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Examining current bias and future projection consistency of globally downscaled climate projections commonly used in climate impact studies

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Lucas B Fortini, Lauren R Kaiser, Abby Frazier, and Thomas Giambelluca, 2023-12-01, Examining current bias and future projection consistency of globally downscaled climate projections commonly used in climate impact studies: Climatic Change, v. 176.

Summary

The associated uncertainties of future climate projections are one of the biggest obstacles to overcome in studies exploring the potential regional impacts of future climate shifts. In remote and climatically complex regions, the limited number of available downscaled projections may not provide an accurate representation of the underlying uncertainty in future climate or the possible range of potential scenarios. Consequently, global downscaled projections are now some of the most widely used climate datasets in the world. However, they are rarely examined for representativeness of local climate or the plausibility of their projected changes. Here we explore the utility of two such global datasets (CHELSA and WorldClim2) in providing [...]

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  • Alaska CASC
  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • Pacific Islands CASC

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citationTypeJournal Article
journalClimatic Change
parts
typeDOI
valuedoi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03623-z
typeVolume
value176
typeArticle Number
value169

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