Data Visualization: How Various Climate and Management Scenarios may Interact to Affect Spotted Owl and Sage Grouse Habitat in the Northwest

Tags: Birds, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Fire, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Landscapes, Northwest CASC, Wildlife and Plants, climate change, land management, wildlife habitat, Fewer tags

Using State-and-Transition Simulation Models to Guide Sustainable Management of Ecosystems: Three Case Studies from across the US

This webinar was recorded on May 7, 2015. Sustainable management of natural resources under competing demands is challenging, particularly when faced with novel and uncertain future climatic conditions. Meeting this challenge requires the consideration of information about the effects of management, disturbance, land use, and climate change on ecosystems. State-and-transition simulation models (STSMs) provide a flexible framework for integrating landscape processes and comparing alternative management scenarios, but incorporating climate change is an active area of research. In this presentation, three researchers present work funded by Climate Science Centers across the country to incorporate climate projections...

Tags: Birds, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Fire, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Landscapes, Longleaf pine, Northwest CASC, Sage-Grouse, Simulation models, Whitebark Pine, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags

Approved DataSets

Other (Approved for Public)

Future Spotted Owl Habitat Scenarios, Northwest Washington Study Area, 2007-2096

The following files are designed to be run using the Path Landscape Model software, version 3.0.4. Later versions of the software cannot run these files. To get a copy of this software, please contact Apex RMS at path@apexrms.com. 1) Path models MUST be run with the provided .MCM and .trd mulitplier files to apply the required transition probability adjustments for procesess such as insect outbreaks, wildfire, and climate change trends. Each Path database is set up with three folders: - The 'Common' folder contains a single Path scenario (also named 'Common'). The Transitions tab within the Common scenario contains the climate-smart STM. - The 'Multipliers' folder contains multipliers specific to each ownership-allocation...

Categories: Data; Types: Downloadable; Tags: Birds, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Fire, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Landscapes, Northwest CASC, Pacific Coast, Pacific Northwest, Stream temperature, Washington, Wildlife and Plants, climate change, land management, state and transition modeling, vegetation change, vulnerability assessment, wildlife habitat, Fewer tags

Climate, land management and future wildlife habitat in the Pacific Northwest

This study addressed the challenges faced by natural resource management planning in the context of climate change. We explored how future climate may interact with management alternatives to shape wildlife habitat across large landscapes. We studied habitat for the northern spotted owl in coastal Washington and southwestern Oregon, and habitat for the greater sage-grouse in southeastern Oregon. In coastal Washington, the primary threat to owl habitat is likely to be habitat loss as a result of increasing fire and shifts in vegetation with changing climate. These threats may not be fully mitigated with management. In southwest Oregon, increasing fire frequencies under climate change are also likely to pose the greatest...

Tags: Birds, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Fire, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Greater Sage-grouse, Landscapes, Northwest CASC, Wildlife and Plants, climate change, management alternatives, northern spotted owl, wildlife habitat, Fewer tags

Using a Dynamic Global Vegetation Model to Help Inform Management Decisions

Abstract (from http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/9781119011705.ch10/summary): This chapter discusses an approach that uses MC1 results to create climate-informed state-and-transition simulation model (cSTSMs) in two contrasting landscapes: dry forests in central Oregon and wet forests in western Washington. The studies presented here examine trends in different socioecological values under different climate and management assumptions using a dynamic global vegetation model/STSM approach. The authors found that simulated management actions did not prevent climate-induced vegetation change. Simulated management did in some cases promote desired forest structures and increase resilience to climate change....

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Birds, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Fire, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Landscapes, Northwest CASC, Wildlife and Plants, landscapes, state-and-transition simulation model, Fewer tags

Approved Products

BASIS

Future Spotted Owl Habitat Scenarios, Southwest Oregon Study Area, 2007-2096

The following files are designed to be run using the Path Landscape Model software, version 3.0.4. Later versions of the software cannot run these files. To get a copy of this software, please contact Apex RMS at path@apexrms.com. These files will open in the Path Landscape Model, version 3.0.4 or later. 1) In "Path Model" folder, path models MUST be run with the provided MCM mulitplier files to apply the required transition probability adjustments for procesess such as insect outbreaks, wildfire, and climate change trends. Each Path database is set up with three folders: - The 'Common' folder contains a single Path scenario (also named 'Common'). The Transitions tab within the Common scenario contains the climate-smart...

Categories: Data; Tags: Birds, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Fire, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Landscapes, Northwest CASC, Pacific Northwest, Southwest Oregon, Wildlife and Plants, climate change, land management, state and transition modeling, vegetation change, vulnerability assessment, wildlife habitat, Fewer tags

Future Sage-Grouse Habitat Scenarios, Southeast Oregon Study Area, 2007-2096

The following files are designed to be run using the Path Landscape Model software, version 3.0.4. Later versions of the software cannot run these files. To get a copy of this software, please contact Apex RMS at path@apexrms.com. 1) "Path Landscape Mode" folder contains files to be run in the PLM softwarel, version 3.0.4 or later. Path models MUST be run with the provided MCM mulitplier files to apply the required transition probability adjustments for procesess such as insect outbreaks, wildfire, and climate change trends. Each Path database is set up with three folders: - The 'Common' folder contains a single Path scenario (also named 'Common'). The Transitions tab within the Common scenario contains the climate-smart...

Categories: Data; Types: Downloadable; Tags: Birds, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Fire, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Great Basin, Landscapes, Northwest CASC, Pacific Northwest, Southeast Oregon, Wildlife and Plants, climate change, land management, state and transition modeling, vegetation change, vulnerability assessment, wildlife habitat, Fewer tags

Vegetation Mapping to Support Greater Sage‐Grouse Habitat Monitoring and Management: Multi‐ or Univariate Approach?

Abstract (from Ecosphere): Conservation planning for wildlife species requires mapping and assessment of habitat suitability across broad areas, often relying on a diverse suite, or stack, of geospatial data presenting multidimensional controls on a species. Stacks of univariate, independently developed vegetation layers may not represent relationships between each variable that can be characterized by multivariate modeling techniques, leading to inaccurate inferences on the distribution of suitable habitat. In this paper, we examine the role of variable combining in mapping multiple dimensions of greater sage‐grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus, GRSG) habitat as a basis for GRSG conservation in the great basin ecoregion...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Birds, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Fire, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Landscapes, Northwest CASC, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags

Climate change and land management impact rangeland condition and sage-grouse habitat in southeastern Oregon

Abstract (from http://www.aimspress.com/aimses/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?doi=10.3934/environsci.2015.2.203): Contemporary pressures on sagebrush steppe from climate change, exotic species, wildfire, and land use change threaten rangeland species such as the greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus). To effectively manage sagebrush steppe landscapes for long-term goals, managers need information about the potential impacts of climate change, disturbances, and management activities. We integrated information from a dynamic global vegetation model, a sage-grouse habitat climate envelope model, and a state-and-transition simulation model to project broad-scale vegetation dynamics and potential sage-grouse habitat...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Birds, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Fire, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Landscapes, Northwest CASC, Wildlife and Plants, climate change, exotic grass, greater sage-grouse, landscape modeling, rangeland management, sagebrush steppe, western juniper, wildfire, Fewer tags