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Plecoptera (stoneflies) are an order of insects where most species rely on clean, fast-moving freshwater for an aquatic larval stage followed by a short terrestrial adult stage. Most species of Plecoptera seem to be restricted to specific stream types and thermal regimes. Climate-driven changes are likely to alter stream temperatures and flow, resulting in physiological stress, reduced reproductive success, and possibly latitudinal or elevational distribution shifts. This report focuses on climate projections and the resulting ecological effect for three species of Appalachian stoneflies: Remenus kirchneri, Acroneuria kosztarabi, and Tallaperla lobata. Although species-specific information is sparse for these three...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
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Monitoring overwinter survival is valuable for understanding population dynamics of winter-adapted species. We quantified overwinter survival of Ruffed grouse (Bonasa umbellus) in Sandhill State Wildlife Area in Wisconsin using data from radio-collared birds. We used known fate survival models to quantify weekly survival across five winter seasons. This dataset includes encounter histories for each bird and individual covariate values for demographic information, weekly weather conditions, and land cover.
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The project aims to understand the state of climate adaptation practice in sectors related to natural and cultural resource management and conservation in the Midwest region. An example of these efforts is developing plans that include natural resource management and conservation actions as part of a response to the impacts of climate change on nature and people. By learning from these plans, we aim to gain a comprehensive understanding of past and current adaptation efforts in the Midwest, as well as of the on-the-ground barriers and opportunities resource managers face in planning for climate adaptation in this region. Additionally, we seek to identify best practices in adaptation planning that can help resource...
Predicting the effects of warming temperatures on the abundance and distribution of organisms under future climate scenarios often requires extrapolating species–environment correlations to climatic conditions not currently experienced by a species, which can result in unrealistic predictions. For poikilotherms, incorporating species' thermal physiology to inform extrapolations under novel thermal conditions can result in more realistic predictions. Furthermore, models that incorporate species and spatial dependencies may improve predictions by capturing correlations present in ecological data that are not accounted for by predictor variables. Here, we present a joint species, spatially dependent physiologically...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
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Data files contain simulated mean, daily, offshore, water temperatures for 20 vertical depths (ranging 4 to 159 m below the surface) for 9 years in the 2040s (2041-2049) and nine years in the 2090s (2091-2099) at two sites in Lake Michigan. One site is located in the northern basin where the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has been maintaining a weather buoy since 1979 (buoy 45002: 45.344, -86.411). The other site is located in the southern basin where NOAA has been maintaining a weather buoy since 1981 (buoy 45007: 42.674, -87.026). Simulated water temperatures were generated by integrating atmospheric and hydrodynamic models.
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Climate vulnerability assessments are tools that aid in understanding why specific resources are vulnerable to projected changes in climate. A recently developed online climate vulnerability assessment dashboard (https://www.usgs.gov/apps/CC_Vulnerability/) helps understand where vulnerability is projected to be greatest across watersheds in the Midwest United States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Ohio, and Wisconsin). This Northeast CASC-funded dashboard was created for, and in cooperation with, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) to be useful to various FWS programs in the Midwest. With its broad applicability in mind, the dashboard has high potential to support other groups struggling...
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Stocking, or raising fish in hatcheries and releasing them into a body of water, is routinely used to supplement or maintain fisheries when natural populations are low or nonexistent. Demand for stocking cool and coldwater fish species that support important fisheries will likely increase as a result of climate change, but fish available for stocking are a limited resource. Consequently, climate change will likely affect supply-and-demand tradeoffs associated with stocking fish in the future, where demand for fish is likely to exceed supply. Researchers will examine supply-and-demand tradeoffs using walleye, which represent an ideal species for this assessment because they are a native coolwater species supporting...
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Project Overview Declining winter ice cover in the Great Lakes can affect how winds and waves influence coldwater fish reproduction on reefs, as ice cover may shield fish from these forces. Researchers supported by this Midwest CASC project will measure water movement and ice cover in Lake Erie to model future scenarios, helping fishery managers in the region make habitat restoration and fish stocking decisions for important species like lake whitefish and cisco. Project Summary In northern regions, freshwater lake surfaces commonly freeze during the winter, benefiting coldwater fishes. Ice cover protects developing fish eggs from strong wind-driven currents and surface waves, turbulence that can lower reproductive...
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Waterfowl are of substantial economic and cultural importance, with over 1 million hunters contributing approximately $700 million in total expenditures to local and regional economies annually. However, shifts or expansions in waterfowl distribution driven by the interacting effects of a warming climate, changes in habitat resources, and altered anthropogenic pressures will present challenges to effective management and conservation. Understanding historical changes in waterfowl distributions and the associated drivers of these changes would improve the ability of natural resource managers to anticipate future changes and develop more adaptive conservation and management approaches for potential shifts in waterfowl...
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Many Midwestern lakes are experiencing warming water temperatures as a result of climate change. In general, this change is causing coldwater fish species such as cisco and coolwater species such as walleye to decline. Meanwhile, warmer water species such as largemouth and smallmouth bass are increasing as temperatures warm. However, some fish populations are more vulnerable to these changes than others. This divergence could be the result of interactions between climate and habitat conditions, or as a result of interactions among fish species. For example, walleye responses to warming temperatures could vary depending on the abundance of largemouth bass. The goal of this project is to quantify the responses of...
map background search result map search result map Fish Habitat Restoration to Promote Adaptation: Resilience of Sport Fish in Lakes of the Upper Midwest Supply-and-Demand Dynamics Associated with Using Stocking to Maintain Walleye Fisheries in the Face of Climate Change Identifying Effects of Weather and Land Use on Autumn and Winter Waterfowl Distribution Dynamics in the 21st Century Improving the Midwest Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Tool to Support Regional Climate Adaptation Known Fate Encounter Histories of Overwintering Ruffed Grouse (Bonasa umbellus) in Sandhill Wildlife Area, Babcock, Wisconsin (2015 - 2022) Assessment of Adaptation Plans and Practices for Natural and Cultural Resources Does Less Ice Cover Lead to More Turbulent Overwinter Conditions on Great Lakes Fish Spawning Reefs? FY 2024 Projects Forecasted water temperature in offshore Lake Michigan from 2041-2049 and 2091-2099 Known Fate Encounter Histories of Overwintering Ruffed Grouse (Bonasa umbellus) in Sandhill Wildlife Area, Babcock, Wisconsin (2015 - 2022) Forecasted water temperature in offshore Lake Michigan from 2041-2049 and 2091-2099 Does Less Ice Cover Lead to More Turbulent Overwinter Conditions on Great Lakes Fish Spawning Reefs? FY 2024 Projects Fish Habitat Restoration to Promote Adaptation: Resilience of Sport Fish in Lakes of the Upper Midwest Assessment of Adaptation Plans and Practices for Natural and Cultural Resources Improving the Midwest Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Tool to Support Regional Climate Adaptation Supply-and-Demand Dynamics Associated with Using Stocking to Maintain Walleye Fisheries in the Face of Climate Change Identifying Effects of Weather and Land Use on Autumn and Winter Waterfowl Distribution Dynamics in the 21st Century