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Artemisia tridentata spp. vaseyana Feast/Famine Scenario Change Categories (2035)

Dates

Publication Date

Citation

Colorado Natural Heritage Program, 20160125, Artemisia tridentata spp. vaseyana Feast/Famine scenario change categories (2035): Colorado Natural Heritage Program, Colorado State University.

Summary

Projected suitable habitat models were constructed in Maxent (version 3.3; Phillips et al. 2004, 2006) using a set of presence points for the species derived from element occurrence and herbarium records, together with temperature, precipitation, and soil variables. The current distribution used modeled historic period (1970-2000) climate variables from the appropriate matching GCM model run. These model parameters were then used with projected climate data to get future (2020-2050) modeled suitable habitat for each scenario. Modeled past suitable habitat and modeled future suitable habitat are combined to show areas of change, using various thresholds to distinguish change categories, as well as current mapped sagebrush-occupied habitats [...]

Contacts

Point of Contact :
Karin Decker
Metadata Contact :
Michelle Fink
Cooperator/Partner :
Colorado Natural Heritage Program

Attached Files

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me_VAS_CESM_MMF.tfw 82 Bytes text/plain
me_VAS_CESM_MMF.tif 34.27 KB image/geotiff
me_VAS_CESM_MMF.tif.aux.xml 516 Bytes application/xml
me_VAS_CESM_MMF.tif.vat.dbf 243 Bytes application/unknown

Purpose

Projected future habitat suitability in Colorado for Artemisia tridentata spp. vaseyana, using cesm1-bgc.1.rcp85. This model represents a comparatively moderately hot, with little change in precipitation, but high year-to-year variability future scenario. These models are intended to guide conservation planning efforts for sagebrush shrubland under uncertain future climate conditions. NOTE: Individual subspecies of Artemisia tridentata are difficult to separate both in the field and in predicted habitat models and in overlap areas hybridization may occur. As with all models, this data should be used in conjunction with field observations.

Map

Communities

  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • North Central CASC

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