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Folders: ROOT > ScienceBase Catalog > National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers > Northwest CASC > FY 2014 Projects > Changes to Watershed Vulnerability under Future Climates, Fire Regimes, and Population Pressures ( Show direct descendants )

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These data were used to examine how post-fire sedimentation might change in western USA watersheds with future fire from the decade of 2001-10 through 2041-50. The data include previously published projections (Hawbaker and Zhu, 2012a, b) of areas burned by future wildfires for several climate change scenarios and general circulation models (GCMs) that we summarized for 471 watersheds of the western USA. The data also include previously published predictions (Miller et al., 2011) of first year post-fire hillslope soil erosion from GeoWEPP that we summarized for 471 watersheds of the western USA. We synthesized these summarized data in order to project sediment yield from future fires for 471 watersheds through the...
The area burned by wildfires has increased in recent decades and is expected to increase in the future for many watersheds worldwide due to climate change. Burned areas within watersheds increase soil erosion rates, which can increase the downstream accumulation of sediment in rivers and reservoirs. Using an ensemble of climate, fire, and erosion models, we show that post-fire sedimentation is projected to increase for more than ¾ of watersheds by at least 10 % and for more than ¼ of watersheds by at least 100 % by the 2041 to 2050 decade in the western USA. In this region, 65 % of the water supply originates from forested lands that are prone to wildfire, and many of the watersheds with projected increases in sedimentation...
Public Summary: The area burned by wildfires is expected to increase in many watersheds of the world over the next century as a function of climate change. Increased sedimentation due to soil erosion in burned watersheds can negatively impact downstream aquatic ecosystems and the quality and supply of water. At least 65% of the water supply in the western USA originates in watersheds covered by trees, shrubs, and/or grasses that are prone to wildfire16. Understanding how changing fire frequency, extent, and location will affect watersheds, reservoirs, and the ecosystem services they supply to communities is therefore of great societal importance. A primary threat to socio-ecological systems in this region from...
...About 300 miles away from Kolden’s office at the University of Idaho in Moscow, is the Boise office of the US Geological Survey (USGS)’s Western Geographic Science Center and the base of Jason Kreitler, a USGS research geographer. Like Kolden, Kreitler has spent considerable time thinking about the policies that shape wildland fire management. However, Kreitler is examining the problem with a different lens, using economics and social science. Kreitler explains his research focus like this: “We have fixed budgets for most, if not all, of our public land management, so the question is, how do we optimize the use of those funds to best meet our conservation goals, like protecting biodiversity or ecosystem services?...
Baltimore, MD, USA: In recent years, wildfires have burned trees and homes to the ground across many states in the western U.S., but the ground itself has not gotten away unscathed. Wildfires, which are on the rise throughout the west as a result of prolonged drought and climate change, can alter soil properties and make it more vulnerable to erosion. A new study shows that the increase in wildfires may double soil erosion in some western U.S. states by 2050, and all that dirt ends up in streams, clogging creeks and degrading water quality. Read More in the ​AAAS News Release >>
From Dispatches in Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. Read more here.
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This data release contains projections of future water demand for the Western USA at the county level. This data is part of the project "Changes to Watershed Vulnerability under Future Climates, Fire Regimes, and Population Pressures" (https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/531dc54de4b04cb293ee7806), and is the product of an analysis that determined where populations are changing, and how that change could affect residential and agricultural water withdraws from surface and ground water. Agricultural water use was derived from the Cropland Data Layer (CDL) of the National Agricultural Statistics Service, while residential water use was drawn from the USGS (Maupin et al. 2014). The scenarios follow four Intergovernmental...
A growing number of wildfire-burned areas throughout the western United States are expected to increase soil erosion rates within watersheds, causing more sediment to be present in downstream rivers and reservoirs, according to a new study by the U.S. Geological Survey.


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