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Location Folder Show Tree ROOT _ScienceBase Catalog __National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers ___Midwest CASC ____FY 2019 Projects Fish Habitat Restoration to Promote Adaptation: Resilience of Sport Fish in Lakes of the Upper Midwest Managing and Promoting the Resiliency of Winter-Adapted Species to Climate Change Filters Date Range Past year (2) Past month (0) Past week (0) Past day (0) Custom range... To   Search Extensions Citation (3) Types Map Service (2) OGC WFS Layer (2) OGC WMS Layer (2) OGC WMS Service (2) Contacts Gretchen Hansen Holly Kundel Midwest CASC Tyler Wagner Erin Schliep More... Categories Publication (3) Data (1) View Results as: JSON ATOM CSV Browse Folder

Predicting climate change impacts on poikilotherms using physiologically guided species abundance models Poikilothermic animals comprise most species on Earth and are especially sensitive to changes in environmental temperatures. Species conservation in a changing climate relies upon predictions of species responses to future conditions, yet predicting species responses to climate change when temperatures exceed the bounds of observed data is fraught with challenges. We present a physiologically guided abundance (PGA) model that combines observations of species abundance and environmental conditions with laboratory-derived data on the physiological response of poikilotherms to temperature to predict species geographical distributions and abundance in response to climate change. The model incorporates uncertainty in... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation Data in Support of Predicting Climate Change Impacts on Poikilotherms Using Physiologically Guided Species Abundance Models Fish catch and effort data for three species caught in gill nets and trap nets between 1988 and 2019 as part of Minnesota Department of Natural Resources (MNDNR) fisheries surveys conducted during the summer and early fall are included from over 1,300 Minnesota lakes. The three fish species included are: bluegill (Lepomis marochirus) a warm-water adapted species, yellow perch (Perca flavescens) a cool-water adapted species, and cisco (Coregonus artedi) a cold-water adapted species. Additional data concerning lake characteristics and surrounding land cover were also included. Mean July lake surface temperature was calculated using simulated daily water temperatures. Watershed land use including agricultural, barren,... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: ecological modeling, fisheries, freshwater fish, water temperature Code for Predicting climate change impacts on poikilotherms using physiologically guided species abundance models Climate change affects the abundance and distribution of species worldwide. Poikilothermic animals comprise most species on Earth and are extremely sensitive to changes in environmental temperatures. Predicting species responses to climate change when temperatures exceed the bounds of observed data is fraught with challenges. Here, we combine empirical observations of species abundance and environmental conditions across the landscape with laboratory-derived data on the physiological response of poikilotherms to changes in temperature to predict species geographical distributions and abundance in response to climate change. We show that predicted changes in distributions, local extinction, and abundance of cold,... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service