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Policy-relevant flood risk modeling must capture interactions between physical and social processes to accurately project impacts from scenarios of sea level rise and inland flooding due to climate change. Here we simultaneously model urban growth, flood hazard change, and adaptive response using the FUTure Urban-Regional Environment Simulation (FUTURES) version 3 framework (Sanchez et al., 2023). FUTURES is an open source urban growth model designed to address the regional-scale ecological and environmental impacts of urbanization; it is one of the few land change models that explicitly captures the spatial structure of development in response to user-specified scenarios. We present probabilistic land change projections...
Tags: Alabama,
Arkansas,
Climate migration,
Florida,
Georgia, All tags...
Kentucky,
Land Use Change,
Land use change,
Louisiana,
Mississippi,
North Carolina,
Projection,
Scenario,
Scenario-based land change modeling,
South Carolina,
Southeast,
Tennessee,
Texas,
USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC),
Urban growth,
Urbanization,
environment,
society, Fewer tags
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We simulated future patterns of urban growth using the FUTure Urban-Regional Environment Simulation (FUTURES; Meentemeyer et al., 2013) version 2 framework. FUTURES is an open source urban growth model designed to address the regional-scale ecological and environmental impacts of urbanization; it is one of the few land change models that explicitly captures the spatial structure of development in response to user-specified scenarios. We present probabilistic land change projections that predict urban growth under a Status Quo scenarios of growth. We computed each scenario for 50 stochastic iterations from 2020 through 2100 at annual time steps.
Tags: Conterminous United States,
Land Use Change,
Land use change,
Projection,
Scenario, All tags...
Scenario-based land change modeling,
USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC),
Urban growth,
Urbanization,
imageryBaseMapsEarthCover,
society, Fewer tags
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