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Bayesian network model that predicts the probability of habitat availability (days) per winter month for age-0 Gulf Sturgeon at a 30-m pixel scale in Apalachicola Bay, FL

Dates

Publication Date
Time Period
2019

Citation

Cronin, J.P., Dale, L.L., Brink, V.L., Tirpak, B.E., and Tirpak, J.M., 2021, Data for Gulf Sturgeon Bayesian Network Model: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9KNSKMT.

Summary

The Gulf Sturgeon is a federally listed, anadromous species, inhabiting Gulf Coast rivers, estuaries, and coastal waters from Louisiana to Florida. The U.S. Geological Survey partnered with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, University of Georgia, and their conservation partners to support adaptive management of Gulf Sturgeon (Acipenser oxyrinchus desotoi) by developing a quantitative, spatial model. The model is a Bayesian network that predicts the probability of habitat availability (days) per winter month for age-0 Gulf Sturgeon at a 30-m pixel scale in estuarine critical habitat. The model predicts habitat availability (days) for 75 alternative physiological and habitat scenarios, which were [...]

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Bayesian network model that predicts age-0 Gulf Sturgeon habitat availability.neta 7.26 KB text/plain

Purpose

Data were collected to create a spatially explicit Bayesian network model for Gulf Sturgeon that predicts habitat availability (days) for 75 alternative physiological and habitat scenarios, which were the unique combination of river discharge, winter month, and month of arrival to the estuary. The tabular data associated with this metadata were a combination of empirical data available in the literature, expert elicitation, and simplifying assumptions. These tabular data were used to populate conditional probability tables for predicted variables. Of the 75 possible model outputs, geospatial datasets could not be created for 28 scenarios due to missing data and 12 scenarios were excluded due to incongruous regression results. When entering evidence directly into the Bayesian network, the 40 omitted scenarios have equal prior probabilities for each acceptable water condition (days) class.

Map

Communities

  • Gulf Coast Prairie Landscape Conservation Cooperative
  • LC MAP - Landscape Conservation Management and Analysis Portal

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