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The National Park Service (NPS) is responsible for managing livestock grazing in nearly 100 parks, and several park grazing management planning efforts are currently underway. However, there is a recognized need to update grazing management practices to be responsive and adaptive to future climate change. As a step toward developing a process to address this need, this project worked with Dinosaur National Monument to consider climate change in its grazing management planning process. In this project, we convened researchers, managers, subject-matter experts, and climate change adaptation specialists through a participatory climate change scenario planning workshop to develop and apply a small set of challenging,...
Time and money for conservation are limited, so there is a need for responsible investments that embrace the realities of climate change. Droughts, floods, wildfires, hotter temperatures, declining snowpack, and changing streamflow are already significantly affecting wildlife and their habitats. In some cases, managers may decide to make strategic adjustments in how their actions are designed, where those actions are located, and when actions are needed most, in order to achieve management goals. A key part of making these forward-looking decisions is having access to climate information that can be integrated into an agency’s decision-making process. When science is conducted without an understanding of how that...
America’s remaining grassland in the Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) is at risk of being lost to crop production. When crop prices are high, like the historically high corn prices that the U.S. experienced between 2008 and 2014, the risk of grassland conversion is even higher. Changing climate will add uncertainties to any efforts toward conservation of grassland in the PPR. Grassland conversion to cropland in the region would imperil nesting waterfowl among other species and further impair water quality in the Mississippi watershed. In this project, we sought to contribute to the understanding of land conversion in the PPR with the aim to better target the use of public and private funds allocated toward incentivizing...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation,
Report;
Tags: Data Visualization & Tools,
Grasslands and Plains,
Landscapes,
Mississippi watershed,
North Central CASC,
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation,
Report;
Tags: Data Visualization & Tools,
North Central CASC,
Science Tools For Managers,
Social Science,
climate change,
We conducted a workshop for tribes in the north central region who are in some stage of climate adaptation planning or implementation. This was a partnership between Colorado State University, the Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes, and ITEP (Institute for Tribal Environmental Professionals) Climate Change Program. We built upon ITEPs climate adaptation training and tailored it to the specific needs of tribes in the region. We originally planned to develop the next iteration (“2.0”) of ITEP training to help tribes who need support with their plans and implementing their plans. However, upon surveying the tribes in the region, we quickly learned that there was a wide range of development along a spectrum from...
Southwestern Colorado is already experiencing the effects of climate change in the form of larger and more severe wildfires, prolonged severe droughts, tree mortality from insect outbreaks, and earlier snowmelt. Climate scientists expect the region to experience more frequent summer heat waves, longer-lasting and more frequent droughts, and decreased river flow in the future (Lukas et al. 2014). These changes will ultimately impact local communities and challenge natural resource managers in allocating water and range for livestock grazing under unpredictable drought conditions, managing forests in the face of changing fire regimes, and managing threatened species under shifting ecological conditions. Considering...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation,
Report;
Tags: Data Visualization & Tools,
North Central CASC,
Science Tools For Managers,
Social Science,
climate change,
Ungulate populations across the West have adapted to specific patterns in forage quantity, quality, and timing that ultimately influence the number of animals. We assessed potential for climate change to affect forage quality and availability for ungulates in the West. First, we evaluated multiple satellite remote sensing datasets and found that in some parts of the western U.S., growing season dates have shifted by over 30 days. We found agreement in the direction of recent trends in growing season dates across ~60% of the West. Substantial shifts in vegetation timing can have outsized effects on the wildlife that depend on matching migration timing to spring green up. For example, migrating mule deer follow the...
Rates of climate and land use change vary across the Great Plains and Rocky Mountains as do the responses of ecosystems to these changes. Knowledge of locations of rapid land use and climate change and changes in ecosystem services such as water runoff and ecological productivity are important for vulnerability assessment and crafting locally relevant adaptation strategies to cope with these changes. This project assessed the loss of public, private, and tribal lands due to ongoing land use intensifications and fragmentation extents across the NC CSC domain. In addition, the project evaluated how the climate, ecosystem processes, and vegetation have shifted over the past half century and how they are projected to...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation,
Report;
Tags: Adaptation,
Grasslands and Plains,
Great Plains,
Landscapes,
North Central CASC,
Changing climate conditions can make water management planning and drought preparedness decisions more complicated than ever before. Federal and State natural resource managers can no longer rely solely on historical trends as a baseline and thus are in need of science that is relevant to their specific needs to inform important planning decisions. Questions remain, however, regarding the most effective and efficient methods for extending scientific knowledge and products into management and decision-making. This project analyzed two unique cases of water management to better understand how science can be translated into resource management actions and decision-making, focusing particularly on how the context of...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation,
Report;
Tags: Drought,
Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather,
North Central CASC,
Science Tools for Managers,
Social Science,
The Liaison Project increased communications between the North Central Climate Science Center (NC CSC), other USGS Science Centers and potential collaborators including active members of the four Landscape Conservation Cooperatives (LCC) included in the NC CSC area. The project was initiated with listening sessions to determine partners’ interest in liaising with the NC CSC, and USGS liaison proposals were selected based on demonstrated ability to continue and initiate relationships with state, federal, tribal, university and other partners. Increased communications has resulted in activities to co-produce knowledge to support management decisions that are impacted by climate.
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation,
Report;
Tags: Increased communications,
North Central CASC,
liasion,
partners
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