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Winter climate change and coastal wetland foundation species in the southeastern United States

Dates

Publication Date
Time Period
2013

Citation

Osland, M.J., Enwright, N., Day, R.H., and Doyle, T.W., 2018, Winter climate change and coastal wetland foundation species in the southeastern United States: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9U28JN7.

Summary

In this study, we investigated the potential effect of winter climate change upon salt marsh and mangrove forest foundation species in the southeastern United States. Our research addresses the following three questions: (1) What is the relationship between winter climate and the presence and abundance of mangrove forests relative to salt marshes; (2) How vulnerable are salt marshes to winter climate change-induced mangrove forest range expansion; and (3) What is the potential future distribution and relative abundance of mangrove forests under alternative winter climate change scenarios? We developed simple winter climate-based models to predict mangrove forest distribution and relative abundance using observed winter temperature [...]

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CurrentMangrove_forest_distribution.zip 53.58 KB application/zip
FutureMangrove_abundance_A2.zip 55.17 KB application/zip
FutureMangrove_abundance_B1.zip 59.58 KB application/zip
FutureMangrove_distribution_A2.zip 53.09 KB application/zip
FutureMangrove_distribution_B1.zip 53.27 KB application/zip
Tipping_point_mangrove_dominance.zip 53.03 KB application/zip

Purpose

In this study, we investigated the potential for winter climate change-induced mangrove forest migration and salt marsh displacement in the southeastern United States via a 30-year observed climate record (1970-2000), mangrove forest and salt marsh presence and relative abundance data, and several alternative future winter climate scenarios.

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Communities

  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • Southeast CASC
  • USGS Data Release Products
  • USGS Wetland and Aquatic Research Center

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Additional Information

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Type Scheme Key
DOI https://www.sciencebase.gov/vocab/category/item/identifier doi:10.5066/P9U28JN7

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