Skip to main content

Pinus edulis Feast/Famine scenario change categories (2035)

Dates

Publication Date

Citation

Colorado Natural Heritage Program, 20160125, Pinus edulis Feast/Famine scenario change categories (2035): Colorado Natural Heritage Program, Colorado State University.

Summary

Projected suitable habitat models were constructed in randomForest (R package, version 4.6-10) using a set of presence points for the species derived from element occurrence and herbarium records, together with temperature, precipitation, and soil variables. The current distribution used modeled historic period (1970-2000) climate variables from the appropriate matching GCM model run. These model parameters were then used with projected climate data to get future (2020-2050) modeled suitable habitat for each scenario. Modeled past suitable habitat and modeled future suitable habitat are combined to show areas of change, using various thresholds to distinguish change categories, as well as current mapped pinyon occupied habitats from [...]

Contacts

Point of Contact :
Michelle Fink
Cooperator/Partner :
Colorado Natural Heritage Program

Attached Files

Click on title to download individual files attached to this item.

PIED_CESM_MMF.tfw 82 Bytes text/plain
PIED_CESM_MMF.tif 59.33 KB image/geotiff
PIED_CESM_MMF.tif.aux.xml 513 Bytes application/xml
PIED_CESM_MMF.tif.vat.dbf 243 Bytes application/unknown
PIED_CESM_MMF.tif_Metadata.xml
Original FGDC Metadata

View
11.51 KB application/fgdc+xml

Purpose

Projected future habitat suitability in Colorado for Pinus edulis, using cesm1-bgc.1.rcp85. This model represents a comparatively moderately hot, with little change in precipitation, but high year-to-year variability future scenario. These models are intended to guide conservation planning efforts for pinyon pine under uncertain future climate conditions. As with all models, this data should be used in conjunction with field observations.

Communities

  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • North Central CASC

Tags

Provenance

Data source
Input directly

Item Actions

View Item as ...

Save Item as ...

View Item...