Conditional Flame Length predicted for 2050 to 2070 for Rio Grande study area
Summary
Conditional Flame Length (CFL) is an estimate of the mean flame lengths for each pixel, and was predicted for the 2050-2070 period in the Rio Grande area using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the 8.5 Representative Concentration Pathway. CFL is calculated from [...]
Summary
Conditional Flame Length (CFL) is an estimate of the mean flame lengths for each pixel, and was predicted for the 2050-2070 period in the Rio Grande area using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the 8.5 Representative Concentration Pathway. CFL is calculated from the conditional probability from each of six fire intensity levels and the corresponding midpoint flame length at each level.