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NCCW-2009-3_Elk_HohRainForest_OlympicNP_AlanCressler.jpg
“Elk, Hoh Rain Forest, Olympic National Park - Credit: Alan Cressler” |
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381.77 KB | image/jpeg |
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NCCW-2009-3_HohRiver_OlympicNP_AlanCressler.jpg
“Hoh River, Olympic National Park - Credit: Alan Cressler” |
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254.68 KB | image/jpeg |
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NCCW-2009-3_MtRainierNP_AlanCressler.jpg
“Mount Rainier National Park - Credit: Alan Cressler” |
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280.64 KB | image/jpeg |
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NCCW-2009-3_OlympicNP_AlanCressler.jpg
“Olympic National Park - Credit: Alan Cressler” |
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301.19 KB | image/jpeg |
The project has six specific objectives:
(1) Downscaling future climate simulations from 6 coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) to high spatial resolution grids (e.g., 1-km) of the Pacific Northwest. Monthly data are being developed extending through the year 2099. Bioclimatic variables(e.g., growing degree days) will be calculated from the downscaled climate data.
(2) Simulating potential future vegetation changes using dynamic vegetation models. These simulations will provide an estimate of potential future habitat change.
(3) Modeling potential shifts in the distributions of 12 or more focal animal species. These species will be chosen in discussions with land managers from the region.
(4) Assessing the vulnerabilities of species and managed lands to future climate change. This assessment will be based on the projected changes in climate, vegetation, and species distributions as well as on inherent species and ecosystem sensitivities to climate change.
(5) Summarizing the uncertainties in the simulated climate, vegetation, and species distribution changes.
(6) Working in collaboration with managers to incorporate the research results into conservation and natural resource management plans.
| projectStatus | Completed |
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