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Summary of project, results, and recommendations for the project completed by WEST, Inc. on behalf of Bill Van Pelt and the Western Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies written by the Great Plains Landscape Conservation Cooperative (GP LCC).
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Advancement in Geographical Information System (GIS) data development, management, and analysis has allowed conservation practitioners to apply ecological theory into conservation delivery at broad landscape scales. This project demonstrated that process with the creation of Decision Support Tools (DST) to guide on-the-ground habitat delivery to those areas on the landscape that, if managed, will provide the greatest biological return for the conservation dollar invested. This project focused on the habitat needs of Sandhill cranes and waterfowl, as a guild, during spring migration. Understanding the species habitat relationships for these priority species/guild will allow the conservation community to more effectively...
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These data represent the forecast saturated thickness of the Ogallala aquifer in 2050 based on the linear rate of depletion calculated previously. Using the model-based annual predictions of aquifer saturated thickness (described above), we built annual water-level transition matrices (e.g., Turner, 1987) that were then projected out through 2050.
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Natural resource management requires decision making in the face of uncertain future conditions. Climate change has been identified by our partnership as a high-priority threat to grasslands and all of our priority habitats, affecting water availability, species composition, species interactions, phenology, and other factors. Climate change is understood to be a factor in nearly all natural resource issues, but managers find it difficult to plan for climate change because of high levels of uncertainty. Multiple Global Climate Models (GCMs), CO2 emission scenarios, downscaling methods, and combinations of these compound our uncertainty. Natural resource managers need a simple way to evaluate climate-driven changes...
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Groundwater pumping for irrigated agriculture has depleted regional aquifers that sustain habitat for native fishes in the western Great Plains of North America. Depleted surface stream flow is implicated in the decline of 69% of endemic Great Plains fishes, including conservation priority species such as the Arkansas River shiner Notropis girardi. Species declines are likely to continue as water demands increase. Knowledge of spatial patterns of hydrologic connectivity and rates and magnitude of fragmentation through time will help prioritize areas for native fish conservation. We propose to use groundwater-surface water models to document and map the spatiotemporal distribution of flowing and intermittent stream...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, CO-01, CO-02, CO-03, CO-04, All tags...
The potential implications of climate change to fishes in Great Plains rivers and streams could range from drastic shifts in distribution to extirpation. Many lotic systems in the Great Plains are not well suited for direct escape routes for fish to move to more suitable habitats at other latitudes due to the west-east direction of flows rather than north-south. Therefore, we might expect additional climate related stress on fish communities in the Great Plains compared to other regions of North America. Therefore, we will 1) simulate potential water temperature and flow changes within the Great Plains based on extant regional climate models, 2) assess stream connectivity to potential refugia, 3) develop a database...
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While we assessed the vulnerability of a number of different wildlife and plant species to climate change, none of those species exhibited high vulnerability to changes projected for the region and there was limited differentiation in vulnerability between the individual species. Given this shared level of vulnerability to climate change, we chose to focus our adaptation planning on grassland birds as they represent a large group with a diversity of habitat needs. These birds are obligate grassland wildlife species which have great potential to act as indicators for habitat quality since different species have distinct habitat structure needs. Participants in the adaptation planning workshop agreed that if the GP...
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Leaders within the Kansas Department of Wildlife, Parks and Tourism and the Nebraska Game and Parks Commission recognized the need for current vegetation datasets and maps to facilitate conservation planning and management. Prior to the initiation of this project, Ecological Mapping System (EMS) datasets had been completed by the Missouri Resource Assessment Partnership (MoRAP) for Texas and Oklahoma (Elliott et al. 2014, Diamond and Elliott 2015). The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service facilitated meetings among states that highlighted the Texas and Oklahoma datasets. This led state leaders in Kansas and Nebraska to initiate the current project, with the aims of (1) producing the highest quality digital and map datasets...
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Several final products have been submitted to U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service in addition to this final report: the Master’s thesis (Mueller 2013) “Effects of temperature, salinity, and suspended solids on the early life history stages of Arkansas River shiner”; and the publication “Sampling efficiency of the Moore egg collector” (available at DOI:10.1080/02755947.2012.741557) by Worthington et al. (2013). These products present completed results for portions of the two major objectives and will not be repeated here. Results from the remaining portions are presented in this report: 1) determine the landscape-level effects on the probability of Arkansas River shiner presence, and 2) assess egg transport related to...
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Species populations are in a state of flux due to the cumulative and interacting impacts of climate change and human stressors across landscapes. Invasive spread, pathogen outbreaks, land-use activities, and especially climate disruption and its associated impacts—severe drought (see Figure 3 or the GPLCC), reduced stream flow, increased wildfire frequency, extended growing season, and extreme weather events—are increasing, and in some cases accelerating. These impacts are outpacing management and conservation responses intended to support trust species and their critical habitats. Our common goal is to craft successful adaptation strategies in the face of these multiple, interacting drivers of environmental change....
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Native grasslands have been altered to a greater extent than any other biome in North America. The habitats and resources needed to support breeding performance of grassland birds endemic to prairie ecosystems are currently threatened by land management practices and impending climate change. Climate models for the Great Plains prairie region predict a future of hotter and drier summers with strong multiyear droughts and more frequent and severe precipitation events. We examined how fluctuations in weather conditions in eastern Colorado influenced nest survival of an avian species that has experienced recent population declines, the Mountain Plover (Charadrius montanus). Nest survival averaged 27.2% over a 7-yr...
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The potential implications of climate change to fishes in Great Plains rivers and streams could range from drastic shifts in distribution to extirpation. Many lotic systems in the Great Plains are not well suited for direct escape routes for fish to move to more suitable habitats at other latitudes due to the west-east direction of flows rather than north-south. Therefore, we might expect additional climate related stress on fish communities in the Great Plains compared to other regions of North America. Therefore, we will 1) simulate potential water temperature and flow changes within the Great Plains based on extant regional climate models, 2) assess stream connectivity to potential refugia, 3) develop a database...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: 2013, CATFISHES/MINNOWS, CO-01, CO-02, CO-03, All tags...
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Priority and use segments for waterfowl (ducks and geese). Segments designated as use areas were utilized during annual spring surveys 2014-2016. The reduced model for ducks indicated a relationship between total area of grass habitats, open water, crops, and wetlands, as well as mean distance to roads.
map background search result map search result map Drought and Cooler Temperatures Are Associated with Higher Nest Survival in Mountain Plovers Mapping and Predicting Groundwater-Mediated Hydrologic Connectivity for Great Plains Prairie Rivers and Streams Implications for Connectivity and Movement of Lotic Great Plains Fishes in the Face of Climate Change. Final Report: Evaluating The Reproductive Success Of Arkansas River Shiner By Assessing Early Life-History Stage Dispersal And Survival At A Landscape Level Multi-scale conservation planning under climate change: using local and ecoregional models to inform landscape conservation design Final Report: Climate change planning for the Great Plains: Wildlife vulnerability assessment and potential for mitigation with grazing management Final Report: Decision support for climate change adaptation in the GPLCC: Creating geospatial data products for ecosystem assessments and predictive species modeling Final Report: Sandhill Cranes and Waterfowl of the North Platte River Valley Waterfowl Priority Use Cores Watershed Boundary Maps Soil Erosion Maps for Rainwater Basin Wetland Complex Watersheds Project Summary: Conservation Priorities for Great Plains Fish Communities Based on Riverscape Connectivity and Genetic Integrity of Populations Project Summary: Migration of Arkansas River Shiner and other Broadcast Spawning Fishes in the Canadian River, New Mexico-Texas Project Summary: Results of the 2012 Range-wide Survey of Lesser Prairie-chickens (Tympanuchus pallidicinctus) Project Summary: Decision support for climate change adaptation in the GPLCC: Creating geospatial data products for ecosystem assessments and predictive species modeling Grassland Species as Indicators for use in Climate Change Modeling Flow Protection and Restoration Opportunity Areas Future Aquifer Saturation Thickness in 2050 Ecological Mapping Systems of Nebraska Land Cover Soil Erosion Maps for Rainwater Basin Wetland Complex Watersheds Watershed Boundary Maps Waterfowl Priority Use Cores Final Report: Sandhill Cranes and Waterfowl of the North Platte River Valley Mapping and Predicting Groundwater-Mediated Hydrologic Connectivity for Great Plains Prairie Rivers and Streams Ecological Mapping Systems of Nebraska Land Cover Final Report: Evaluating The Reproductive Success Of Arkansas River Shiner By Assessing Early Life-History Stage Dispersal And Survival At A Landscape Level Future Aquifer Saturation Thickness in 2050 Project Summary: Migration of Arkansas River Shiner and other Broadcast Spawning Fishes in the Canadian River, New Mexico-Texas Drought and Cooler Temperatures Are Associated with Higher Nest Survival in Mountain Plovers Multi-scale conservation planning under climate change: using local and ecoregional models to inform landscape conservation design Final Report: Climate change planning for the Great Plains: Wildlife vulnerability assessment and potential for mitigation with grazing management Final Report: Decision support for climate change adaptation in the GPLCC: Creating geospatial data products for ecosystem assessments and predictive species modeling Project Summary: Conservation Priorities for Great Plains Fish Communities Based on Riverscape Connectivity and Genetic Integrity of Populations Project Summary: Results of the 2012 Range-wide Survey of Lesser Prairie-chickens (Tympanuchus pallidicinctus) Project Summary: Decision support for climate change adaptation in the GPLCC: Creating geospatial data products for ecosystem assessments and predictive species modeling Grassland Species as Indicators for use in Climate Change Modeling Flow Protection and Restoration Opportunity Areas Implications for Connectivity and Movement of Lotic Great Plains Fishes in the Face of Climate Change.