Skip to main content
  1. ScienceBase Catalog
  2. National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  3. Pacific Islands CASC
  4. FY 2019 Projects
  5. Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on the Spread of Fire-Promoting Plants in Hawai‘i: Assessing Emerging Threats to Rare Native Plants and Ecosystems
  6. Approved DataSets
  7. Future Change in Landscape Fire Risk for Hawai‘i Under Various Climate Change Scenarios for 2050 and 2100

Future Change in Landscape Fire Risk for Hawai‘i Under Various Climate Change Scenarios for 2050 and 2100

Dates

Publication Date
Start Date
1999
End Date
2100

Citation

Clay Trauernicht, Nathan DeMaagd, and Matt Lucas, 20240412, Future Change in Landscape Fire Risk for Hawai‘i Under Various Climate Change Scenarios for 2050 and 2100: U.S. Geological Survey, https://doi.org/10.21429/jwcd-k009.

Summary

This product provides a metric of percentage increase in the number of fires expected per year under various climate change scenarios in both the dry and wet season compared to a 1996-2016 baseline at a per-pixel basis for the main Hawaiian Islands (excluding Niʻihau) at 30 m x 30 m resolution. Future climate scenarios include statistically and dynamically downscaled RCP 8.5 in the year 2100 in addition to statistically downscaled RCP 8.5 in the year 2050. This is a modeled data product trained using historical fire perimeters, ignition density, mean annual temperature, mean annual soil moisture, historical rainfall data , and remotely sensed vegetation cover.

Contacts

Point of Contact :
Clay Trauernicht, Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management, University of Hawaii at Manoa
Originator :
Clay Trauernicht, Nathan DeMaagd, Matt Lucas
Metadata Contact :
Kevin Faccenda, University of Hawai'i
Publisher :
U.S. Geological Survey
Distributor :
GS ScienceBase
Funding Agency :
Pacific Islands CASC

Attached Files

Click on title to download individual files attached to this item.

future fire maps_final.xml
Original FGDC Metadata
View 		21.37 KB application/fgdc+xml
delta_max_future_fire_prob_sta_rcp85_late_statewide_dry_waterMasked.tif 54.75 MB image/geotiff
delta_max_future_fire_prob_sta_rcp85_late_statewide_wet_waterMasked.tif 55.06 MB image/geotiff
delta_max_future_fire_prob_dyn_rcp85_late_statewide_wet_waterMasked.tif 55.53 MB image/geotiff
delta_max_future_fire_prob_sta_rcp85_mid_statewide_dry_waterMasked.tif 52.66 MB image/geotiff
delta_max_future_fire_prob_sta_rcp85_late_statewide_annual_waterMasked.tif 54.75 MB image/geotiff
delta_max_future_fire_prob_sta_rcp85_mid_statewide_annual_waterMasked.tif 52.66 MB image/geotiff
53.03 MB image/geotiff
53.03 MB image/geotiff
53.85 MB image/geotiff
thumbnail 200.88 KB image/png
thumbnail 196.29 KB image/png
thumbnail 196.29 KB image/png
thumbnail 186.77 KB image/png
thumbnail 172.35 KB image/png
thumbnail 226.66 KB image/png
thumbnail 186.77 KB image/png
thumbnail 213.63 KB image/png
thumbnail 172.35 KB image/png

Purpose

The purpose of this data is to show the change in annual fire risk under various downscaling approached and various time periods across the main Hawaiian islands for uses such, but not limited to, natural resource management, community wildfire preparedness, and emergency preparedness. Note that the University of Hawai‘i at Mānoa or Dr. Trauernicht will not bear any responsibility for the consequences of using this dataset, which are entirely the responsibility of the user. The data do not offer actual quantification of the potential exposure of homes to the ignition, spread, and intensity of wildfires or embers produced by wildfires. Although the dataset and subsequent analyses may indicate general wildfire patterns for a given area, the actual risk to homes and property can deviate based on the characteristics of the site around an individual home, community, or natural resource area, as well as real-time weather conditions, which the model does not take into account.
Preview Image

Map

Map Preview

Communities

  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • Pacific Islands CASC

Tags

Provenance

Data source
Input directly

Item Actions

View Item as ...

JSON ATOM ISO XML

Save Item as ...

JSON FGDC MODS XML ISO XML

View Item...

Metrics