Folders: ROOT > ScienceBase Catalog > National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers > Midwest CASC > FY 2020 Projects ( Show direct descendants )
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ROOT _ScienceBase Catalog __National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers ___Midwest CASC ____FY 2020 Projects
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Tree regeneration shapes forest carbon dynamics by determining long-term forest composition and structure, which suggests that threats to natural regeneration may diminish the capacity of forests to replace live tree carbon transferred to the atmosphere or other pools through tree mortality. Yet, the potential implications of tree regeneration patterns for future carbon dynamics have been sparsely studied. We used forest inventory plots to investigate whether the composition of existing tree regeneration is consistent with aboveground carbon stock loss, replacement, or gain for forests across the northeastern and midwestern USA, leveraging a recently developed method to predict the likelihood of sapling recruitment...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation
Climate change poses a unique threat to migratory species as it has the potential to alter environmental conditions at multiple points along a species' migratory route. The eastern migratory population of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus) has declined markedly over the last few decades, in part due to variation in breeding-season climate. Here, we combined a retrospective, annual-cycle model for the eastern monarch population with climate projections within the spring breeding grounds in eastern Texas and across the summer breeding grounds in the midwestern U.S. and southern Ontario, Canada to evaluate how monarchs are likely to respond to climate change over the next century. Our results reveal that projected...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation
This data was used for the analysis in the paper "Assessing factors related to Walleye stocking success in the midwestern United States". This data includes stocking records of walleye from the Midwestern United States and subsequent evaluations of these stockings as provided by state agencies. Additionally, attributes of lakes such as size (depth, area), trophic state, and temperature are included to evaluate factors that relate to walleye stocking success. A second copy of the data is included that relies on imputation to fill in data gaps. Methodological processes are outlined in the associated paper.
Fisheries managers in Midwestern lakes and reservoirs are tasked with balancing multiple management objectives to help maintain healthy fish populations across a landscape of diverse lakes. As part of this, managers monitor fish growth and survival. Growth rates in particular are indicators of population health, and directly influence the effectiveness of regulations designed to protect spawning fish or to promote trophy fishing opportunities. Growth, combined with reproduction and survival, also determines the amount of fish biomass available for harvest, known as population production. Changing water temperatures can influence growth and production of managed fish species in multiple complex ways, increasing the...
Categories: Project;
Types: Map Service,
OGC WFS Layer,
OGC WMS Layer,
OGC WMS Service;
Tags: 2020,
CASC,
Fish,
Fish,
Midwest,
Cyanobacteria blooms are one of the most significant management challenges in the Great Lakes today. Recurring blooms of varying toxicity are commonly observed in four of the Great Lakes, and the fifth, Lake Superior, has experienced intermittent nearshore blooms since 2012. The recent advent of cyanobacterial blooms in Lake Superior is disconcerting, given the highly valued, pristine water quality of the large lake. It is possible that the ecological state of Lake Superior is shifting and that we are witnessing the beginnings of larger and longer lasting bloom events. As a public resource, the coastal water quality of Lake Superior has tremendous economic, public health, and environmental value, and therefore,...
Categories: Project;
Types: Map Service,
OGC WFS Layer,
OGC WMS Layer,
OGC WMS Service;
Tags: 2020,
CASC,
Midwest,
Midwest CASC,
Projects by Region,
The snail kite (Rostrhamus sociabilis plumbeus), an endangered, wetland-dependent raptor, is highly sensitive to changes in hydrology. Climate-driven changes in water level will likely affect snail kite populations—altering reproductive success and survival rates. Identifying the mechanisms mediating the direct and indirect effects of climate on snail kite populations and the range of future climate conditions is important to the conservation of this species. When water levels are low, snail kite nest initiation and nest success decrease owing to decreased availability of their primary prey applesnails (Pomacea spp.), unstable nesting sites, and increased predator access. Dry events also lead to decreased adult...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation
This U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report provides brief syntheses of the direct and indirect effects of climate change to priority species and ecosystems in the United States. Each chapter focuses on changes in climate and related effects to the life cycle, interspecific interactions, and habitats of a fish or wildlife species of conservation concern. These reports are independent species-specific summaries of relevant literature, current and historic climate conditions, and future climate projections.
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation
Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures in different ways. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we focused on improving prediction accuracy for daily water temperature profiles in 7,150 lakes in Minnesota and Wisconsin during 1980-2019. The data are organized into these items: Spatial data - A lake metadata file, and one shapefile of polygons for all 7,150 lakes in this study (.shp, .shx, .dbf, and .prj files) Model configurations - Model parameters and metadata used to configure models (1 JSON file, with metadata for each of 7,150 lakes, and one zip file with each lake's glm2.nml file) Temperature observations...
Aquatic invasive species threaten our lakes, streams, and wetlands. These species not only change the biology within the waterbody, but they can change the way we use those waterbodies and the resources they produce. Those changes may have large economic impacts, such as direct management costs and indirect costs to fisheries, tourism and commerce. These species can be small like zebra mussels or large like Asian carp, but one thing they have in common is being difficult to manage and to prevent further spread. To help inform control measures for aquatic invasive species, local, state, and federal natural resource management agencies have been working to develop risk assessments to understand the potential spread...
Categories: Project;
Types: Map Service,
OGC WFS Layer,
OGC WMS Layer,
OGC WMS Service;
Tags: 2020,
CASC,
Completed,
Data Visualization & Tools,
Fish,
To more fully understand the complex, often interacting, influences of climate and land-use on prairie-pothole wetland systems, and to facilitate climate and land-use change adaptation efforts, a mechanistic understanding of the relationship between climate, land-use, hydrology, chemistry, and biota in prairie-pothole wetlands, is needed. We developed the Pothole Hydrology-Linked Systems Simulator (PHyLiSS) to help meet this need. PHyLiSS is a generalized coupled hydrologic and hydrogeochemical model of prairie-pothole wetland ecosystems. The current version of PHyLiSS has the capability to simulate wetland hydrology and salinity. Future iterations will be able to simulate the impacts of changing hydrology and salinity...
Plecoptera (stoneflies) are an order of insects where most species rely on clean, fast-moving freshwater for an aquatic larval stage followed by a short terrestrial adult stage. Most species of Plecoptera seem to be restricted to specific stream types and thermal regimes. Climate-driven changes are likely to alter stream temperatures and flow, resulting in physiological stress, reduced reproductive success, and possibly latitudinal or elevational distribution shifts. This report focuses on climate projections and the resulting ecological effect for three species of Appalachian stoneflies: Remenus kirchneri, Acroneuria kosztarabi, and Tallaperla lobata. Although species-specific information is sparse for these three...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation
Data files contain simulated mean, daily, offshore, water temperatures for 20 vertical depths (ranging 4 to 159 m below the surface) for 9 years in the 2040s (2041-2049) and nine years in the 2090s (2091-2099) at two sites in Lake Michigan. One site is located in the northern basin where the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has been maintaining a weather buoy since 1979 (buoy 45002: 45.344, -86.411). The other site is located in the southern basin where NOAA has been maintaining a weather buoy since 1981 (buoy 45007: 42.674, -87.026). Simulated water temperatures were generated by integrating atmospheric and hydrodynamic models.
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