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Northeastern United States Modeled Forest Type Group - Year 2010

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Jacob Fraser, USDA Forest Service - Northern Research Station, Caitlin Littlefield, Conservation Science Partners, Anthony D'Amato, Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources - University of Vermont, and Frank Thompson, USDA Forest Service - Northern Research Station, 20210514, Northeastern United States Modeled Forest Type Group - Year 2010: https://doi.org/10.21429/g13v-1q67.

Summary

The forests of the Northeastern United States are home to some of the greatest diversity of nesting songbirds in the country. Climate change, shifts in natural disturbance regimes, and invasive species pose threats to forest habitats and bird species in the northeastern United States and represent major challenges to natural resource managers. Although broad adaptation approaches have been suggested for sustaining forested habitats under global change, it is unclear how effective the implementation of these strategies at local and regional scales will be for maintaining habitat conditions for a broad suite of forest-dependent bird species over time. Moreover, given the diversity in forest stakeholders across the Northeast region, it [...]

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Extension: FORESTTYPE_2010.zip
FORESTTYPE_2010.tif 42.82 MB
FORESTTYPE_2010.tif-ColorRamp.SLD 2.01 KB

Purpose

The goal of this project was to estimate the effectiveness of climate adaptive management scenarios for maintaining habitat conditions for a wide range of forest-dependent bird species over time under alternative projected climate scenarios. We used the forest landscape model LANDIS PRO and hybrid empirical-physiological ecosystem model LINKAGES to model changes in forest structure and species composition in the Northeastern region of the United States while accounting for climate change, succession, and harvest. Five climate scenarios were considered; current conditions defined by observed data from 1990– 2019 and downscaled projections from general circulation models and emission scenarios: GFDL-CM3 RCP 4.5, GFDL-CM3 RCP 8.5, HadGEM2-ES RCP 4.5 and HadGEM2-ES RCP 8.5.Seven harvest scenarios were considered: Current harvest practices, two levels of climate resistance focused management, two levels of climate resilience focused management, and two levels of climate transition focused management.

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ScienceBase WMS

ScienceBase WCS

Communities

  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • Northeast CASC

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