Sam Veloz, Point Blue Conservation Science, Climate Adaptation Group Director, 20160601, Climate Change Maps for a Species Perspective: .
Summary
These maps indicate the magnitude of multivariate climate change using the standardized Euclidean distance (SED). This metric allows the magnitude of climate change to be analyzed with respect to historical interannual variability for each climate variable. Standardizing climate change in this way allows multiple climate variables with different units to be combined into a single index, but more importantly, it places the magnitude of projected change in the perspective of what species have had to tolerate over recent history. These maps are based on multiple climate models ( CanESM2, MIROC5, MIROC_ESM_CHEM, and MRI_CGCM3 climate models ) for the periods 2035-2064 and 2070-2099 and are based on bioclimatic variables and seasonal climate [...]
Summary
These maps indicate the magnitude of multivariate climate change using the standardized Euclidean distance (SED). This metric allows the magnitude of climate change to be analyzed with respect to historical interannual variability for each climate variable. Standardizing climate change in this way allows multiple climate variables with different units to be combined into a single index, but more importantly, it places the magnitude of projected change in the perspective of what species have had to tolerate over recent history. These maps are based on multiple climate models ( CanESM2, MIROC5, MIROC_ESM_CHEM, and MRI_CGCM3 climate models ) for the periods 2035-2064 and 2070-2099 and are based on bioclimatic variables and seasonal climate variables..
Terrestrial ecosystems are vulnerable to future changes in the global climate, including increased temperatures, and changing precipitation patterns. We used multivariate analyses to collapse the many variables that go into climate-change models into climate gradients that were used to calculate the projected change in overall climate. These maps will be used to identify areas likely to experience the greatest changes in overall climate and areas that are projected to be refuges of relatively stable climate. As part of the development of climate change adaptation strategies, the maps can be used to assess the exposure of species to climate change. Data is accessible at http://data.pointblue.org/apps/nwcsc/
