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The Southeastern U.S. spans broad ranges of physiographic settings and contains a wide variety of aquatic systems that provide habitat for hundreds of endemic aquatic species that pose interesting challenges and opportunities for managers of aquatic resources, particularly in the face of climate change. For example, the Southeast contains the southernmost populations of the eastern brook trout and other cold-water dependent species. Climate change is predicted to increase temperatures in the South and is likely to have a substantial effect on extant populations of cold-water biota. Thus, aquatic managers are tasked with developing strategies for preserving cold-water dependent biota, such as eastern brook trout,...
Abstract (from http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1752-1688.12304/abstract): The hydrologic response to statistically downscaled general circulation model simulations of daily surface climate and land cover through 2099 was assessed for the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint River Basin located in the southeastern United States. Projections of climate, urbanization, vegetation, and surface-depression storage capacity were used as inputs to the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System to simulate projected impacts on hydrologic response. Surface runoff substantially increased when land cover change was applied. However, once the surface depression storage was added to mitigate the land cover change and increases...
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The southeastern United States was modeled to produce 59 simulations of historical and potential future streamflow using the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) as part of the study documented in LaFontaine and others (2019). One simulation used historical observations of climate, 13 used historical climate simulations using statistically downscaled general circulation model (GCM) output from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), and 45 used potential future climate simulations using statistically downscaled CMIP5 GCMs for four representative concentration pathways. Historical simulations with observations are for the period 1952-2010, historical simulations with the GCMs are for the period...
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A hydrologic model was developed as part of the Southeast Regional Assessment Project using the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS), a deterministic, distributed-parameter, process-based system that simulates the effects of precipitation, temperature, and land use on basin hydrology. Streamflow and other components of the hydrologic cycle simulated by PRMS were used to inform other types of simulations such as water-temperature, hydrodynamic, and ecosystem-dynamics simulations.
Citation: Lauren E. Hay, Jacob LaFontaine, and Steven L. Markstrom, 2014: Evaluation of Statistically Downscaled GCM Output as Input for Hydrological and Stream Temperature Simulation in the Apalachicola–Chattahoochee–Flint River Basin (1961–99). Earth Interact., 18, 1–32. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2013EI000554.1 Abstract: The accuracy of statistically downscaled general circulation model (GCM) simulations of daily surface climate for historical conditions (1961–99) and the implications when they are used to drive hydrologic and stream temperature models were assessed for the Apalachicola–Chattahoochee–Flint River basin (ACFB). The ACFB is a 50 000 km2 basin located in the southeastern United States. Three...
Tags: Publications
Modeling of watershed response to normal and extreme climatic conditions or to changes in the physical conditions of a watershed requires the simulation of a variety of complex hydrologic processes and process interactions. Some of these processes are well understood at a point or for a small area; others are poorly understood at all scales. Increasing spatial and temporal variability in climate and watershed characteristics with an increase in watershed area adds significantly to the degree of difficulty in investigating and understanding these processes. Research is needed to better define these processes and to develop techniques to simulate these processes and their interactions at all watershed scales. Project...
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The hydrologic response units (HRUs) and stream segments available here are for an application of the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) in the southeastern United States by LaFontaine and others (2019). Geographic Information System (GIS) files for the HRUs and stream segments are provided as shapefiles with attribute hru_id_1 identifying the HRU numbering convention used in the PRMS model and seg_id_gcp identifying the stream segment numbering convention used in the PRMS model. This GIS files represent the watershed area for an approximately 1.16 million square kilometer area of the southeastern United States. A total of 20,251 HRUs and 10,742 stream segments are used in this modeling application. LaFontaine,...
Abstract: A study was conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Gulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks Landscape Conservation Cooperative (GCPO LCC) and the Department of the Interior Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, to evaluate the hydrologic response of a daily time step hydrologic model to historical observations and projections of potential climate and land-cover change for the period 1952–2099. The model simulations were used to compute the potential changes in hydrologic response and streamflow statistics across the Southeastern United States, using historical observations of climate and streamflow. Thirteen downscaled general circulation models with four representative concentration...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
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The statistically-based estimates of streamflow included here are for the headwater watersheds in the study area described in LaFontaine and others (2019), and were developed using the ordinary kriging methodology described in Farmer (2016). There are four files included that describe the maximum, minimum, mean, and median estimated streamflow for each headwater on a daily time step for the period 10/1/1980-9/30/2010. A GIS shapefile of the headwaters is also included here. Farmer, W.H., 2016, Ordinary kriging as a tool to estimate historical daily streamflow records: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, v. 20, no. 7, p. 2721-2735, accessed September 27, 2017, at https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2721-2016. LaFontaine,...
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The southeastern United States was modeled to produce historical and potential future simulations of streamflow statistics using the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) as part of the study documented in LaFontaine and others (2019). Hydrologic simulations using one observation-based historical climate dataset (Maurer and others, 2002), 13 used historical climate simulations using statistically downscaled general circulation model (GCM) output from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), and 45 used potential future climate simulations using statistically downscaled CMIP5 GCMs for four representative concentration pathways were used for the computation of 52 hydrologic statistics of streamflow...
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This data release contains inputs and outputs for hydrologic simulations of the conterminous United States (CONUS) using the National Hydrologic Model (NHM) application of the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) in ASCII and binary format and explanatory graphics in pdf format. These simulations were developed to provide estimates of water availability for historical conditions for the period October 1, 1980 to September 30, 2016 for five different calibration configurations; the first three years of the simulation should be considered the initialization period and should not be used for subsequent analysis. The five versions of model parameters and associated model output included in this data release are...
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This data set serves to archive the data, analysis and models of the associated publication entitled “Calibration of the USGS National Hydrologic Model in Ungauged Basins Using Statistical At-Site Streamflow Simulations” as published in the Journal of Hydrologic Engineering. The input data files included here as comma-separated values contain measured streamflow, streamflow simulated by the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System calibrated to measured streamflow, streamflow simulated by the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System calibrated to streamflow simulated by pooled ordinary kriging, and streamflow simulated by pooled ordinary kriging at 1,410 streamgage locations across the United States. These data sets, built...
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This data release contains inputs for and outputs from hydrologic simulations for the conterminous United States (CONUS) using the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) version 5.1.0 and the USGS National Hydrologic Model infrastructure (NHM, Regan and others, 2018). These simulations were developed to provide estimates of the water budget for the period 1950 to 2010. Specific file types include: 1) input atmospheric forcings of minimum air temperature, maximum air temperature, and daily precipitation accumulation derived from a gridded observation-based dataset developed by Maurer and others (2002), 2) input parameter files for static and dynamic land cover conditions, and 3) output files of simulated water...
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Glaciers are a central component to the hydrology of many areas in Alaska and the Pacific Northwest. Glacier melt plays a crucial role in the movement of nutrients through a landscape and into the ocean, and the flow of water into streams that sustain many species. As air temperatures rise, increased rates of glacier melt may have significant impacts to the hydrology and ecology in these areas. This project aims to broaden our understanding of the role of glaciers in the hydrology of Alaska and Washington state and incorporate this knowledge into two types of models that simulate past and future scenarios of water flow. The project team aims to develop a public web portal to allow users to explore content, access...
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This data release contains inputs for and outputs from hydrologic simulations of the southeastern U.S. using the Monthly Water Balance Model, the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS), and statistically-based methods. These simulations were developed to provide estimates of water availability and statistics of streamflow for historical and potential future conditions for an area of approximately 1.16 million square miles. These model input and output data are intended to accompany a U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report (LaFontaine and others, 2019); they include four types of data: 1) model input parameters, 2) model output statistics, 3) GIS files of the model hydrologic response units...


    map background search result map search result map USGS-USFS Partnership to Help Managers Evaluate Conservation Strategies for Aquatic Ecosystems Based on Future Climate Projections SERAP:  Modeling of Hydrologic Systems Understanding the Impacts of Glaciers on Streamflow in Alaska and Washington Model Input and Output for Hydrologic Simulations of the Southeastern United States for Historical and Future Conditions Statistical Streamflow Simulations for 1980-2010 and Headwater GIS Features of the Southeastern United States Precipitation Runoff Modeling System Input Data for Hydrologic Simulations of the Southeastern United States for Historical and Future Conditions Precipitation Runoff Modeling System Output Data from Hydrologic Simulations of the Southeastern United States for Historical and Future Conditions GIS Features Used With the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System for Hydrologic Simulations of the Southeastern United States Physical and Statistical Simulations of Daily Streamflow (2000-2010) across the Continental United States for an Analysis of Blended Simulation Methods Application of the National Hydrologic Model Infrastructure with the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (NHM-PRMS), 1950-2010, Maurer Calibration Application of the National Hydrologic Model Infrastructure with the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (NHM-PRMS),1980-2016, Daymet Version 3 calibration SERAP:  Modeling of Hydrologic Systems USGS-USFS Partnership to Help Managers Evaluate Conservation Strategies for Aquatic Ecosystems Based on Future Climate Projections Model Input and Output for Hydrologic Simulations of the Southeastern United States for Historical and Future Conditions Statistical Streamflow Simulations for 1980-2010 and Headwater GIS Features of the Southeastern United States Precipitation Runoff Modeling System Input Data for Hydrologic Simulations of the Southeastern United States for Historical and Future Conditions Precipitation Runoff Modeling System Output Data from Hydrologic Simulations of the Southeastern United States for Historical and Future Conditions GIS Features Used With the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System for Hydrologic Simulations of the Southeastern United States Application of the National Hydrologic Model Infrastructure with the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (NHM-PRMS), 1950-2010, Maurer Calibration Application of the National Hydrologic Model Infrastructure with the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (NHM-PRMS),1980-2016, Daymet Version 3 calibration Physical and Statistical Simulations of Daily Streamflow (2000-2010) across the Continental United States for an Analysis of Blended Simulation Methods Understanding the Impacts of Glaciers on Streamflow in Alaska and Washington