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Sam Veloz, Point Blue Conservation Science, Climate Adaptation Group Director

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Current (1980-2009) and future (2035-2064) bird abundance estimates from a boosted regression tree (BRT) model for 31 avian species in Oregon and Washington state based on avian point count data and eBird data (www.ebird.org) together with climate covariates, and vegetation covariates driven by MC2, a dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM). Current climate data was based on PRISM (www.prism.oregonstate.edu/). Future climate data was based on downscaled projections (4km) of the GCMUSED global climate model developed by the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) project. This downscaled data is part of the MACAv1-METDATA dataset (maca.northwestknowledge.net/) for the Representative Concentration Pathway...
Categories: Data; Types: GeoTIFF, Raster; Tags: Birds, Brewer's Sparrow (Spizella breweri), Brown Creeper (Certhia americana), Chipping Sparrow (Spizella passerina), Data Visualization & Tools, All tags...
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These maps indicate the magnitude of multivariate climate change using the standardized Euclidean distance (SED). This metric allows the magnitude of climate change to be analyzed with respect to historical interannual variability for each climate variable. Standardizing climate change in this way allows multiple climate variables with different units to be combined into a single index, but more importantly, it places the magnitude of projected change in the perspective of what species have had to tolerate over recent history. These maps are based on multiple climate models ( CanESM2, MIROC5, MIROC_ESM_CHEM, and MRI_CGCM3 climate models ) for the periods 2035-2064 and 2070-2099 and are based on bioclimatic variables...
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