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Developing a VisTrails Platform for Modeling Streamflow Hydrology and Projecting Climate Change Effects on Streamflow

A North Central CSC NC CSC directed funding, FY 2013 Project
Principal Investigator
Lauren Hay

Dates

Start Date
2013-07-01
End Date
2014-07-31
Release Date
2013

Summary

Hydrologic models are used throughout the world to forecast and simulate streamflow, inform water management, municipal planning, and ecosystem conservation, and investigate potential effects of climate and land-use change on hydrology. The USGS Modeling of Watershed Systems (MoWS) group is currently developing the infrastructure for a National Hydrologic Model (NHM) to support coordinated, comprehensive, and consistent hydrologic model development and application. The NHM is expected to provide internally consistent estimates of total water availability, water sources, and streamflow timing, and measures of uncertainty around these estimates, for the entire United States. VisTrails, a scientific workflow and provenance management [...]

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ColoradoRiver_CO_AlanCressler.jpg
“The Colorado River - Credit: Alan Cressler”
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Project Extension

parts
typeGeneral Public Summary
valueHydrologic models are used throughout the world to forecast and simulate streamflow, inform water management, municipal planning, and ecosystem conservation, and investigate potential effects of climate and land-use change on hydrology. Generally, hydrologic models are created as needed for specific watersheds or regions, with different model structures, calibration methods, and data sources used for different locations. This piece-meal approach limits the utility of existing hydrological models for reliable comparisons among different watersheds or regions and for larger-scale regional or national projections and decision-making. The USGS Modeling of Watershed Systems (MoWS) group is currently developing the infrastructure for a National Hydrologic Model (NHM) to support coordinated, comprehensive, and consistent hydrologic model development and application using the USGS Monthly Water Balance model (MWB) and Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS). The NHM will provide internally consistent estimates of total water availability, water sources, and streamflow timing, and measures of uncertainty around these estimates, for the entire United States. Developing the NHM requires use of consistent methods for data selection, watershed measurements, model calibration, and model projections by separate research hydrologists across the nation. Further, it requires an organizational system for records of data sources and methods, to allow for transparent comparisons of the provenance of model calibrations and projections for different regions within the NHM. VisTrails, which is a scientific workflow and provenance management system (www.vistrails.org), could be used to facilitate consistent, organized, reproducible data management, analysis, and visualization for the NHM. A VisTrails system for MWB and/or PRMS would be widely used in the NHM effort as well as by numerous agencies and researchers for individual hydrologic model applications. We propose to work with NC CSC staff to develop a VisTrails system for MWB, as a first step in developing a more complex VisTrails system for PRMS. MWB calculates the amount of water within different parts of a watershed using an accounting procedure, and takes into account climatic water supply and demand, seasonal variation in climatic water supply and demand, snow accumulation and melt, and soil-moisture storage. The proposed VisTrails system for MWB will include the MWB structure, methods for importing and adjusting climate and landscape data inputs, methods for dividing watersheds into smaller sections or “hydrologic response units”, analytical tools for calibrating and evaluating the model, and mechanisms for visualizing model projections. It will be designed to facilitate both model calibration and model simulations with different climate change projections. Access to frequently-used online data sources will be built into the system. The resulting VisTrails system for MWB will facilitate consistent, organized, and reproducible model calibration and simulations for monthly streamflow projections by research hydrologists and managers nationwide.
projectStatusCompleted

Budget Extension

annualBudgets
year2013
year2014
totalFunds40000.0
year2015
totalFunds40000.0

The Colorado River - Credit: Alan Cressler
The Colorado River - Credit: Alan Cressler

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Spatial Services

ScienceBase WMS

Communities

  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • North Central CASC

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Additional Information

Identifiers

Type Scheme Key
RegistrationUUID NCCWSC 50e2b244-83ab-4dc7-94f1-07527ac6dbb6
StampID NCCWSC NC13-SH21158

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