesthetic, cultural, and ecosystem services to surrounding wildlife and human communities. Lakes are warming, resulting in the loss of many native fish. In order to manage economically valuable fisheries and other ecosystem services provided by lakes, it is important for managers to have access to accurate estimates of water temperature to better understand past change and to plan for potential future further warming. These data are invaluable for making decisions such as whether to continue stocking plans as usual in certain lakes or how to set specific harvest limits. This project... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation Seasonality of change: Summer warming rates do not fully represent effects of climate change on lake temperatures Abstract (from http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/lno.10557/abstract): Responses in lake temperatures to climate warming have primarily been characterized using seasonal metrics of surface-water temperatures such as summertime or stratified period average temperatures. However, climate warming may not affect water temperatures equally across seasons or depths. We analyzed a long-term dataset (1981–2015) of biweekly water temperature data in six temperate lakes in Wisconsin, U.S.A. to understand (1) variability in monthly rates of surface- and deep-water warming, (2) how those rates compared to summertime average trends, and (3) if monthly heterogeneity in water temperature trends can be predicted by heterogeneity... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants Temperature data: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Data release: Walleye Thermal Optical Habitat Area (TOHA) of selected Minnesota lakes Climate change and land use change have been shown to influence lake temperatures and water clarity in different ways. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we focused on improving prediction accuracy for daily water temperature profiles and optical habitat in 881 lakes in Minnesota during 1980-2018. The data are organized into these items: This research was funded by the Department of the Interior Northeast and North Central Climate Adaptation Science Centers, a Midwest Glacial Lakes Fish Habitat Partnership grant through F&WS Access to computing facilities was provided by USGS Advanced Research Computing, USGS Yeti Supercomputer... Tags: Aquatic Biology, Climatology, Ecology, Land Use Change, Limnology, All tags... MN, Minnesota, SD, South Dakota, US, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), United States, climate change, deep learning, environment, hybrid modeling, inlandWaters, machine learning, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, temperature, thermal profiles, water, water resources, Fewer tags Climate warming of Wisconsin lakes can be either amplified or suppressed by trends in water clarity While climate change is rapidly warming lakes and reservoirs, warming rates can be highly variable among systems because lake characteristics can modulate atmospheric forcing. While it is known that water clarity changes can alter lake water temperatures, it is unknown if frequently observed water clarity trends are sufficient to meaningfully impact the thermal trajectories of diverse lake populations. Using process-based modeling and empirical observations, this study demonstrates that water clarity changes of about 1% per year amplifies or suppresses warming at rates comparable to climate-induced warming. These results demonstrate that trends in water clarity, which are occurring in many lakes, may be as important... Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Climatology, Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), All tags... Water Quality, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Daily surface temperatures for 185,549 lakes in the conterminous United States estimated using deep learning (1980–2020) The dataset described here includes estimates of historical (1980–2020) daily surface water temperature, lake metadata, and daily weather conditions for lakes bigger than 4 ha in the conterminous United States (n = 185,549), and also in situ temperature observations for a subset of lakes (n = 12,227). Estimates were generated using a long short-term memory deep learning model and compared to existing process-based and linear regression models. Model training was optimized for prediction on unmonitored lakes through cross-validation that held out lakes to assess generalizability and estimate error. On the held-out lakes with in situ observations, median lake-specific error was 1.24°C, and the overall root mean squared... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change Temperate lakes may contain both coolwater fish species such as walleye (Sander vitreus) and warmwater species such as largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides). Recent declines in walleye and increases in largemouth bass populations have raised questions regarding the future trajectories and appropriate management actions for these important species. We developed a thermodynamic model of water temperatures driven by downscaled climate data and lake specific characteristics to estimate daily water temperature profiles for 2151 lakes in Wisconsin, USA under contemporary (1989-2014) and future (2040-2064 and 2065-2089) conditions. We correlated contemporary walleye recruitment success and largemouth bass relative abundance... Tags: Aquatic Biology, Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), All tags... Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Model drivers: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Spatial data: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Data release: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Climatology, Ecology, Fish, All tags... IA, IL, IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), United States, WI, Water Resources, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Process‐guided deep learning predictions of lake water temperature Abstract(from:https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019WR024922)The rapid growth of data in water resources has created new opportunities to accelerate knowledge discovery with the use of advanced deep learning tools. Hybrid models that integrate theory with state‐of‐the art empirical techniques have the potential to improve predictions while remaining true to physical laws. This paper evaluates the Process‐Guided Deep Learning (PGDL) hybrid modeling framework with a use‐case of predicting depth‐specific lake water temperatures. The PGDL model has three primary components: a deep learning model with temporal awareness (long short‐term memory recurrence), theory‐based feedbacks (model penalties... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, All tags... data science, deep learning, lake modeling, process‐guided deep learning, temperature prediction, theory‐guided data science, Fewer tags Thermal metrics: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Climate change and freshwater fish Lakes in Wisconsin are getting warmer, and fish communities are changing as a result. Learn more by visiting https://owi.usgs.gov/vizlab/climate-change-walleye-bass/ where you can read more detailed information about the study’s findings, and examine predictions for individual lakes throughout Wisconsin with an interactive map. Tags: Data Visualization, Fish, Fisheries, Midwest, Northeast CASC, All tags... Recreation, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Predicting Water Temperature Dynamics of Unmonitored Lakes With Meta-Transfer Learning Most environmental data come from a minority of well-monitored sites. An ongoing challenge in the environmental sciences is transferring knowledge from monitored sites to unmonitored sites. Here, we demonstrate a novel transfer-learning framework that accurately predicts depth-specific temperature in unmonitored lakes (targets) by borrowing models from well-monitored lakes (sources). This method, meta-transfer learning (MTL), builds a meta-learning model to predict transfer performance from candidate source models to targets using lake attributes and candidates' past performance. We constructed source models at 145 well-monitored lakes using calibrated process-based (PB) modeling and a recently developed approach... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation Developing Adaptation Strategies for Recreational and Tribal Fisheries in the Upper Midwest Fisheries in the glacial lakes region of the upper Midwest are culturally, economically, and recreationally beneficial. Walleye, for instance, represent an important subsistence food source for some Wisconsin tribal nations and are also popular among recreational anglers. However, predicted ecological changes to these aquatic communities, such as an increase in invasive fish species, a decrease in walleye and other native fishes, and worsening water quality due to increases in temperature and shifts in precipitation, has prompted concern among regional anglers who may abandon certain fisheries as these changes occur. Understanding how changes in climate may affect glacial lakes region fishes, and how fishery managers... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2018, CASC, Fish, Fish, Indigenous Peoples, All tags... Indigenous Peoples, National CASC, National CASC, Projects by Region, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, adaptation, glacial lakes, walleye, Fewer tags