Final Report: Science to Inform the Management of Mangrove Ecosystems Undergoing Sea Level Rise at Ding Darling National Wildlife Refuge, Sanibel Island, Florida
Dates
Publication Date
2023-12-27
Citation
Ken W Krauss, Jeremy Conrad, Jamie Duberstein, Eric J Ward, Judith Z Drexler, Kevin J. Buffington, Karen M Thorne, Brian W. Benscoter, Haley Miller, Natalie T. Faron, Sergio L Merino, Andrew From, Elitsa I Peneva-Reed, and Zhiliang Zhu, 2023-12-27, Final Report: Science to Inform the Management of Mangrove Ecosystems Undergoing Sea Level Rise at Ding Darling National Wildlife Refuge, Sanibel Island, Florida: U.S. Geological Survey.
Summary
J.N. “Ding” Darling National Wildlife Refuge (DDNWR) is located on Sanibel Island along the southwestern coast of Florida, USA. Sanibel Island is heavily developed, but DDNWR provides protection for a large mangrove area that supports biodiversity and recreational opportunity. However, nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) eutrophication attributed to agriculture discharge along the Caloosahatchee River has affected the area’s aquatic habitat with algal blooms and may be causing untimely degradation of Sanibel’s mangrove forests. We launched a series of studies to understand how additional nutrient loading to the levels expected in the future might affect DDNWR’s mangrove resource. We experimentally fertilized selected mangrove forest areas [...]
Summary
J.N. “Ding” Darling National Wildlife Refuge (DDNWR) is located on Sanibel Island along the southwestern coast of Florida, USA. Sanibel Island is heavily developed, but DDNWR provides protection for a large mangrove area that supports biodiversity and recreational opportunity. However, nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) eutrophication attributed to agriculture discharge along the Caloosahatchee River has affected the area’s aquatic habitat with algal blooms and may be causing untimely degradation of Sanibel’s mangrove forests. We launched a series of studies to understand how additional nutrient loading to the levels expected in the future might affect DDNWR’s mangrove resource. We experimentally fertilized selected mangrove forest areas with N fertilizer (+N; NH4) and P fertilizer (+P; P2O5) for three years, and monitored soil surface elevation change, soil and pneumatophore CO2 fluxes from respiration, mangrove tree sap flow from two species (Avicennia germinans, Rhizophora mangle), and individual tree and stand water use, from which we developed carbon (C) budgets for +N and +P vs. control simulations as applied to DDNWR’s 1112 ha mangrove area. Many of the measured response variables provided hints of subtle changes in response to +P rather than +N, which were compounded when scaled. From this, we found that additional P loading is expected to stimulate CO2 uptake via net ecosystem exchange of C, likely pressing the system beyond metabolic capacity and leading to a projected 41% increase in lateral C export to the estuary. Additional lateral C export is concomitant to a reduction in vertical soil surface elevation with +P. Furthermore, an inability of DDNWR’s mangroves to bury additional P and a release of P-bound ions to lateral export may exacerbate estuarine eutrophication. We also modelled the effect of sea-level rise influences on DDNWR’s mangroves through 2100 using a soil cohort model (WARMER-Mangroves) and found that the mangroves may be resilient to current rates of sea-level rise into the future but may also be susceptible to moderate accelerations. Greater eutrophication could create additional vulnerabilities to mangrove submergence, especially to basin mangroves where P concentrations are high and already reducing soil surface elevations in some mangroves. Our results suggest that amelioration of current P concentrations and avoidance of additional P loading to Sanibel Island’s mangroves are management options to consider.
