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Folders: ROOT > ScienceBase Catalog > National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers > Northwest CASC > FY 2012 Projects > Predicting Climate Change Impacts on River Ecosystems and Salmonids across the Pacific Northwest ( Show direct descendants )

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__National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
___Northwest CASC
____FY 2012 Projects
_____Predicting Climate Change Impacts on River Ecosystems and Salmonids across the Pacific Northwest
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Abstract (from http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate2252.html): Climate change will decrease worldwide biodiversity through a number of potential pathways1, including invasive hybridization2 (cross-breeding between invasive and native species). How climate warming influences the spread of hybridization and loss of native genomes poses difficult ecological and evolutionary questions with little empirical information to guide conservation management decisions3. Here we combine long-term genetic monitoring data with high-resolution climate and stream temperature predictions to evaluate how recent climate warming has influenced the spatio-temporal spread of human-mediated hybridization between...
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Contains two layers: 1. Bull Trout Vulnerability Assessment: This analysis was generated to show the relative vulnerability of bull trout across the Columbia basin. Input variables include the prportion of valley bottom (e.g. floodplains), the average max summer temperature (July 15th to Sept 15th), and winter flood frequency (the frequency of high flow events exceeding the 95th percentile from December through March) for a given watershed. The estimates for temperature and flow were taken from the mouth of the watershed. This analysis includes historic and future (2040s scenario). Stream temperature and flow data are avaliable at rap.ntsg.umt.edu. See Wu H, Kimball JS, Elsner MM, Mantua N, Adler RF, Stanford...
Abstract (from http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12850/abstract): Understanding how climatic variation influences ecological and evolutionary processes is crucial for informed conservation decision-making. Nevertheless, few studies have measured how climatic variation influences genetic diversity within populations or how genetic diversity is distributed across space relative to future climatic stress. Here, we tested whether patterns of genetic diversity (allelic richness) were related to climatic variation and habitat features in 130 bull trout ( Salvelinus confluentus) populations from 24 watersheds (i.e., ~4–7th order river subbasins) across the Columbia River Basin, USA. We then determined whether...
Abstract: Accelerating climate change and other cumulative stressors create an urgent need to understand the influence of environmental variation and landscape features on the connectivity and vulnerability of freshwater species. Here, we introduce a novel modeling framework for aquatic systems that integrates spatially-explicit, individual-based, demographic and genetic (demogenetic) assessments with environmental variables. To show its potential utility, we simulated a hypothetical network of 19 migratory riverine populations (e.g., salmonids) using a riverscape connectivity and demogenetic model (CDFISH). We assessed how stream resistance to movement -- a function of water temperature, fluvial distance, and...
Salmonids, a group of coldwater-adapted fishes of enormous ecological and socio-economic value, historically inhabited a variety of freshwater habitats throughout the Pacific Northwest (PNW). Over the past century, however, populations have dramatically declined due to habitat loss, overharvest, and invasive species. Consequently, many populations are listed as threatened or endangered under the U.S. Endangered Species Act. Complicating these stressors is global warming and associated climate change. Overall, aquatic ecosystems across the PNW are predicted to experience increasingly earlier snowmelt in the spring, reduced late spring and summer flows, increased winter flooding, warmer and drier summers, increased...
Abstract (from http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169534715000075): Extrinsic factors influencing evolutionary processes are often categorically lumped into interactions that are environmentally (e.g., climate, landscape) or community-driven, with little consideration of the overlap or influence of one on the other. However, genomic variation is strongly influenced by complex and dynamic interactions between environmental and community effects. Failure to consider both effects on evolutionary dynamics simultaneously can lead to incomplete, spurious, or erroneous conclusions about the mechanisms driving genomic variation. We highlight the need for a landscape community genomics (LCG) framework to...
Supplementary Information Table S1. Bull trout populations, recovery units, watershed, and allelic richness values across the Columbia River, USA. The ‘Conservation recovery unit’ and ‘Watershed’ groupings were used as random effects in linear mixed models. From (Kovach, R.P., et al. (2015). Genetic Diversity is related to climatic variation and vulnerability in threatened bull trout. Global Change Biology, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12850.
    map background search result map search result map Approved DataSets Bull Trout Vulnerability Assessment in Columbia River Basin Geodatabase Bull Trout Vulnerability Assessment in Columbia River Basin Geodatabase