Emergence of Climate Change Signals for Ecologically-Relevant Climate Variables

Species are expected to shift their distributions to higher latitudes, greater elevations, and deeper depths in response to climate change, reflecting an underlying hypothesis that species will move to cooler locations. However, species response to climate change is poorly understood and species range shifts may be related to climate change exposure. This project was designed to find when a new climate normal emerges beyond different thresholds of natural climate variability with the goal to help natural resource managers, other practitioners, and scientists concerned with emerging climate signals. Estimates are provided for the time (year) when a biologically-relevant temperature signal emerges (time of emergence - ToE) above natural [...]