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Folders: ROOT > ScienceBase Catalog > National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers > Northwest CASC > FY 2014 Projects ( Show direct descendants )

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Current (1980-2009) and future (2035-2064) bird abundance estimates from a boosted regression tree (BRT) model for 31 avian species in Oregon and Washington state based on avian point count data and eBird data (www.ebird.org) together with climate covariates, and vegetation covariates driven by MC2, a dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM). Current climate data was based on PRISM (www.prism.oregonstate.edu/). Future climate data was based on downscaled projections (4km) of the GCMUSED global climate model developed by the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) project. This downscaled data is part of the MACAv1-METDATA dataset (maca.northwestknowledge.net/) for the Representative Concentration Pathway...
Categories: Data; Types: GeoTIFF, Raster; Tags: Birds, Brewer's Sparrow (Spizella breweri), Brown Creeper (Certhia americana), Chipping Sparrow (Spizella passerina), Data Visualization & Tools, All tags...
The goal of the Available Science Assessment Project (ASAP) is to synthesize and evaluate the body of scientific knowledge on specific, on-the-ground CAAs to determine the conditions, timeframes, and geographic areas where particular CAAs may be most effective for resource managers. We have derived a methodology that utilizes interviews, a systematic review process, and extensive engagement with natural resource managers and scientists throughout the Northwest Climate Science Center (NW CSC) region. For a test case, we will evaluate the science behind specific fire management actions in national forests in the region.
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This project is part of a larger effort to design a sustainable landscape for wildlife and ecological systems in the Columbia Plateau ecoregion. Another goal of this effort is to test and describe different approaches to doing “Landscape Conservation Design” (LCD) and working towards articulating a toolkit of approaches for LCD. This report documents a task related to further develop and testing of this toolkit as applied to priority areas in the Columbia Plateau). This project focuses on a rapid assessment method of several potential areas across a large landscape. This assessment project builds from these previous ALI efforts (ALI 2013 and ALI 2014) by providing decision support for strategy development. ...
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To support the ALI spatial priorities analysis, the LANDFIRE rasters in this geodatabase were downloaded from http://www.landfire.gov/datatool.php, and clipped to the Washington Wildlife Habitat Connectivity Working Group's (WHCWG) Columbia Plateau (CP) study area, which is the CP ecoregion with a 25km buffer. They were also projected to the HabConnectProjectArea_North_America_Albers_Equal_Area_Conic projection, a custom projection developed by the WHCWG for their CP analysis and also used for the ALI Marxan analysis. The data were downloaded in March 2013. Since then, some (but not all) of these datasets have been updated. The included layers are: - biophysical settings - succession class - existing vegetation...
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A download link for the report and its appendices is below ("USFWS 2015 Assessing the Condition and Climate Resilience of Collaborative Conservation Priority Areas in the Columbia Plateau Ecoregion.pdf"). For those who don't need the appendices or who have a slow internet connection, a version with the report only is also provided ("USFWS 2015 Report only no appendices.pdf"). The scorecard appendix is also posted separately ("USFWS_2015_Appendix_A_PCA_Scorecards.pdf").Related Documents and Data:A companion report describing the Ecological Integrity Assessment and its results is here. An addendum report with scorecards and CCVA results for the ALI's Priority Linkage Areas (PLAs) is here (the report available on this...
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These documents, prepared by Sonia A. Hall and the Arid Lands Initiative (ALI) Core Team, articulate the shared biological, strategic, and spatial priorities of the ALI in the Columbia Plateau Ecoregion. Excerpt from the executive summary: —————————— Eastern Washington’s arid lands are a diverse and productive landscape, with an intricate mix of shrub steppe, grasslands, wheat fields, irrigated crops, orchards and vineyards, wetlands, streams and lakes, and rocky outcrops and cliffs. This landscape supports over 235 plant and wildlife species, while producing billions of dollars in crops and livestock annually. To conserve this landscape and the biological, social and economic values it supports major challenges...
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These are the Python scripts used to create the scorecards for the Phase 2 report. They are primarily provided for reference, and require library installation and several local files to run properly. If anyone is interested in running a modeified version of these scripts for a similar purpose, please contact Madeline Steele (madeline_steele@fws.gov). One script makes map PNGs from an ArcMap mxd with styling that varies with scale, and the other pulls these maps and other information together to create the scorecard PDFs.
Abstract (from AGU100): In complex terrain, drifting snow contributes to ecohydrologic landscape heterogeneity and ecological refugia. In this study, we assessed the climate sensitivity of hydrological dynamics in a semiarid mountainous catchment in the snow‐to‐rain transition zone. This catchment includes a distinct snow drift‐subsidized refugium that comprises a small portion (14.5%) of the watershed but accounts for a disproportionate amount (modeled average 56%) of hydrological flux generation. We conducted climate sensitivity experiments using a physically based hydrologic model to assess responses of a suite of hydrologic metrics across the watershed. Experiments with an imposed 3.5 °C warming showed reductions...
Abstract (from http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168192315002142): Physically-based models are a powerful tool to help understand interactions of vegetation, atmospheric dynamics, and hydrology, and to test hypotheses regarding the effects of land cover, management, hydrometeorology, and climate variability on ecosystem processes. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate recent modifications and further refinements to a multi-layer plant canopy model for simulating temperature and water vapor within three diverse forest canopies: a 4.5-m tall aspen thicket, a 15-m tall aspen canopy, and a 60-m tall Douglas fir canopy. Performance of the model was strongly related to source strength and profile stability...
Climate change is projected to cause earlier and less snowmelt, potentially reducing water availability for terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems and for municipal and agricultural water supplies. However, if forested landscapes can be managed to retain snow longer, some of these environmental and financial impacts may be mitigated. Results from our research team demonstrate that in the Pacific Northwest (PNW), opening dense forest canopies through creating forest gaps will generally lead to more snow accumulation and later melt (i.e., up to 13 weeks later). However, under certain conditions, such as locations on ridges with high wind speeds and sunny south-facing slopes, the snow that accumulated in the forest is...
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This raster was clipped from the raw NLCC raster for this species according to the linkage width cutoff listed in Table 2.2 WHCWG (2012). As with the statewide analysis (see WHCWG 2010), the normalized least-cost corridor algorithms produced wall-to-wall linkage maps, with everygrid cell in the study area having a value that represented its deviation from the nearest least-cost movement route. This necessitated creating maps that displayed only values from zero (the optimum modeled route) to a species-specific linkage width cutoff to identify areas that contribute most to connectivity between each HCA pair. Because of the smaller extent of this analysis and the finer-scale data that were available, we chose cutoff...
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The project aimed to use existing models and data to understand how wildfires (number, size, and location) and land-use change will affect watersheds, and therefore water supply, under current conditions and future climates (through 2050) in the western U.S. The projected changes in temperature and precipitation are expected to affect water supply in two major ways: 1) decreased water availability, and 2) increased risk to watersheds via loses from fire. As the western population is projected to grow by 310 million people by 2100, this will potentially increase demand for diminishing supplies if housing growth occurs in rangelands or forested lands. Understanding watershed vulnerabilities due to changing climate,...
Management actions may have a higher probability of being successful if they are informed by available scientific knowledge and findings; a systematic review process provides a mechanism to scientifically assess management questions. By evaluating specific actions on scientific knowledge and findings, we may be able to increase management effectiveness and efficiency. The goal of the Available Science Assessment Project (ASAP) is to synthesize and evaluate the body of scientific knowledge on specific, on-the-ground CAAs to determine the conditions, timeframes, and geographic areas where particular CAAs may be most effective for resource managers. We have derived a methodology that utilizes interviews, a systematic...
map background search result map search result map LANDFIRE datasets (March 2013), clipped and projected Changes to Watershed Vulnerability under Future Climates, Fire Regimes, and Population Pressures Approved DataSets The Arid Lands Initiative – Shared Priorities for Conservation at a Landscape Scale Crawford and Rocchio, 2014: Assessing the Condition of Spatial Priority Areas in the Columbia Plateau Ecoregion Phase 2 Final Report: "Assessing the Condition and Resilience of Collaborative Conservation Priority Areas in the Columbia Plateau Ecoregion" Python scripts used to create scorecards Normalized least cost corridors, Columbia Plateau analysis for two species in the Pacific Northwest Avian Abundance Data for Current (1980-2009) and Future (2035-2064) time periods in Oregon and Washington Normalized least cost corridors, Columbia Plateau analysis for two species in the Pacific Northwest LANDFIRE datasets (March 2013), clipped and projected Crawford and Rocchio, 2014: Assessing the Condition of Spatial Priority Areas in the Columbia Plateau Ecoregion Phase 2 Final Report: "Assessing the Condition and Resilience of Collaborative Conservation Priority Areas in the Columbia Plateau Ecoregion" Python scripts used to create scorecards The Arid Lands Initiative – Shared Priorities for Conservation at a Landscape Scale Avian Abundance Data for Current (1980-2009) and Future (2035-2064) time periods in Oregon and Washington Changes to Watershed Vulnerability under Future Climates, Fire Regimes, and Population Pressures