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Folders: ROOT > ScienceBase Catalog > National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers > Pacific Islands CASC > FY 2015 Projects > Assessing the Sustainability of Culturally Important Marine Sites in Guam and CNMI ( Show direct descendants )

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_ScienceBase Catalog
__National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
___Pacific Islands CASC
____FY 2015 Projects
_____Assessing the Sustainability of Culturally Important Marine Sites in Guam and CNMI
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These data are netcdf files of the projected timing of the onset of thermal stress severe enough (>8 Degree Heating Weeks) to cause coral bleaching 2x per decade and 10x per decade (annual) under emissions scenarios RCP8.5 and RCP4.5. The projected timing (a year between 2006 and 2100) is the data value. Values are only shown for the ~60,000 four-km pixels where coral reefs are known to occur.
This project used climate models to produce projections of increases in sea temperatures for coral reef areas in Micronesia and abroad. The results suggest that projected sea temperature increases will cause coral bleaching to occur annually in Guam and CNMI by the early 2040s, if current greenhouse gas emissions growth continues. Coral reefs are expected to change dramatically once severe bleaching occurs annually, resulting in loss of biodiversity and ecosystem goods and services. Reefs in Micronesia would have at least a decade more time to adapt or acclimate to climate change if the emissions reductions pledges made under the Paris Agreement become reality. Importantly, the projections reveal that coral reef...
The climate impact summaries will be 1 page for each of Guam and CNMI. These reports are called 'Past and Projected Future Climate Impacts to Guam/CNMI'. A poster describes the past and projected future climate impacts to coral reefs in all of the U.S. coral reef jurisdictions (Guam, CNMI, American Samoa, Hawaii, Florida, Puerto Rico and USVI) and the Flower Garden Banks National Marine Sanctuary.
This Project Snapshot provides a brief summary overview of the project "Assessing the Sustainability of Culturally Important Marine Sites in Guam and CNMI".